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Delay 9M Monday 9/22/2025

September 23, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (data window provided)

  • Datetime range analyzed (ET): 2025-09-23 12:00–14:00 ET, 30-minute bars across your tickers. Note: The file does not include 30 days of price/volume; commentary below leans on this intraday window and recent momentum behavior. Where “daily” zones are mentioned, they’re anchored to obvious near-term supply/demand seen in this session and typical recent ranges.
  • Cross-sector read:
    • Crypto miners and BTC-beta (MARA, CLSK, BITF, BTDR, CORZ): Broad, high-volume sell program hit ~13:30 ET across the complex, with lower lows into 14:00 (e.g., MARA 18.22→17.73, CLSK 14.20→13.88, BITF 2.67→2.60). This is distribution and suggests headwinds near term unless BTC stabilizes.
    • Cloud/software and related (SNOW, DOCU, WDAY, BRZE, IOT, MRVL, VRT): Predominantly afternoon fades after noon strength; most printed lower highs and closed near session lows (SNOW 229.6→224.0, DOCU 86.2→85.0, WDAY 242.1→240.7, MRVL 75.98→74.35, VRT 145.9→142.3). One relative-strength pocket: IOT attempted a reclaim of 39.00 on rising 13:30 volume; FIG showed steady bid and closed firm.
    • Fintech/consumer credit/brokers (AFRM, HOOD, PAGS): Steady intraday pressure and lower lows (AFRM 87.8→85.2, HOOD 127.54→125.98, PAGS 10.49→10.21).
    • Consumer staples/defensive (CPB): Stood out with a 13:30 breakout and tight hold near the highs (33.49→33.75), suggesting a defensive rotation.
    • China ADRs/travel (PDD, VNET, TCOM): Persistent drift lower throughout the window on decent volume (PDD 130.6→129.6, VNET 9.69→9.34, TCOM 77.54→76.77).
    • Mortgage originators (RKT, UWMC): Both faded on heavy volume, consistent with rising-rate sensitivity (RKT 20.22→19.78; UWMC 6.50→6.37).
    • Uranium (NXE): Held ~9.00 with a dip bought, but momentum neutral/slightly soft.
  • Notable pattern: A synchronized 13:30 ET risk-off push across high-beta cohorts (miners, software, fintech) with volume spikes. Defensive names (CPB) and a select momentum outlier (FIG) showed relative strength.

Ticker Performance Prediction (2–3 day bias)

  • Likely to outperform/up in the next 2–3 days (relative-strength plus constructive microstructure):

– CPB (defensive bid, breakout/hold near highs)
– FIG (persistent bid, closes near HOD range)
– IOT (attempting 39 reclaim after shakeout; potential mean reversion)
– MNKD (tight coil with higher closes into the afternoon; low beta, clean levels)

  • On watch for bounce (speculative): TSHA over 2.95, NXE >9.18 reclaim.
  • Most at risk/avoid for long near term until reversal signals: MARA, CLSK, BITF, BTDR, CORZ, SNOW, MRVL, WDAY, AFRM, HOOD, PAGS.

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)

CPB

  • Supports (daily/near-term): 33.55; 33.40; 33.25
  • Resistances: 33.78 (session high); 34.00; 34.30
  • Next 2–3 day price action (30-min read): Look for an early dip buy into 33.55–33.60, then grind higher toward 33.90–34.00. If general market risk stabilizes, extension to 34.20–34.30 within 1–3 sessions.
  • Targets (1–3 day): T1 33.90; T2 34.10; T3 34.30 (≈CPB’s typical daily move)
  • Entry ideas: Scale 33.55–33.60; add on 33.80–33.85 reclaim and hold.
  • Stop: Hard stop 33.28; or daily close <33.35 to keep risk tight.
  • finviz dynamic chart for CPB

FIG

  • Supports: 57.50; 57.20; 56.90
  • Resistances: 58.08 (intraday high); 58.50; 59.20
  • Next 2–3 day price action: Expect a shallow pullback to 57.40–57.60 to reset, then continuation through 58.10–58.30. If volume persists, 58.80–59.40 is feasible within 2–3 days.
  • Targets: T1 58.30; T2 58.80; T3 59.40 (≈1–2 ATRs from current)
  • Entry ideas: 57.50–57.70 pullback buy; momentum add on 58.10–58.20 breakout with a tight stop.
  • Stop: 56.85 (below the last higher low/volume shelf).
  • finviz dynamic chart for FIG

IOT

  • Supports: 38.90; 38.85; 38.60
  • Resistances: 39.30–39.42; 39.60; 40.00
  • Next 2–3 day price action: Dip/retest 38.85–38.95, then reclaim 39.20–39.30. If accepted above 39.30, a push into 39.60–39.75; stretch to 39.90–40.00 on improving software tape.
  • Targets: T1 39.35–39.45; T2 39.75; T3 40.00
  • Entry ideas: Starter near 38.90 with confirmation (higher low on 30-min); add on 39.30 break-and-hold.
  • Stop: 38.58 (below session base); conservative stop on close <38.80.
  • finviz dynamic chart for IOT

MNKD

  • Supports: 5.33; 5.31; 5.28
  • Resistances: 5.37–5.40; 5.50; 5.60
  • Next 2–3 day price action: Expect a coil 5.30–5.40 followed by a push over 5.40. If buyers hold that level, 5.50 is first magnet with 5.58–5.60 achievable.
  • Targets: T1 5.45; T2 5.55; T3 5.60
  • Entry ideas: Accumulate 5.32–5.36 with tight risk; momentum add on 5.41–5.42 break.
  • Stop: 5.27 (beneath intraday shelf); consider a time stop if 5.40 fails twice.
  • finviz dynamic chart for MNKD

Quick notes on watchlist levels (speculative bounces)

  • TSHA: Above 2.95 opens 3.00, then 3.10; support 2.90/2.88; stop <2.85. finviz dynamic chart for TSHA
  • NXE: Support 9.00/8.92; reclaim 9.18 → 9.30 then 9.45; stop <8.88. finviz dynamic chart for NXE

Risk management and context

  • The 13:30 ET sell wave across beta suggests market-wide distribution pressure. If indices remain heavy, even RS names can backfill support before advancing. Keep position sizes modest, honor stops at or just under the cited support shelves, and scale into strength rather than averaging down.

If you can share the full 30-day daily data, I’ll refine the daily zones and ATR-derived targets with higher precision and expand the sector/industry read over the last 10 sessions.

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