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Alphabet’s double-digit plunge on soaring AI capex and negative free cash flow is sinking Nasdaq futures, while Microsoft’s beat offers thin cover. With the Fed on hold, a December hike near-fully priced, and September PCE and Q3 GDP due at 8:30 ET, traders should stay selective and defensive in quality leaders insulated from the AI-valuation...
Key points
The market regime is cautious, with 46.82% of stocks above their 40-day simple moving average.
Alphabet fell 10.79% to $287.15 after a 90 cent EPS miss and negative free cash flow of $9.06 billion, while Microsoft rose 1.60% to $539.50.
Market breadth is firming: the 20-day SMA breadth gauge rose 14 points to 51% as capital moves into medical and quality large caps.
Scanner shows two LYN continuation signals in Eli Lilly, Vertex Pharmaceuticals and IBM; use CRT (controlled risk taking) with tight stops and T3A (think three days ahead).
Wait for the 8:30 AM ET Q3 GDP and September PCE data before committing capital, with an 83.3% probability of a December Fed hike.
See MSFT in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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See LLY in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open LLY in WaveFinder.
See VRTX in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open VRTX in WaveFinder.
See IBM in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open IBM in WaveFinder.