Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (window analyzed: 2025-09-30 ~13:00 to 19:30 EST)
Note: The upload contains late-session and after-hours 30-minute bars for 2025-09-30. I did not receive a full 30-day history to quantify 10/30-day trend and ATR; therefore, the commentary and levels lean on today’s intraday structure, clear nearby supply/demand, and typical round-number reactions.
- Precious metals miners (AG, HL, FSM, BTG): Generally flat-to-sideways after-hours with tight ranges and light volume, signaling no clear momentum handoff into tomorrow without a commodity catalyst. AG 12.22–12.31, HL ~12.05–12.08, FSM ~8.90–8.98, BTG pinned near 4.95. No broad bid detected across the group.
- Retail/apparel (AEO, M, Gap/GPS, DLTH): Showed late-day accumulation and higher-tick closes, with AEO the standout (spike to 17.14 then held upper range). M and GPS finished firm; DLTH continued a controlled intraday climb. This points to buyers rotating into retail into the close.
- Financials/fintech/alt managers (SOFI, PAGS, OWL, FIG, RKT): Divergent. OWL had a power move into the bell and held most of it after-hours (16.42→16.96 intraday push, holding ~16.75–16.93). PAGS steadily pressed the $10 round number and printed successive higher closes. SOFI faded after-hours (26.32→26.11). RKT range-bound; FIG steady but thin.
- Semis/AI/tech (MRVL, ALAB, TEM, RAPP): Mixed. MRVL held firm around 83 and kept reclaiming dips. ALAB ticked higher into 195 in AH. TEM faded from highs (81.68→81.11). RAPP sold off from 30.72 to 29.74, suggesting supply overhead near 30–31.
- Autos/mobility (STLA, RIVN, LYFT): STLA with constructive grind and volume into 9.33; RIVN contained between 14.63–14.69; LYFT stable ~21.95. Bias modestly constructive for STLA; the rest neutral pending open.
- Energy/uranium/crypto (APA, NXE, HUT): Quiet. APA and NXE had thin, directionless after-hours; HUT flat, mirroring a calm crypto tape.
- Health/bio/digital health (HIMS, NTLA, MLYS, RXRX, MBOT, TEM): Mixed-to-muted. HIMS range-bound ~56.3–56.6. NTLA pinned ~17.20–17.27. MLYS/MBOT/RXRX thin but stable. TEM’s fade signals near-term digestion.
Noticeable short-term pattern: rotation into select retail (AEO) and alternative asset managers/fintech (OWL, PAGS), constructive auto (STLA), selective semis (MRVL, ALAB). No confirmation bid across metals or high-beta healthcare yet. Tickers referenced above.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside/strongest bullish signals based on today’s price/volume and closing posture:
- OWL, PAGS, STLA, MRVL, AEO, ALAB. High-risk momentum add-on: RZLV (thin).
- Secondary watch for upside if they firm at open: LYFT, RIVN. Metals (AG, HL, FSM, BTG) need a commodity-driven gap to engage.
Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plans
Note: Levels are derived from today’s intraday structure plus obvious round-number supply/demand. Adjust to your own ATR stats once your full 30D data/ATR is in your system.
1) OWL (Blue Owl Capital)
- Supports: 16.75, 16.60, 16.40
- Resistances: 17.00, 17.20, 17.50
- 30-min path idea (2–3 days):
– Bull scenario: Hold 16.75–16.80 off the open, base above VWAP, push through 17.00 → 17.20. If 17.20 reclaims on closing basis, extension to 17.45–17.50 within 1–3 days.
– Bear risk: Lose 16.60 early, expect a backfill toward 16.40 before buyers retry.
- Price targets (1–3 day): 17.05, 17.20, stretch 17.45–17.50
- Entry: Prefer pullbacks 16.75–16.82 with tight risk; or momentum add on 17.02–17.05 reclaim with VWAP support.
- Stop-loss: 16.58 (beneath structure); wider swing stop 16.38 if sizing down.
2) PAGS (PagSeguro)
- Supports: 9.95, 9.85, 9.75
- Resistances: 10.10, 10.30, 10.50
- 30-min path idea:
– Bull: Respect 9.95–10.00 on dips, then rotate through 10.10. Push/hold above 10.10 opens 10.30; a strong day can test 10.45–10.50.
– Bear risk: Firm rejection at 10.10 and sustained trade <9.95 invites 9.85 test.
