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Delayed 9M / Episodic Pivot Analysis — 2026-02-16

February 16, 2026 5 min read
Tickers Mentioned
AAPDABEVAKAMCGNXEXC
Key Takeaways
  • AAPD: catalyst 1d ago, +5.0% gap | ABEV: catalyst 1d ago, +4.9% gap | AKAM: catalyst 1d ago, +10.3% gap

Catalyst Overview

Today’s session delivers 125 total Delayed 9M signals with 17 fresh 9M catalyst events triggering in real-time. The quality assessment reveals an exceptional landscape for episodic pivot trading, with several massive breakouts from 1-2 days ago now showing textbook delayed reaction patterns. Notably, zero stocks carry EP tags, indicating we’re in the early identification phase of these emerging opportunities.

All Top 10 candidates display the critical G flag (gap ≥4%), confirming significant institutional interest at the catalyst event. The delayed 9M setup—where price consolidates or pulls back 1-2 days after a major catalyst before resuming trend—is playing out across multiple sectors. Volume profiles remain elevated with several names showing RVOL above 1.5x, suggesting sustained participation beyond the initial catalyst day.

From a MAGNA53 perspective, AAPD and FSLY stand out with both G and N flags, indicating neglected names (under 100 institutional funds) that just experienced massive gap moves—a classic setup for continued momentum as the story spreads to a wider investor base.

Top 5 MAGNA53 Candidates

FSLY ($18.26) — Software

Catalyst Analysis: FSLY detonated with a stunning 72.3% move just 1 day ago on massive volume of 116.5M shares—over 5x normal levels. The BullishMarkupBar reaction pattern confirms institutional accumulation, and today’s +13.8% continuation on 5.6x RVOL demonstrates the delayed 9M setup in full force. This is the classic “day-after-catalyst” surge that episodic pivot traders live for.

MAGNA53 Score: G flag confirmed with the massive gap. The stock sits in the critical between zone, having cleared demand at $8.20-$8.58 and now heading toward weekly supply at $22.28-$24.96. With 326 institutional funds and ATR%-M of 11.7%, volatility remains elevated but manageable. The stock is just -4.6% from 52-week highs despite being a software name—indicating strong relative strength.

Level Price Logic
Entry $18.00-$18.50 Current consolidation zone
Stop $16.20 Below 1-day demand structure
Target 1 $22.28 Weekly supply lower bound
Target 2 $24.50 Weekly supply upper bound

AKAM ($111.76) — Software

AKAM Daily Chart

Catalyst Analysis: Akamai gapped 10.3% higher 1 day ago on nearly 11M volume, then followed with today’s powerful +6.8% continuation on 1.8x RVOL. The BullishMarkupBar pattern confirms buyers are in control. With 1,458 institutional funds, this is a widely-held name experiencing a major fundamental rerating.

MAGNA53 Score: G flag active. The stock is now at_supply but only -1.5% from 52-week highs, suggesting this isn’t a dead-cat bounce but rather a legitimate breakout attempt. The monthly supply zone at $112.28-$123.25 represents the final resistance before all-time high territory. Risk management is challenging with 201.9% risk/ATR, but the institutional backing provides confidence.

Level Price Logic
Entry $110.00-$112.00 Pullback to 4h demand creation
Stop $104.50 Below catalyst day low
Target 1 $118.00 Mid-monthly supply zone
Target 2 $123.00 Monthly supply upper bound

CGNX ($58.79) — Electronics

CGNX Daily Chart

Catalyst Analysis: Cognex delivered the most explosive catalyst in today’s dataset—a 36.4% eruption 1 day ago on 12.6M volume. The BullishPinBar reaction (showing a rejection of lower prices) combined with today’s consolidation at +0.2% on 2.0x RVOL indicates smart money is absorbing supply before the next leg.

MAGNA53 Score: G flag confirmed. The stock sits in the coveted between zone, having cleared massive demand and now -1.8% from 52-week highs. With 722 institutional funds and a 10.5% ATR%-M, this is a volatile but liquid setup. The distance to weekly supply at $67.63-$70.84 provides a clean 15% runway.

Level Price Logic
Entry $57.50-$59.00 Current consolidation after pin bar
Stop $54.00 Below catalyst day low structure
Target 1 $65.00 Midpoint to weekly supply
Target 2 $68.50 Weekly supply zone entry

AAPD ($13.91) — Miscellaneous

AAPD Daily Chart

Catalyst Analysis: This neglected name surged 5.0% on 10.4M volume just 1 day ago, then continued with today’s +2.4% advance on 1.4x RVOL. The BullishMarkupBar confirms institutional interest despite minimal fund ownership.

MAGNA53 Score: Both G and N flags active—the holy grail for momentum continuation. With only 4 institutional funds, this story is just beginning to spread. The stock is at_supply but only 0.29% from breaking into the next leg higher. The -13.5% distance from 52-week highs provides plenty of upside runway if the story gains traction.

Level Price Logic
Entry $13.70-$14.00 4h supply zone test
Stop $12.70 Below weekly demand upper bound
Target 1 $14.80 Initial breakout extension
Target 2 $15.90 52-week high approach

EXC ($48.48) — Utility

EXC Daily Chart

Catalyst Analysis: Exelon gapped 7.0% higher 1 day ago on 24.2M volume in the utility sector—a rare event for this typically slow-moving group. Today’s +2.0% follow-through on 1.2x RVOL confirms the delayed 9M pattern. With 2,609 institutional funds, this is maximum institutional participation.

MAGNA53 Score: G flag confirmed. The stock is at_supply but remarkably just -0.5% from 52-week highs. For a utility to show this kind of momentum suggests a significant fundamental catalyst (likely regulatory approval or major contract). The 4.4% ATR%-M makes this the lowest-volatility setup in the Top 5, ideal for conservative accounts.

Level Price Logic
Entry $48.00-$48.70 Weekly supply test zone
Stop $46.00 Below catalyst day support
Target 1 $49.50 52-week high breakout
Target 2 $51.00 Extension target (5% above highs)

Fresh 9M Catalysts

Today’s real-time catalyst events include ATOM with a stunning 64.0% surge on 28.3M volume—this will likely appear in tomorrow’s Delayed 9M candidates if it consolidates properly. AMAT (+8.1%) and ANET (+4.8%) both cleared the 4% gap threshold on substantial volume, positioning them as potential delayed reaction plays for Tuesday’s session.

BROS and ABNB both registered +4.7% moves on elevated volume, meeting the minimum gap criteria. These consumer-facing names with strong institutional backing (both in high-visibility sectors) often develop textbook delayed 9M patterns as algorithms and technical traders pile in 24-48 hours after the initial catalyst.

Summary

Today’s episodic pivot landscape represents exceptional quality with multiple large-cap, institutionally-backed names showing the delayed 9M pattern after significant catalysts. The software sector dominates with FSLY, AKAM, and NET all in play, while industrials (CGNX), utilities (EXC), and neglected small-caps (AAPD) provide diversification.

The absence of EP tags means we’re identifying these opportunities ahead of the algorithm-driven crowd. Priority focus should be on FSLY for aggressive accounts (72% catalyst, neglected, massive continuation) and EXC for conservative accounts (utility stability, maximum institutional backing, near 52-week highs). The 17 fresh catalysts today ensure tomorrow’s pipeline remains robust.

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