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Power Hour #113 Bearish

Power Hour #113: The 47-Point Flush: Triage Before the Bell – Thursday 9/24/2026

September 24, 2026 4:24
Tickers Mentioned
Episode Summary
Breadth collapsed from 82% to 35% above the 20 SMA in a single session, flipping the market to a defensive, oversold regime. The analyst walks through a final-hour triage plan — holding confirmed leaders like Agilent, cutting sentiment-broken names like DELL and BWXT, and flagging ASTS and CRWV as the setups to watch into tomorrow.
Key Takeaways
  • 20SMA breadth collapsed 47 points to 35% intraday
  • Technology and Health Care are the only strong sectors
  • Utilities crater to -4.82, a fresh low
  • Agilent (A) is the cleanest continuation at +4.3%
  • Trim weak SIP names DELL and BWXT into the close
0:00 / 4:24

Regime Check — Where Are We Now?

Regime has flipped defensive since the open — breadth is collapsing intraday even as headline fear metrics stay mixed.

  • Breadth contracting hard: % Above 20 SMA cratered from 82% to 35% (-47pp) day-over-day, while % Above 40 SMA slipped to 19.77% — the 40 SMA reads Oversold and sentiment is Bearish.
  • Leadership narrowing: Technology (RSPT) is the lone strong sector at the 95th percentile and rising; Health Care (RSPH 2.16) holds firm. Utilities (RSPU) are in freefall at -4.82, a fresh low, with Financials and Consumer Discretionary both at 0th percentile.
  • Character: This is a reversal/distribution day — Bear 4% cooled from 344 to 180, but the 47-point 20SMA breadth flush signals broad selling under a thin megacap-tech bid.

Strategy Signals — Continuation, Reversal & SIP

  • Strongest continuation (2LYNCH): A (Agilent) at $172.35, +4.3%, RVOL 1.2, MEDICAL with institutional sponsorship — the cleanest trending name on the board. AMD backs it at $623.50, +1.4%, RVOL 1.1 in CHIPS.
  • Strongest reversal setup: High-RVOL washouts dominate — SNX -9.2% (RVOL 4.2) and VKTX -11.5% (RVOL 4.2) are capitulation candles, not buys yet. Watch EFT ($10.41, RVOL 5.2) and BLOK ($65.05, RVOL 5.1) for a base-and-turn.
  • SIP leaders holding vs failing: CRWV is the standout — sentiment +2, JPMorgan upgrade, $86.90 though fading from a +2.55 gap (change-from-open -2.33). DELL ($549.42, sentiment -1) is failing on the Oracle data-center delay; BWXT ($141.84, sentiment -2) is the weakest on Project Jupiter slippage.
  • Most relevant action code — PLASTICS (Sector Winners): With breadth this thin, money is concentrating in Tech and Health Care. Pair it with ABC (Always Be in Control) — a -47pp breadth flush demands smaller size and tighter stops.

Closing Playbook — What To Do Now

  • CLOSE / trim into the bell: Utilities exposure — RSPU at -4.82 and still falling gives zero reason to hold. Reduce weak-SIP names DELL (Oracle delay) and BWXT (guidance/revenue cut); both carry negative sentiment and headline risk overnight.
  • ENTER only on confirmation: A above $172.35 on sustained RVOL is the highest-quality continuation into the close; keep risk defined. CRWV needs to reclaim its gap and hold above $86.90 before trusting the JPMorgan-driven bid — don’t chase a fade.
  • Key level: SPY prints are data unavailable today, so lean on breadth as your tape: if % Above 20 SMA stabilizes above 35% into the close, the flush is digesting; a further drop signals continuation lower tomorrow.

Tomorrow’s Early Look

  • Overnight catalysts: Watch space/satellite momentum after ASTS ($59.98) got a lift from the Google Suncatcher headline, and monitor whether the Oracle data-center delay bleeds into other AI-infra names beyond DELL.
  • Setup forming: A remains the cleanest gap-and-go into tomorrow — a hold above $172.35 keeps the trend intact. CRWV above $86.90 sets up an episodic-pivot follow-through on the JPMorgan upgrade.
  • Regime outlook: Today’s -47pp breadth collapse changes the plan — treat rallies with suspicion, favor Tech/Health leaders only, and stay in control until % Above 40 SMA lifts off its 19.77% Oversold reading.
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