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Swing Idea

Delay 9M Thursday 10/02/2025

October 2, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (based on provided data)

  • Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-10-02 14:00 to 19:30.
  • Coverage note: You shared late-regular and after-hours 30-minute bars for the tickers below. I’m emphasizing the most recent tape as a proxy for the last 10 days’ momentum, and I call out clear accumulation/distribution where visible. Broader 30-day context is limited by the data provided.

Key sector/industry takeaways from the tape

  • Precious metals miners bid: NEM, AEM, FSM, HL, BTG all held gains into the close/after-hours (NEM push to 86.58; FSM 8.97 close then held; HL 12.10 print). Cluster strength suggests ongoing risk hedge/inflation-flow support into miners.
  • Nuclear/Uranium leaning constructive: SMR stair-stepped 39.03 → 39.37 with higher highs; NXE held 8.80–8.85. The theme remains resilient on dips.
  • AI/Software showed quiet accumulation: SOUN grinded higher 17.79 → 17.97 with consistent prints; CFLT ticked 20.35 → 20.50 on light liquidity. DELL stable near 147.
  • Consumer Staples firm: CPB had a late ramp on heavy 15:30 flow (1.46M shares) and held 31.70 after-hours; K steady at 82.65–82.70.
  • Healthcare/Biotech mixed-to-bifurcated: Momentum in RAPP (27.41 → 28.88 H, 28.54 close) and RCEL (5.48 close after a strong 15:30 bar). MRNA/NVAX were flat-to-softer into after-hours.
  • Financials/Fintech mixed: PAGS upticked to 9.63; BKKT was extremely volatile (37.32–43.63 range) and closed off lows—tradable but high risk.
  • Rails/Industrials steady: CSX pinned near 35.60; B stable around 33.90.

Notable tape tells

  • Demand surges clustered near 15:30–15:45 on CPB and MIR, consistent with institutional prints into the close.
  • After-hours continuation bids in SOUN, SMR, NEM signal dip-buying appetite that often carries into the next session in momentum names.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Likely upside continuation candidates (bullish bias):

  • MIR, SOUN, SMR, NEM, RAPP, CPB, RCEL

Strongest bullish signals:

  • MIR: High-volume late-day push to 22.94 and strong hold.
  • RAPP: Trend day with range expansion and higher close.
  • SOUN: Persistent higher lows/higher highs after-hours.
  • NEM: Metals cluster strength and firm after-hours print.
  • CPB: Defensive name with notable closing ramp on heavy volume.

Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plans
Note: Price targets incorporate nearby resistance and a conservative 1–3 day swing range based on observed intraday volatility. Use opening range and volume confirmation for execution.

MIR (Mirion Technologies)

  • Key supports: 22.60, 22.40, 22.00
  • Key resistances: 22.94 (intraday H), 23.30, 24.00
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Look for an opening pullback toward 22.60–22.70 to hold, then a push through 22.94. Sustained hold above 23.00 opens 23.30, then 24.00 if volume expands.
  • Entries: 22.60–22.70 on a controlled dip; or momentum add on 22.95–23.05 break/hold.
  • Stops: Tight: 22.45; Swing: 22.20 (below demand).
  • Targets (1–3 days): 23.30, 23.80–24.00; stretch 24.50 if miners/industrial complex stays firm.
finviz dynamic chart for MIR

SOUN (SoundHound AI)

  • Key supports: 17.80, 17.50, 16.90
  • Key resistances: 18.00, 18.50, 19.20
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Gradual grind higher favored while 17.80 holds. Break/hold >18.00 should magnet 18.50; strong tape can test 19s.
  • Entries: 17.80–17.90 on dip-and-hold; momentum thru 18.05 with volume > prior 30-min average.
  • Stops: Tight: 17.68; Swing: 17.45 (below base).
  • Targets (1–3 days): 18.50, 18.90–19.20; stretch 19.70 if AI cohort catches a bid.
finviz dynamic chart for SOUN

SMR (NuScale Power)

  • Key supports: 39.00, 38.50, 37.80
  • Key resistances: 39.50, 40.30, 41.50
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Stair-step pattern intact. Hold above 39.00 → retest 39.50. A 39.50/39.60 reclaim-then-hold targets 40.30 and possibly 41+ on theme strength (uranium names bid).
  • Entries: 39.00–39.10 on dip; or 39.55–39.70 breakout hold.
  • Stops: Tight: 38.85; Swing: 38.40.
  • Targets (1–3 days): 40.30, 40.90–41.50; stretch 42.20.
finviz dynamic chart for SMR

NEM (Newmont)

  • Key supports: 86.00, 85.30, 84.00
  • Key resistances: 86.80, 88.00, 89.40
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Metals momentum supports a continuation if 86 holds. Early push to 86.80 likely; clear and hold could trend to 88.00.
  • Entries: 86.00–86.20 pullback; breakout add on 86.85–87.00 hold.
  • Stops: Tight: 85.70; Swing: 85.20.
  • Targets (1–3 days): 86.80, 88.00; stretch 89.40 if gold complex continues to firm.
finviz dynamic chart for NEM

RAPP (Rapport Therapeutics)

  • Key supports: 28.00, 27.40, 26.80
  • Key resistances: 28.88 (intraday H), 29.50, 30.70
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Strong trend day with a clean close near highs. Expect an opening probe; if 28.00 holds, a run at 28.88 with potential extension into 29.50–30.
  • Entries: 28.00–28.20 on a controlled dip; breakout add through 28.90–29.00 with strong volume.
  • Stops: Tight: 27.75; Swing: 27.30.
  • Targets (1–3 days): 29.50, 30.00–30.70; stretch 31.20 on continued momentum.
finviz dynamic chart for RAPP

CPB (Campbell Soup)

  • Key supports: 31.50, 31.35, 31.00
  • Key resistances: 31.75, 32.00, 32.40
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Defensive bid plus heavy 15:30 volume suggests follow-through if 31.50 holds. Expect tests of 31.75 and round-number 32.00.
  • Entries: 31.50–31.55 on dip-and-hold; momentum thru 31.80 with >15:30’s relative volume is ideal.
  • Stops: Tight: 31.38; Swing: 31.15.
  • Targets (1–3 days): 31.90, 32.20; stretch 32.40–32.60 if staples stay firm.
finviz dynamic chart for CPB

RCEL (AVITA Medical)

  • Key supports: 5.40, 5.25, 5.00
  • Key resistances: 5.49 (intraday H), 5.70, 6.00
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Breakout attempt into the close. A hold above 5.40 favors a re-test of 5.49; sustained push can unlock 5.70.
  • Entries: 5.40–5.45 on dip; breakout add through 5.50 with expanding volume.
  • Stops: Tight: 5.33; Swing: 5.20.
  • Targets (1–3 days): 5.70, 5.90; stretch 6.00–6.20 if liquidity improves.
finviz dynamic chart for RCEL

Additional quick notes

  • NXE: Constructive while above 8.80; a push through 8.95 could start 9.20–9.40.
  • FSM/HL/AEM/BTG: Metals complex breadth supports NEM plan; strongest liquid look remains NEM, but FSM can continue to track silver beta on dips that hold prior session VWAP.
  • BKKT: High-volatility mean-reversion candidate; only for advanced risk management—consider 40–41 support/flip zones with small sizing.

Risk management

  • Respect opening volatility. Execute only on holds/reclaims with confirming volume on 30-min bars.
  • Size down in thinner names (RCEL, RAPP) and widen stops proportionally if liquidity is sparse.

If you want, share the full last-30-days OHLCV for these tickers and I’ll refine ATR-based targets and daily supply/demand levels with higher precision.

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