Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range (EST) analyzed: 2026-02-05 14:00 to 19:30, including the regular-hours close and extended session prints provided.
– Context note: The upload contains intraday/extended data from a single session rather than 30 days. I’ll focus on the most recent price/volume footprints and recent sector tape to frame 1–5 day momentum setups. If you share 30-day daily bars/ATR, I’ll refine levels and targets.
Sector/industry read-through from today’s tape:
– Semiconductors (AMAT, LRCX, TSM, ALGM): Clear relative strength into the extended session. AMAT pushed to fresh session highs into the close (302). LRCX climbed and closed at session highs (213.01). TSM faded late, indicating rotation toward equipment (AMAT/LRCX) rather than foundry. This favors continuation squeezes in equipment.
– Cybersecurity/Software (FTNT): Persistent bid, staircase higher to new AH highs (82.80). Accumulation pattern with higher lows across bars.
– Mega-cap Tech (META): Constructive hold near highs (655.05) after defending the 648–652 zone intraday. Looks like a controlled consolidation with buyers absorbing dips.
– Energy (DVN, AR, CNQ): Flat-to-soft, little momentum. Prints were thin with no demand surge; not my preferred long side for 1–3 day momentum here.
– Materials/Metals (FCX, AG, MOS, LYB, NXE): Mixed. FCX faded across the AH window (58.4 → ~56 area) on steady selling. AG shook out hard mid-session then reclaimed 19 heading into the last print — a tradable bounce setup but still choppy. NXE steady.
– Space/Satellite/Comms (ASTS, RKLB, RDW, SATL, SATS, PL, VNET): Distribution day. ASTS and RKLB both faded with range expansion on the downside; RDW and SATL also soft. SATS illiquid and lower later. This cohort looks like “sell-the-rip” near term until fresh catalysts.
– Biotech/Spec (IBRX, NVAX, GLUE, PDYN): Mixed. IBRX showed steady support and closed firm near session highs (5.55 area). NVAX flat and illiquid. GLUE/PL drifted lower. If risk rotates back into beta, IBRX has the better long setup among these.
– Financials (MS, CFG, FITB, WU, RILY): Quiet to soft with thin prints; not showing impulse buyers. IP (Paper/Packaging) was the outlier within industrials/packaging, finishing on a strong print (44.69).
Notable short-term patterns:
– Strength into close: AMAT, LRCX, FTNT, META, IBRX.
– Weakness/distribution: ASTS, RKLB, FCX, RDW, SATL, PL.
– Mean-reversion bounce potential: AG (reclaim of 19 zone), IP (strong close), ENPH (defended 45.6, reclaimed 46.6 late).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Likely upside continuation candidates:
– AMAT, LRCX: Semi equipment leadership; strong closes at/near highs.
– FTNT: Persistent higher-lows and higher-highs in extended; potential for a day-2 push.
– META: Tight consolidation near highs; room for a measured leg up.
– IBRX: Consistent demand into close; small cap with momentum potential.
Secondary watch (bounce/mean reversion): AG, IP, ENPH.
Individual Stock Analysis (setups likely to go up 1–3 days)
AMAT (Applied Materials)
– Thesis: Strong close at session highs with steady demand in semi equipment; likely continuation if 300 holds.
– Key daily zones (derived from today’s visible supply/demand and nearby psych levels):
– Supports: 300.25–300.50, 299.10, 296.40
– Resistances: 302.00, 303.50, 305.50
– 30-min path (next 2–3 days): Expect an opening test of 300–301. If defended, grind to 302–303.5 on day 1; extension attempts into 305–306 on day 2 if semis stay bid.
– Entries:
– Primary: 300.40–300.80 pullback buy.
– Secondary: 301.20 reclaim after a shallow dip.
– Targets (1–3 day swing):
– T1: 302.00–302.50 (prior AH high/overhang)
– T2: 303.50–304.00
– Stretch: 305.50
– Stop: 298.90 (below 299.10 pivot and round-number flush). Tighter risk: 299.60 if tape is strong.