- Price targets: 10.10, 10.30, 10.45
- Entry: 9.96–10.00 pullback-to-hold; or 10.11–10.12 breakout add if intraday breadth is strong.
- Stop-loss: 9.82 (tight); or 9.74 if aiming for multi-day swing.
3) STLA (Stellantis)
- Supports: 9.26, 9.20, 9.10
- Resistances: 9.35, 9.50, 9.70
- 30-min path idea:
– Bull: Early hold above 9.26 leads to 9.35 test; a clean break/hold of 9.35 targets 9.45–9.50. Continuation day can stretch toward 9.65–9.70.
– Bear risk: Lose 9.20 → buyers likely try again at 9.10.
- Price targets: 9.45, 9.55, 9.68
- Entry: 9.26–9.30 on a higher-low pullback; add through 9.36 if tape is risk-on.
- Stop-loss: 9.18 (tight); or 9.08 for a wider swing.
4) MRVL (Marvell Technology)
- Supports: 82.75, 82.30, 81.80
- Resistances: 83.25, 84.00, 85.00
- 30-min path idea:
– Bull: Open and hold above 82.80–83.00; grind through 83.25 to test 83.60–84.00. If semis bid, 84.60–85.00 is reachable within 1–3 days.
– Bear risk: A firm rejection at 83.25 with a loss of 82.75 could backfill to 82.30.
- Price targets: 83.60, 84.20, 84.80–85.00
- Entry: 82.80–83.00 pullback, or momentum add 83.28–83.35 once sustained.
- Stop-loss: 82.28 (beneath structure); conservative swing stop 81.78.
5) AEO (American Eagle Outfitters)
- Supports: 16.90, 16.70, 16.50
- Resistances: 17.20, 17.50, 17.80
- 30-min path idea:
– Bull: Hold 16.90–17.00 early; push back through 17.20 reclaims momentum. Above 17.20, expect 17.35–17.50. Strong tape could test 17.70–17.80.
– Bear risk: Slip under 16.70 and stay there → likely a slower setup.
- Price targets: 17.20, 17.45, 17.70
- Entry: 16.92–17.00 buy-the-dip; or 17.22 breakout add on volume.
- Stop-loss: 16.64 (tight); or 16.48 if giving it room.
6) ALAB (Astera Labs)
- Supports: 194.50, 193.80, 192.50
- Resistances: 195.00, 197.00, 200.00
- 30-min path idea:
– Bull: Hold 194.5 on dips and reclaim/hold 195 → opens 197. A broad semis bid can attempt 199–200 round-number magnet within 1–3 sessions.
– Bear risk: Lose 193.8 and fail to reclaim → backfill toward 192.5 liquidity.
- Price targets: 196.80–197.00, 199.00, 200.00
- Entry: 194.6–194.9 on a higher-low; or 195.10–195.20 momentum add.
- Stop-loss: 193.70 (tight); or 192.40 for a swing with smaller size.
7) RZLV (high-risk momentum, thin)
- Supports: 5.10, 5.00, 4.90
- Resistances: 5.20, 5.35, 5.50
- 30-min path idea:
– Bull: Maintain 5.10–5.15 higher lows; break/hold 5.20 to target 5.30–5.35. Extension to 5.45–5.50 possible if liquidity improves.
– Bear risk: Sustained trade <5.00 likely unwinds toward 4.90.
- Price targets: 5.25, 5.35, 5.48
- Entry: 5.10–5.15 pullback with tight risk; or 5.21–5.23 with volume confirmation.
- Stop-loss: 4.98; for thin names, consider using a stop-close basis if spreads widen.
Quick watchlist notes
- LYFT: Above 21.90 keeps a mild bullish bias; 22.10–22.20 next pivot if market risk-on.
- RIVN: Coiled ~14.65; needs 14.75+ hold for a push toward 15.00; below 14.60 likely chops.
- Metals (AG, HL, FSM, BTG): Neutral without a metals bid; engagement only on gap/strength.
- SOFI: After-hours fade—needs early reclaim >26.30 to reassert; otherwise likely mean-revert first.
Risk management
- For all ideas, if the first 30–60 minutes produce heavy sell programs and break the first listed support, favor waiting for a base/reclaim rather than averaging down.
- Size positions relative to realized intraday volatility; if you compute daily ATRs, align first and second targets with ~0.5x ATR and ~1.0x ATR beyond the nearest resistance.
If you can share the full 30-day data, I’ll refine these levels with precision ATRs, 10/30-day volume profiles, and supply/demand zones from the daily aggregates.