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Power Hour #33 Bearish

Power Hour #33: Bearish Breadth Confirmed: Trade the Collapse – Monday 5/4/2026

May 4, 2026 3:10
Tickers Mentioned
Episode Summary
With market breadth collapsing below 50% and only Energy holding up, the hosts break down the bearish regime shift, actionable positions (EVH long, ADT cut), and tomorrow’s key levels to watch—VAL and VWAP.
Key Takeaways
  • Market breadth weakens significantly.
  • Energy sector shows strength.
  • Continue to favor short setups.
  • Watch EVH for continuation.
  • Monitor RSPG for tomorrow's trend.
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WaveRider Power Hour: Energy Surge Fuels Late-Day Action

Regime Check — Where Are We Now?

Regime remains bearish as the session progresses with weakening breadth.

  • Breadth is contracting. The percentage of stocks above their 20 SMA decreased significantly from 58% yesterday to 43% today. The percentage above the 40 SMA also decreased from 69.62% to 63.8%.
  • The Energy sector (RSPG) is leading with a current value of 1.86 and a rising trend, while Health Care (RSPH) suffers with a current value of -1.33.
  • Today’s character appears to be a trend day favoring Energy, while other sectors show weakness.

Strategy Signals — Continuation, Reversal & SIP

  • The strongest continuation signal is EVH, up 5.9% with a relative volume (RVOL) of 0.5.
  • The strongest bullish reversal setup is XFLT, down -0.4% with an RVOL of 9.5.
  • From today’s SIP data, PN shows considerable relative volume (RVOL 63.72), driven by news of acquiring the remaining stake, and a 15.69% change from open.
  • PLASTICS is relevant today, with Energy (RSPG) outperforming most sectors.

Closing Playbook — What To Do Now

  • Consider exiting ADT from the reversal list if it continues to show weakness, as it is already down -5.2%.
  • Watch EVH for a potential breakout into the close; if it confirms, a long position could be considered.
  • Data for SPY is unavailable; therefore, no price level can be given.

Tomorrow’s Early Look

  • Check for any after-hours news impacting key sectors.
  • Watch RSPG for continuation of its uptrend; a pullback to monitor is VAL.
  • Given the bearish breadth, continue to favor short setups and watch for further downside momentum, but note today’s outperformance in Energy.
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