Overview
Today’s 20-Week Breakout scan registered 226 total signals, split between 56 bullish (dollar/pct 20-week gainers) and 170 bearish (dollar/pct 20-week decliners). That puts the bearish-to-bullish ratio at roughly 75.2% bearish, firmly in “mostly bearish” territory and consistent with the current Cautious-Bearish SA Regime. Market breadth is thin at 32.4% of stocks above their 40-week SMA, and both price and volume sentiment readings are Bearish/Bearish.
The bullish cohort is concentrated almost entirely in Software, Internet, and Medical names — sectors that are not among the regime’s top ATR leaders (Energy, Health Care, Communication Services). This divergence suggests speculative pockets of strength (mega-cap tech, security software) persisting even as broader distribution accelerates across Industrials, Materials, and Chips. With institutional fund data showing 0 confirmed funds across every signal in this scan, conviction remains unconfirmed by fresh accumulation flows.
Quality Score: 2/5. Per regime rules, Cautious-Bearish conditions cap quality scoring at 3, and the heavy bearish skew (170 vs. 56), thin breadth, and absent institutional fund confirmation argue for a defensive score at the lower end of that range. Selectivity is essential — only the highest relative-strength software/medical names warrant fresh exposure.
Top 5 Bullish Picks
MDB ($377.67) — SOFTWARE / Computer Sftwr-Database
Weekly Momentum: MDB posted a dollar-based 20-week breakout despite below-average relative volume (0.6x), with a modest 0.06 ATR multiple, signaling a slow-grind advance rather than an explosive move. Price sits 20.2% below its 52-week high but 75.1% above its 52-week low, reflecting a strong multi-month recovery trend.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Entry | $377.67 |
| Stop (1x ATR) | $356.22 |
| Target 1 (2x ATR) | $420.57 |
| Target 2 (3x ATR) | $442.02 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds reported; funds % increase undefined. Bucket: funds_1000. No confirmed fresh accumulation — monitor for institutional follow-through.
IT ($195.59) — BUSINS SVC / Comml Svcs-Market Rsrch
Weekly Momentum: IT broke out with a 3.21 ATR multiple and a stretched 46.4% LOD Risk ATR%, indicating an aggressive single-week surge. Trading 26.4% below its 52-week high but up 57.4% from its low, this remains a high-ADR% (4.4%) volatile mover.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Entry | $195.59 |
| Stop (1x ATR) | $186.25 |
| Target 1 (2x ATR) | $214.27 |
| Target 2 (3x ATR) | $223.61 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds; funds % increase undefined. Bucket: funds_1000.
CRWD ($242.49) — SOFTWARE / Computer Sftwr-Security
Weekly Momentum: CRWD’s breakout came with elevated 1.7x relative volume (17.1M vs. 9.96M avg) and a 3.55 ATR multiple, confirming genuine demand. Price is just 1.3% off its 52-week high and up an explosive 183.0% from its 52-week low — the strongest trend structure in this group.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Entry | $242.49 |
| Stop (1x ATR) | $229.71 |
| Target 1 (2x ATR) | $268.05 |
| Target 2 (3x ATR) | $280.83 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds; funds % increase undefined. Bucket: bucket_0_youth_ipo_less_5yrs — newer listing profile with elevated volatility.
NTRA ($350.78) — MEDICAL / Medical-Services
Weekly Momentum: NTRA surged with a 5.37 ATR multiple and a steep 106.0% LOD Risk ATR%, the most extended reading among today’s picks. Trading only 2.2% off its 52-week high and up 122.8% from its low, this is a high-conviction but high-risk continuation move.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Entry | $350.78 |
| Stop (1x ATR) | $339.58 |
| Target 1 (2x ATR) | $373.18 |
| Target 2 (3x ATR) | $384.38 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds; funds % increase undefined. Bucket: funds_1000.
PANW ($375.09) — SOFTWARE / Computer Sftwr-Security
Weekly Momentum: PANW broke out on in-line volume (1.0x rel volume) with a moderate 1.39 ATR multiple, a steadier setup than peers. Price is 6.0% below its 52-week high and up 168.8% from its low, reflecting a well-established uptrend in the security software group.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Entry | $375.09 |
| Stop (1x ATR) | $356.16 |
| Target 1 (2x ATR) | $412.95 |
| Target 2 (3x ATR) | $431.88 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds; funds % increase undefined. Bucket: funds_1000.
Bearish Alerts
The 170 bearish signals dwarf bullish activity, with sharpest damage in cyclical and materials names. CRS ($415.33, Steel-Specialty Alloys) posted the most severe breakdown at -4.52 ATR multiple, followed by MKSI ($231.50, Semiconductor Equip) at -3.57 and STRL ($459.02, Heavy Construction) at -2.75. LEU ($142.02, Energy-Alternative) is notable — it’s breaking down despite Energy being a top-ATR% sector, now down 69.4% from its 52-week high. ATI ($186.66, Aerospace/Defense) rounds out the group at -1.80 ATR multiple. Sectors showing weakness: Building/Construction, Aerospace/Defense, Metals, Chips, and pockets of Energy — all industrial/cyclical exposure that aligns with the regime’s Bottom Sectors (Consumer Discretionary, Real Estate, Utilities).
Sector Theme
Bullish breadth is narrowly concentrated in Software (MDB, CRWD, PANW, NET, SPOT, APPF), Internet (META), and Medical (NTRA, MEDP) — growth and defensive-growth names holding up despite the broader risk-off tone. Bearish pressure is spread across Industrials, Materials, Metals, and Chips, confirming institutional rotation out of cyclicals. The disconnect between Energy’s top-ATR% ranking and LEU’s steep breakdown highlights sector-level dispersion rather than uniform Energy strength.
Institutional Summary
Across all 15 highlighted tickers — bullish and bearish — institutional fund counts registered 0 with funds % increase and funds % data undefined in this dataset. No ticker in today’s scan shows confirmed fresh institutional accumulation, reinforcing a cautious, wait-and-confirm posture. Bucket classifications (funds_1000, funds_500, bucket_0_youth_ipo_less_5yrs) suggest most bullish names are large, liquid, well-covered stocks (MDB, IT, NTRA, PANW, SPOT, MEDP, META) alongside two newer-listing profiles (CRWD, NET) that carry elevated volatility risk.