Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-10-15 from 14:00 to 19:30. Note: The data you provided are 30-minute intraday slices from a single session; no prior 10–30 day aggregates were included. The commentary below focuses on short-term momentum and microstructure from these 30-minute prints.
- Semiconductors/Hardware (MRVL, WDC, STX, UMC, AAOI): Broadly constructive. WDC and STX printed higher after-hours highs and held most gains; MRVL stair-stepped higher with buyers defending dips; AAOI showed an impulsive pop to 33.31 then shallow retrace, suggesting dip-buying interest. This group looks bid on minor pullbacks.
- Cyber/Enterprise software (CRWD, WDAY): Net-flat to slightly firm; tight ranges and light prints indicate no distribution—buyers still present on weakness, but no fresh momentum without catalysts.
- EV/Auto (RIVN, NIO): Sideways, narrow ranges, and muted volume—no evidence of aggressive accumulation. Risk of chop until a range break.
- Biotech/Drug discovery (RXRX, ABSI, ROIV, NTLA, MRNA, QURE, ENTA, EVAX): Small/mid-cap bio (RXRX, ABSI) showed clean higher-highs with rising volume—accumulation tells. Larger-cap bio (ROIV, NTLA) were steady; EVAX firmed late. Overall, a constructive tone skewed to small/mid-cap momentum.
- Energy/Uranium/Nuclear (SMR, NXE): SMR showed strong range expansion with elevated volume and a close near the upper third of the session range—clear relative strength. NXE was steady. Theme remains supported.
- Metals/Materials (AG, IAG, JHX): Precious metals miners (AG, IAG) were stable to slightly higher; building materials (JHX) popped into the close but saw some giveback—neutral to firm.
- Financials/Staples/REIT (WFC, PEP, DBRG): Mixed to muted. PEP steady, WFC flat, DBRG choppy. Little momentum edge here.
Notable patterns
– Range expansion + close near highs with above-average prints: SMR, RXRX, ABSI.
– Pop-and-hold within upper half of range: WDC, MRVL, AAOI.
– Sideways/indecisive: CRWD, WDAY, RIVN, NIO.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to push higher: SMR, RXRX, ABSI, WDC, MRVL, AAOI.
Strongest bullish signals: SMR (range expansion + volume), RXRX (sequential higher highs with rising prints), ABSI (orderly stair-step and buyers into minor pullbacks).
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Support/resistance derived from the provided 30-min session plus obvious nearby round-number supply/demand zones that commonly align with daily levels. Targets reflect 1–3 day swing potential and typical recent ranges for these tickers.
SMR
– Support: 53.20; 53.05; 52.66–52.70
– Resistance: 53.57 (AH high); 53.90; 54.50
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Favor a dip to 53.10–53.30, VWAP reclaim, then a grind toward 53.90–54.50. A clean break/hold above 53.57 often triggers a momentum squeeze.
– 1–3 day price targets: 53.90; 54.50; stretch 55.20 if momentum persists.
– Entry ideas: 53.10–53.30 on a controlled pullback; add on 53.57 breakout/hold.
– Stop-loss: 52.55 (below 52.66 pivot and session base). If breakout-entry, use 53.10 fail as a tight stop.
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RXRX
– Support: 6.73; 6.70; 6.65
– Resistance: 6.80; 6.90; 7.00
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Look for an early test of 6.72–6.74, then a push through 6.80. Holding above 6.80 opens a measured move toward 6.90–7.00.
– 1–3 day price targets: 6.90; 6.98–7.00; stretch 7.15 on strong tape.
– Entry ideas: 6.72–6.76 on dip buy near support; or 6.81–6.83 on confirmed breakout with volume.
– Stop-loss: 6.66 (beneath micro base); tighter traders can use 6.69.
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ABSI
– Support: 4.86; 4.83; 4.75
– Resistance: 4.95; 5.00; 5.20
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Expect a brief backfill toward 4.85–4.88, then a retest of 4.95–5.00. A firm break/hold over 5.00 often draws momentum participants.
– 1–3 day price targets: 4.98–5.05; 5.15; stretch 5.30.
– Entry ideas: 4.85–4.88 swing starter; add through 4.95–5.00 on strength.
– Stop-loss: 4.74 (beneath session low region); breakout stop 4.89.
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WDC
– Support: 120.00; 120.59; 119.90
– Resistance: 121.30; 121.42; 122.00
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Prefer a shallow dip toward 120.10–120.40, then rotation back through 121.30. If it reclaims 121.42 and holds, continuation toward 122.00 is probable.
– 1–3 day price targets: 121.40; 122.00; stretch 123.20 on strong semis tape.
– Entry ideas: 120.10–120.40 with risk defined under 119.90; add on break/hold above 121.30.
– Stop-loss: 119.80 (below round-number/demand zone).
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MRVL
– Support: 88.67; 88.55; 88.22–88.25
– Resistance: 88.95; 89.20; 90.00
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Dips toward 88.50–88.70 likely get bought. A move/hold above 88.95–89.20 should invite a test of 90.00.
– 1–3 day price targets: 89.20; 89.80–90.00; stretch 90.80 if group flows stay positive.
– Entry ideas: 88.55–88.70 on pullback; or 89.00–89.10 on momentum reclaim.
– Stop-loss: 88.10 (beneath session lower band). Tighter stop 88.40 if sizing up.
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AAOI
– Support: 32.83; 32.90; 33.00
– Resistance: 33.31; 33.50; 34.00
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Strong impulse to 33.31 suggests buyers step in on 32.90–33.00 dips. Over 33.31, look for a continuation push into 33.50, then 34.00 if volume expands.
– 1–3 day price targets: 33.50; 33.90–34.00; stretch 34.60.
– Entry ideas: 32.90–33.00 risk-defined buy; add through 33.31 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 32.70 (below session low cluster).
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Additional quick notes
– Watchlist secondaries: STX (trend intact but thin after-hours), AG (steady—benefits if metals bid), ROIV/NTLA (biotech bids on green tape), EVAX (higher risk/thin).
– Caution: EV names (NIO, RIVN) showed no momentum edge; prefer confirmation via range breakouts before entries.
Risk management
– For momentum entries, keep stops just beyond the nearest valid support to avoid over-sizing risk.
– If a breakout fails to hold for 30–60 minutes on the 30-min chart, consider trimming or exiting—failed breakouts typically mean mean-reversion.
If you can share daily aggregates or 10/30-day ranges, I can refine the daily supply/demand zones and ATR-based targets further.