LRCX (Lam Research)
– Thesis: Closed on highs with broad semi strength; momentum continuation favored above 211.
– Key zones:
– Supports: 211.00, 210.20, 208.78
– Resistances: 212.33, 213.01, 214.50
– 30-min path: Early probe of 211.5–212; hold leads to push through 212.33 → 213.0, then a measured stair toward 214–214.5 by day 2.
– Entries:
– Primary: 211.10–211.40 on controlled dip.
– Secondary: 212.40 breakout-through-retest.
– Targets:
– T1: 213.00
– T2: 214.50
– Stretch: 216.00 if semis surge as a group.
– Stop: 209.90 (beneath 210 shelf). Tight alt: 210.40 for momentum execution.
FTNT (Fortinet)
– Thesis: Sequential higher lows and a close at the high (82.80) — classic momentum continuation setup.
– Key zones:
– Supports: 81.78, 81.26, 81.00
– Resistances: 83.20, 83.80, 84.80
– 30-min path: Expect an early dip toward 82–82.2 to shake weak hands, then push toward 83.2–83.8. Continuation toward 84.5–84.8 if software/cyber stays firm.
– Entries:
– Primary: 82.00–82.20 VWAP/first pullback buy.
– Secondary: 83.00 break-and-retest for momentum.
– Targets:
– T1: 83.20–83.50
– T2: 83.80–84.00
– Stretch: 84.80
– Stop: 81.20 (below 81.26 pivot). Aggressive momentum stop: 81.70.
META (Meta Platforms)
– Thesis: Consolidation near highs with repeated defenses of 648–652; buyers present into the close.
– Key zones:
– Supports: 652.50, 651.25, 648.65
– Resistances: 655.05, 657.90, 660.00
– 30-min path: Choppy open; if 652.5–653 holds, expect a grind through 655 toward 658–660 by day 2. Failure of 651 likely just invites a test of 649 before buyers reassert.
– Entries:
– Primary: 652.80–653.50 on a controlled dip.
– Secondary: 655.10 break-and-hold continuation.
– Targets:
– T1: 657.90–658.50
– T2: 660.00–662.00
– Stretch: 665.00 if market risk-on persists.
– Stop: 648.40 (below defended zone). Tighter alternative: 650.80 if momentum is strong.
IBRX (ImmunoBiobics)
– Thesis: Accumulation intraday with multiple reclaims; closed near session highs — setup for a push through 5.55–5.60.
– Key zones:
– Supports: 5.48–5.49, 5.45, 5.37
– Resistances: 5.55, 5.60–5.62, 5.75
– 30-min path: Early dip to 5.48–5.50 should attract buyers; a clean push through 5.55 opens 5.60–5.62; extension to 5.70–5.75 possible on day 2 if volume expands.
– Entries:
– Primary: 5.48–5.50 pullback buy into support.
– Secondary: 5.56 breakout entry with quick follow-through.
– Targets:
– T1: 5.60–5.62
– T2: 5.70–5.75
– Stretch: 5.90 if small-cap beta catches a bid.
– Stop: 5.36 (below the 5.37 pivot). Aggressive: 5.44 on breakout entries.
Secondary bounce candidates (tighter risk, quicker profits)
– AG: Demand stepped in near 18.6–18.7 and reclaimed 19.00 late. Above 19.20, room to 19.50–19.80; support 18.62/18.29. Stop: below 18.25.
– IP: Strong close print at 44.69 following steady RTH demand. Pullbacks to 44.20–44.35 can be bought for 44.90–45.20; stop: 43.95.
Risk notes and execution
– Extended-hours moves can exaggerate levels; confirm with regular-hours liquidity/volume on the open.
– If the group (semis/software) sees early broad-market risk-off, use tighter initial stops and wait for reclaim signals at your supports before adding.
– For ATR-based sizing: without 30-day ATR, size targets conservatively around nearby resistance and scale partials at T1.
If you share 30-day daily data and ATRs for these tickers, I’ll tighten the supports/resistances to the higher-timeframe swing zones and recalibrate targets accordingly.