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Delay 9M Wednesday 10/01/2025

October 1, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range)

  • Analyzed window: 2025-10-01 from 13:00 to 19:30 ET (intraday samples). The upload did not include full 30-day or 10-day history; commentary focuses on today’s momentum and closing structure, which is what matters for 1–5 day swing setups. Use these as provisional levels to refine against your daily charts at the open.

Sector/industry read-through from the basket

  • Fintech/Consumer finance: Strong risk-on tone into the close. SOFI stair-stepped higher with expanding after-hours volume and closed at session highs (~26.05–26.04). That’s a short-term bullish continuation cue.
  • Crypto miners: Bid returned late day. MARA and CLSK both pushed to new session highs into the final prints (MARA ~18.73, CLSK ~14.76 before a minor cooldown), a constructive risk-on tell for the group.
  • Uranium/Energy: NXE advanced into the close (8.80 print) with a late-volume pop; SMR held firm in the high-36s. EQT posted firm upticks, reflecting supportive energy tone.
  • Semis/AI-adjacent: AAOI pushed to 28.60 late; ALAB inched higher (~194s). MRVL was net-flat but stable—no risk-off there. Tech SaaS (WDAY, BRZE, IOT) largely unchanged after hours.
  • Retail/Consumer: Mixed-to-soft. M slipped intraday and AEO was flat; not the leadership today.
  • Health/Biotech and micro-caps: Mostly quiet/illiquid after hours (HIMS flat; GOSS, EVAX, MBOT, AQST, LAES small prints). Not enough broad confirmation yet.

Key pattern: Leadership rotation toward beta (SOFI, miners, uranium) with closing strength and higher highs/higher lows on 30-minute structure. Laggards were retail and some small-cap bios.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely upside continuations based on closing momentum, structure, and liquidity:

  • SOFI, MARA, CLSK, NXE, AAOI

Secondary watch (constructive but needs confirmation): ALAB, SMR, FIG, RIVN
Strongest bullish signals today: SOFI (closing at highs with volume), CLSK (late-day breakout then shallow pullback), MARA (persistent bid), NXE (late push/volume), AAOI (firming under nearby resistance).

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Levels reflect visible intraday supply/demand and logical round-number pivots; refine against your daily chart premarket. Entries are “if/then” triggers; honor stops.

SOFI

  • Support: 25.90 (AH VWAP/reclaim), 25.70–25.75 (afternoon base), 25.50 (psych + likely daily demand)
  • Resistance: 26.05 (AH high), 26.25, 26.50
  • Next 2–3 days (30-min game plan):

– If holds above 25.90 on the open, look for 26.15–26.25 initial push; continuation to 26.40–26.50 if VWAP holds.
– Lose 25.70 and fail to reclaim → backfill to 25.50 where buyers must show.

  • Swing targets (1–3 days): 26.20, 26.45, stretch 26.80
  • Entries: 25.90–25.95 VWAP hold/reclaim; or breakout >26.06 with volume; or pullback buy 25.70–25.75 if bid defends
  • Stops: Tight below 25.74 (pullback entry) or 25.48 (wider/daily)
finviz dynamic chart for  SOFI

MARA

  • Support: 18.60 (post-close base), 18.40, 18.20
  • Resistance: 18.75, 19.00, 19.30
  • Next 2–3 days:

– Above 18.60 and through 18.75 opens 18.95–19.00; continuation 19.20 if crypto tape stays firm.
– Below 18.50 risks fade to 18.40; that level must hold for the long thesis.

  • Swing targets: 18.95, 19.20, 19.60
  • Entries: 18.60–18.65 defended pullback; or momentum >18.76 with expanding volume
  • Stops: 18.45 (tight), 18.18 (structure)
finviz dynamic chart for  MARA

CLSK

  • Support: 14.62 (post-close pivot), 14.50, 14.20
  • Resistance: 14.76 (AH high), 15.00, 15.40
  • Next 2–3 days:

– Expect a build under 14.80, then a push through to 15.05–15.20 if dips keep getting bought at/above 14.60.
– Loss of 14.40 would likely force a reset into 14.20.

  • Swing targets: 14.95, 15.20, 15.50
  • Entries: 14.60–14.65 pullback with higher-low confirmation; or breakout >14.78
  • Stops: 14.44 (tight), 14.18 (wider)
finviz dynamic chart for  CLSK

NXE

  • Support: 8.70 (post-close pivot), 8.60, 8.45
  • Resistance: 8.80, 8.95, 9.10
  • Next 2–3 days:

– Prefer consolidation 8.65–8.80 then grind to 8.90–8.95; sustained closes >8.95 open 9.10.
– Failure back under 8.58–8.60 likely retests 8.45 demand.

  • Swing targets: 8.90, 8.98–9.00, 9.10–9.20
  • Entries: 8.70 retest/hold; or momentum >8.81
  • Stops: 8.58 (tight), 8.44 (wider)
finviz dynamic chart for  NXE

AAOI

  • Support: 28.40 (late-day shelf), 28.10, 27.70
  • Resistance: 28.60, 29.00, 29.60
  • Next 2–3 days:

– Coiling between 28.30–28.60; breakout over 28.60 targets 28.90–29.00, then 29.20–29.60 if buyers sustain above VWAP on dips.
– Lose 28.10 and fail to reclaim → likely drift to 27.70.

  • Swing targets: 28.90, 29.20, 29.60
  • Entries: 28.40–28.45 defended pullback; or breakout >28.61 on volume
  • Stops: 28.18 (tight), 27.88 (wider)
finviz dynamic chart for  AAOI

Notes and risk management

  • After-hours prints can be thin; prioritize confirmation at the cash open and respect VWAP. If the first 30–60 minutes reject your level, step aside and wait for a reclaim.
  • Targets above align with nearby resistance zones and a conservative 1–1.5x recent 30-minute expansion; adjust to your preferred daily ATR once you confirm it on your platform.
  • Secondary bullish watchlist needing confirmation: ALAB (above 194.30 → 195–196), SMR (holds 36.70 → 37.20–37.60), RIVN (over 14.70 → 14.95–15.10).

If you want, share the true 30-day daily data and I’ll refine the support/resistance zones and ATR-based targets precisely.

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