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Delay 9M Monday 9/29/2025

September 29, 2025 5 min read

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-09-29 14:30 to 19:30. Note: You provided late-day and after-hours 30-minute bars for this session. I emphasize this tape and contextualize with the prevailing 1–4 week structures typical for these names; confirm exact 30-day levels on your daily charts.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

  • Crypto miners/crypto-adjacent (MARA, CLSK, BITF, HUT, BKKT, NUKK): Accumulation tone into the after-hours. BITF showed a clean late 30-minute push with expanding volume (largest bar into 19:30), MARA/CLSK held higher lows. If BTC is flat-to-up, this group tends to lead early next session.
  • Semis and storage (WDC, MRVL, AAOI): Constructive. WDC stair-stepped higher a/h with steady bids; MRVL held firm; AAOI closed strong into the final hour earlier in regular trading. This reads like ongoing rotation into chips/hardware after a brief consolidation.
  • Software/application (WDAY, CFLT, BRZE, PATH): Mixed-to-weak. WDAY printed heavy distribution on the 15:30 bar and closed near the intraday low; CFLT saw sustained selling into 15:30; BRZE faded to 31.67 a/h. PATH was flat. This pocket is lagging short term.
  • Biotech/health-tech (TVTX, CYTK, RXRX, MBOT, TEM, CLOV): Selective strength. TVTX pushed and held near/above 24 on strong late-day volume; CYTK firm around 54; RXRX slipped late; TEM drifted modestly lower. Expect stock-picking vs. broad beta here.
  • Precious metals miners (NEM, HL, EQX): Stable to slightly bid late. Light a/h volumes but higher lows held; constructive if gold stays supported.
  • Energy (APA, EQT, EOSE, SMR): EQT had high regular-session volume and held; APA steady; EOSE/SMR flat-to-soft a/h. Gas/E&P remain supported; SMR faded slightly.
  • Consumer/retail (M, VNCE, DLTH, PTON, JMIA): Choppy and mostly illiquid a/h. No broad edge; treat as tactical only.
  • Financials/brokers/mortgage (HOOD, RKT, OWL): RKT drifted higher a/h; HOOD flat; OWL saw heavy sell pressure into 15:30. Mixed tape.

Notable patterns

  • Momentum bid favors hard-asset beta (miners—crypto and metals) and select semis/storage (BITF, MARA, CLSK, WDC, MRVL, AAOI).
  • Software remains an overhang (WDAY, CFLT). Expect fade-the-rip behavior unless clear reclaim of intraday supply.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside continuation candidates:

  • BITF, MARA, CLSK (crypto miners)
  • WDC, MRVL (semis/storage)
  • TVTX (biotech momentum)

Secondary watch: AAOI (optical), NEM (gold) if metals/USTs stay risk-off.

Strongest bullish signals now: BITF (late 30-minute volume expansion into highs), WDC (orderly a/h staircase), TVTX (late-day push on elevated volume).

Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plans

BITF (Bitfarms)

  • Daily zones

– Supports: 2.75–2.78 (demand), 2.65, 2.55
– Resistances: 2.85 (a/h supply), 3.00 (psych/supply), 3.20

  • 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Prefer an opening dip-and-hold above 2.78, then trend through 2.85 → 2.95. Momentum day can extend to 3.00; second day continuation can probe 3.10–3.20 if crypto stays bid.
  • Entries: 2.78–2.82 pullback buy; or breakout add above 2.86 with tape strength.
  • Stops: Tight 2.73 (beneath demand); swing 2.62.
  • Targets (ATR ~0.30): 2.95, 3.10, stretch 3.20.
finviz dynamic chart for  BITF

MARA (Marathon Digital)

  • Daily zones

– Supports: 18.30–18.50 (demand), 18.00, 17.50
– Resistances: 18.60–18.70 (a/h supply), 19.00, 19.50–19.70

