20-Week Breakout Analysis — 2026-10-30
Overview
The 20-Week Breakout scan registered 237 total signals on 2026-10-30, split between 111 bullish (46.8%) and 126 bearish (53.2%) setups. This near-even split, tilted slightly bearish, confirms the current Cautious regime, where breadth sits at just 49.7% of names above their SMA-40 and sentiment reads Very Bearish/Neutral. Institutions are not aggressively rotating into breakouts — every top bullish name in today’s scan shows 0 funds reporting fresh accumulation, a meaningful red flag for conviction-based buying.
Leadership is concentrated in defensive-adjacent sectors (Utilities, Materials, Consumer Staples by ATR%), while Financials, Communication Services, and Technology are contracting — a classic late-cycle, risk-off rotation pattern.
Quality Score: 2/5. The balanced signal ratio and near-total absence of institutional fund confirmation argue for selective, tactical exposure only. Per regime rules, only the highest-conviction setups should be rated 4+ in a Cautious tape; today’s data does not clear that bar despite strong price/ATR multiples.
Top 5 Bullish Picks
REGN ($927.89) — Medical / Profitable Biotech
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Weekly Momentum: REGN posted the strongest breakout in the scan with a 5.81x ATR multiple and a 4.0x relative volume surge (2,847,983 vs. 718,710 average), pushing the stock to just 8.0% above its 52-week high. The move reflects outsized demand concentration in profitable biotech.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Current | $927.89 |
| Risk (1x ATR) | $900.79 |
| Target (2x ATR) | $982.09 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds reporting; bucket funds_1000; fund % increase undefined — no confirmed smart-money follow-through yet.
ICLR ($211.36) — Medical / Research
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Weekly Momentum: ICLR’s 5.09x ATR multiple and 2.9x relative volume (2,578,154 vs. 904,280 avg) signal a sharp institutional-scale order flow event, with the stock now 217.5% above its 52-week low.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Current | $211.36 |
| Risk (1x ATR) | $201.84 |
| Target (2x ATR) | $230.40 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds reporting; bucket funds_500; fund % increase undefined.
CSL ($376.20) — Diversified Operations
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Weekly Momentum: A 3.96x ATR multiple on near-average relative volume (0.9x) shows steady, broad-based accumulation rather than a single-day spike — a healthier breakout profile despite lighter volume confirmation.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Current | $376.20 |
| Risk (1x ATR) | $365.09 |
| Target (2x ATR) | $398.42 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds reporting; bucket funds_1000; fund % increase undefined.
CACI ($675.06) — Computer-Tech Services
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Weekly Momentum: CACI’s 2.67x ATR multiple came on below-average relative volume (0.6x), suggesting the breakout is price-driven rather than volume-driven, with the stock sitting just -1.2% off its 52-week high.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Current | $675.06 |
| Risk (1x ATR) | $654.67 |
| Target (2x ATR) | $715.84 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds reporting; bucket funds_500; fund % increase undefined.
TDY ($658.00) — Aerospace/Defense
Weekly Momentum: TDY’s 2.67x ATR multiple with 1.6x relative volume reflects a disciplined breakout in a defense sector that remains a relative safe-haven amid tech/financial weakness.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Current | $658.00 |
| Risk (1x ATR) | $642.14 |
| Target (2x ATR) | $689.72 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds reporting; bucket funds_1000; fund % increase undefined.
Bearish Alerts
RDDT (-65.2% off 52-week high, -3.61x ATR) saw a massive 5.4x relative volume breakdown, the most severe distribution signal in the scan. LSTR (-3.84x ATR) and MDGL (-3.61x ATR) also confirm heavy selling pressure in Transportation and Revenue Biotech. ADBE’s breakdown (-31.0% off highs) underscores the broader Software/Technology weakness flagged in sector ATR% data.
Sector Theme
Momentum is rotating defensively: Utilities, Materials, and Consumer Staples lead on ATR%, while Technology, Communication Services, and Financials lag. Bullish breakouts today skew toward Medical/Biotech (REGN, ICLR, VRTX) and Industrial/Defense (TDY, CACI), consistent with a Cautious-regime flight to quality and essential-sector exposure over growth/cyclical names.
Institutional Summary
No tickers in today’s bullish or bearish lists show confirmed institutional fund accumulation — all report 0 funds with undefined % increase. This absence of institutional footprint across 237 signals reinforces a retail/algorithmic-driven tape, warranting tighter risk management and smaller position sizing until fund-level confirmation emerges.
Signals
- Price
- $927.89
- Stop
- $900.79
- Target
- $982.09
- Price
- $211.36
- Stop
- $201.84
- Target
- $230.40
- Price
- $376.20
- Stop
- $365.09
- Target
- $398.42
- Price
- $675.06
- Stop
- $654.67
- Target
- $715.84
- Price
- $658.00
- Stop
- $642.14
- Target
- $689.72