Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window: 2025-10-07 14:00–19:30)
Note: You provided intraday/after-hours 30-minute bars for Oct 7. Without the full 30-day/10-day history, I’m anchoring the read to today’s price/volume structure and obvious supply/demand pivots; swing targets lean on round-number levels and the session’s range behavior.
- AI/Software and Data:
- Strength/accumulation bias: WDAY firmed into the close (231.98→233.22), PATH stair-stepped higher (series of higher lows into 14.86), CFLT popped post-close on elevated volume (largest liquidity pocket across the tape for this set).
- Mixed/neutral: CRWD pinned ~485 on light tape; VNET muted; VRT eased from 160 to sub-159 (light AH pressure).
- Takeaway: Flows favored application/data software (WDAY, PATH, CFLT) over IT hardware/infrastructure (VRT) in the late session.
- Semis/Optical:
- MRVL softened (87.50→87.23) and AAOI held steady (~31.46–31.50). Net: mild consolidation; no broad risk-on impulse here AH.
- EV/Battery/Electrification:
- QS led with a strong AH spike (15.84→16.71, held ~16.20–16.32). ENVX faded late; MVST flat; SLI steady. Stock-specific bid centered on QS.
- Crypto-linked miners/brokers:
- Late-session distribution in MARA, CLSK, BITF; HUT bucked with a pop to 41.82 but on light prints; BKKT finished modestly higher. Net: sector cooling AH after prior momentum.
- Biotech/Med:
- Selective bids: ABCL grinded up to 5.79. GLUE and RCEL were soft; ROIV balanced; MRNA flat. Mixed, with small-cap biotech seeing selective accumulation (ABCL).
- Energy/Alt Energy:
- EQT ticked lower AH; BE and SHLS were weak. Risk appetite softer in energy/alt-energy.
Noticeable patterns:
– Liquidity and momentum clustered in QS and CFLT; steady interest in quality software (WDAY, PATH).
– Miners/alt-energy faded late; semis/optical mostly paused.
– Names with clean, rising intraday structures and clear nearby resistance overhead (good for momentum continuation) are PATH, QS, CFLT; ABCL and RCAT showed controlled bids.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside continuation candidates:
– QS, CFLT, PATH, ABCL, RCAT, WDAY
Strongest bullish signals:
– QS: Big AH expansion and held >16; clear catalyst-like flow.
– CFLT: Post-close jump on high volume; potential follow-through if 20.8–21.0 holds.
– PATH: Consistent higher lows into close; tight flag under 15.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
QS (QuantumScape)
– Structure: AH impulse to 16.71, consolidation 16.15–16.32 suggests acceptance above 16.
– Support (S): 16.00; 15.80; 15.50
– Resistance (R): 16.71 (AH high); 17.00; 17.40
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an early test of 16.10–16.20; higher low above 16.00 sets a push toward 16.70–17.00. Failure back below 15.80 risks a deeper flush to 15.50 before dip buyers show.
– Swing targets:
– T1 16.70–16.75 (prior AH high retest)
– T2 17.00–17.10 (psych level/round)
– T3 17.35–17.40 (extension toward next supply)
– Entry ideas: 16.05–16.20 on pullbacks; add on reclaim/hold above 16.40 with volume.
– Stop: 15.68–15.75 (just below 15.80 shelf); tighter scalps can use 15.95.
CFLT (Confluent)
– Structure: Strong post-close push from ~20.8 to 21.0+ after heavy regular-hours volume; constructive if 20.8 holds as demand.
– Support (S): 20.82; 20.56; 20.10
– Resistance (R): 21.40; 21.80; 22.20–22.25
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Early dip into 20.80–20.95 likely gets bought; break/hold above 21.40 opens continuation toward 21.80. If momentum fades, expect chop 20.55–21.10 before a secondary attempt.
– Swing targets:
– T1 21.40
– T2 21.80
– T3 22.20
– Entry ideas: 20.85–20.95 pulls; momentum add on 21.42–21.45 break with volume confirmation.
– Stop: 20.45 (beneath intraday demand); conservative swing stop 20.10.
PATH (UiPath)
– Structure: Persistent higher lows; capped ~14.86. Tight coil under 15.00.
– Support (S): 14.70; 14.60; 14.40
– Resistance (R): 14.86; 15.00; 15.30
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Look for an opening dip to 14.70–14.75; if buyers defend, a push through 14.86 to test 15.00 is favored. Sustained >15 opens a 15.20–15.30 run.
– Swing targets:
– T1 14.95–15.00
– T2 15.20
– T3 15.30–15.40
– Entry ideas: 14.70–14.75 on dips; momentum add above 14.90–14.95 with rising volume.
– Stop: 14.58 (below last higher low); wider swing 14.40.
ABCL (AbCellera)
– Structure: Steady grind from 5.69 to ~5.79; tight tape suggests accumulation.
– Support (S): 5.70; 5.66; 5.55
– Resistance (R): 5.80; 5.95; 6.10
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Early check-back toward 5.70 likely finds demand; clean trigger over 5.80 to test 5.95, then 6.10 if volume expands.
– Swing targets:
– T1 5.95
– T2 6.10
– T3 6.25
– Entry ideas: 5.70–5.74 pullback entries; breakout add on ≥5.82–5.85 with volume.
– Stop: 5.62 (beneath micro base); conservative swing stop 5.55.
RCAT (Red Cat Holdings)
– Structure: Intraday higher lows and closes near highs (~14.87). Drone/defense beta favors continuation if market risk-on persists.
– Support (S): 14.80; 14.60; 14.40
– Resistance (R): 14.91; 15.20; 15.50
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an opening dip to ~14.75–14.80; sustained bids likely push through 14.91 for a 15.10–15.30 test. Rejections may backfill to 14.60 before a second leg.
– Swing targets:
– T1 15.10
– T2 15.30
– T3 15.60
– Entry ideas: 14.75–14.82 on dips; add on break/hold 14.95 with volume.
– Stop: 14.58; wider swing 14.38.
WDAY (Workday)
– Structure: Regular-hours strength into 233.22, holding 233 AH. Big-cap software leadership tailwind if indices cooperate.
– Support (S): 232.24; 231.96; 230.00
– Resistance (R): 233.22–233.50; 234.00; 236.50
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Early probe of 232.2–232.6 should find buyers; reclaim/hold >233.5 targets 234.0, then 235–236.5 on follow-through.
– Swing targets:
– T1 234.00
– T2 235.50
– T3 237.50
– Entry ideas: 232.2–232.6 pullback into support; momentum add on >233.50 with rising volume.
– Stop: 231.40 (below intraday shelf); wider swing ~230.00.
Additional watch for upside if tape stays risk-on:
– BKKT (crypto-adj. broker) for a sympathy push if BTC firms; needs 39.00+ hold.
– VNET over 10.10 for a data-center catch-up move.
Risk management and notes
– Because only today’s 30-minute window was provided, the “daily” levels are anchored to obvious round-number supply/demand and today’s intraday pivots. If you share the full 30-day data, I’ll refine levels with true daily supply zones, 10D volume profiles, and quantified ATR targets.
– Size entries near supports; let confirmation candles on 30-min guide adds. Keep stops just beyond the nearest invalidation level to maintain 2–3R potential.