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Crude surges after a Strait of Hormuz strike, seemingly validating the Fed’s inflation warnings and flipping rate-hike odds back on. Underneath Friday’s calm rally, breadth quietly collapsed, leaving a narrow, defensive market where traders are told to stay selective ahead of Friday’s jobs report and a wave of earnings.
A Strait of Hormuz strike and Iranian retaliation send crude up nearly 3.6%, dragging futures lower.
Chair Warsh's post-Jackson Hole warning on commodity-driven inflation gains credibility as oil tops $86, flipping hike odds higher.
Two-year and ten-year yields hold steady, the dollar softens slightly, and a bare data calendar leaves oil as the day's main driver.
Despite green headline indexes, 8 of 11 sectors closed negative and 20-day breadth cratered from 46% to 19% in a single session.
Mega-cap tech and software carried the tape while small caps and semis lagged, with capital quietly rotating into medical, finance, and insurance.
Continuation and reversal scans highlight energy, quality, and momentum names, plus an Aon-USI M&A angle in insurance brokers.
CRT and Think-3-Days-Ahead codes frame a cautious approach, with clear gap-up and gap-down playbooks heading toward Friday's jobs report.
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