  • 30-minute outlook: Look for higher low above 18.30; reclaim 18.70 opens 19.00 magnet, with follow-through to 19.40–19.70 on momentum day.
  • Entries: 18.35–18.50 on controlled pullback; add >18.70 pivot reclaim.
  • Stops: 18.08 (tight), or 17.75 (swing).
  • Targets (ATR ~1.4): 19.20, 19.90, stretch 20.50.
finviz dynamic chart for  MARA

CLSK (CleanSpark)

  • Daily zones

– Supports: 14.50–14.80 (demand), 14.00, 13.50
– Resistances: 15.00–15.10, 15.50, 16.20

  • 30-minute outlook: Initial chop likely; hold above 14.80 turns 15.00 into pivot; breakout can grind to 15.50 with second leg to 16.00–16.20.
  • Entries: 14.60–14.85 demand tap; or >15.10 breakout with rising 30-min volume.
  • Stops: 14.39 (tight), or 13.95 (swing).
  • Targets (ATR ~1.1): 15.40, 16.00, stretch 16.80.
finviz dynamic chart for  CLSK

WDC (Western Digital)

  • Daily zones

– Supports: 116.50–117.00 (demand), 115.00, 113.50
– Resistances: 117.60–118.00 (a/h supply), 119.50–120.00, 122.00

  • 30-minute outlook: A/h staircase suggests buy-the-dip into 117; breakout above 118.00 can trend to 119.5–120. Pullback day 2 could base above 118 and press 121–122.
  • Entries: 117.00–117.20 retest; add on 118.05–118.20 breakout with confirmation.
  • Stops: 116.20 (tight), or 114.80 (swing).
  • Targets (ATR ~4.5): 119.50, 121.50, stretch 124.00.
finviz dynamic chart for  WDC

MRVL (Marvell Technology)

  • Daily zones

– Supports: 81.50–82.00 (demand), 80.50, 79.50
– Resistances: 82.50–83.00, 84.00–84.50, 85.80

  • 30-minute outlook: Expect slow grind; hold above 82.00 to convert 82.50 into support; then 83.80–84.50 test. Follow-through day can tag 85–85.8 if semis remain firm.
  • Entries: 82.00–82.20 buy-the-dip; add >83.00.
  • Stops: 81.30 (tight), or 80.70 (swing).
  • Targets (ATR ~2.2): 83.20, 84.50, stretch 85.80.
finviz dynamic chart for  MRVL

TVTX (Travere Therapeutics)

  • Daily zones

– Supports: 23.60–23.80 (demand), 23.20, 22.80
– Resistances: 24.10–24.20 (supply at today’s close), 24.60, 25.30

  • 30-minute outlook: Momentum setup. A hold above 23.80 favors early push through 24.20; volume expansion could carry to 24.60 Day 1 and 25.00–25.30 on Day 2.
  • Entries: 23.75–23.95 demand retest; or >24.20 breakout with volume.
  • Stops: 23.45 (tight), or 23.05 (swing).
  • Targets (ATR ~1.5): 24.60, 25.30, stretch 26.00.
finviz dynamic chart for  TVTX

AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics) — bonus watch

  • Daily zones

– Supports: 25.20–25.60 (demand), 24.60, 23.80
– Resistances: 26.00, 26.70, 27.80

  • 30-minute outlook: After strong late-day firming, look for 25.50–25.80 base to spring 26.00; continuation can run 26.70 with squeezes common in this name.
  • Entries: 25.50–25.80; add >26.05.
  • Stops: 24.98 (tight), or 24.45 (swing).
  • Targets (ATR ~2.5): 26.80, 27.80, stretch 29.00.
finviz dynamic chart for  AAOI

Risk notes and execution

  • Focus on names printing higher lows into the close with rising 30-minute volume (BITF, WDC, TVTX). Those have the best odds for an opening drive or first-hour trend.
  • If the group/sector leader fails (e.g., BTC pulls back sharply), de-risk miners as a basket; use basket stops.
  • Respect liquidity: some a/h prints were thin; execute during regular hours near your levels.

Summary of likely upside (next 2–3 days): BITF, MARA, CLSK, WDC, MRVL, TVTX (strongest: BITF, WDC, TVTX).

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