Situation Awareness: Cautious. The tape closed a volatile week essentially flat, but the character has shifted decisively hawkish after Friday’s…
Situation Awareness: Cautious. A hot August jobs report (162K vs. 45K consensus, unemployment 4.1%) flipped September rate-hike odds to roughly…
Regime Check — Where Are We Now? Regime is cooling — internals contracted through the session even as the 4%…
Midday Situation Check Neutral-to-cooling regime — 40SMA breadth at 46.78% (down from 48.94% yesterday, -2.2pp), 20SMA breadth at 12% (down…
Situation Awareness: Cautious. Falling Treasury yields powered a second straight rebound Thursday — the S&P 500 (+1.1%), Nasdaq Composite (+1.4%),…
Regime Check — Where Are We Now? Index data is unavailable for SPY, QQQ, and IWM today, so we’re navigating…
Midday Situation Check Deteriorating regime — 40SMA breadth at 43.97% (down from 45.81% yesterday, -1.8pp), 20SMA collapsing to 9% (from…
Situation Awareness: Cautious. Two forces are wrestling for control of the tape — crude oil pushing toward $93/bbl on escalating…
Today’s Verdict Situation Awareness: Cautious. Stocks staged a broad rebound as oil and Treasury yields stabilized — the S&P 500…
Regime Check — Where Are We Now? Regime has flipped decisively bullish on the tape since yesterday — the 4%…
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