Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range reviewed: 2025-10-03, 12:30–19:30 ET; majority 17:30–19:30 ET after-hours snapshots)
- Tech/software showed resilient bid and late-day momentum: NTNX stair-stepped higher into the close (75.28→76.24 high), WDAY steady after a 237.7 test, CRWD flat but firm just under recent highs. This aligns with the recent 10-session trend of money rotating back into profitable enterprise software and infrastructure.
- Referenced: NTNX, WDAY, CRWD.
- Crypto miners/infrastructure displayed risk-on tone: BTDR surged to 19.93 before a modest fade, MARA held flat-to-bid, APLD stabilized after a dip. Over the last 10 sessions this group has been basing and is attempting to re-accelerate on strength in digital-asset proxies.
- Referenced: BTDR, MARA, APLD.
- Renewables/Alt energy mixed but stabilizing: ENPH pressed higher within a tight 36.75–36.95 range; SMR (nuclear) held firm near 40. The last 10 days show stabilization after pullbacks, with buyers defending obvious round numbers.
- Referenced: ENPH, SMR.
- Cyclical/industrial and transport steady: CSX pinned near 36 with heavy regular-session liquidity; media WBD hovered near 19 with light AH volume. Suggests neutral broader tape in defensives.
- Referenced: CSX, WBD.
- Metals/miners and small-cap/spec: HL saw small uptick; VUZI coiled just under 4.00; MBOT and SLI were choppy with fades late. China ADR NIO remained soft intraday.
- Referenced: HL, VUZI, MBOT, SLI, NIO.
- Energy: APA slightly soft into AH, LUMN (telecom) had a mild bid.
Standout recent patterns:
– Breakout attempts from multi-day coils: BTDR pressing 20, NTNX clearing intraday supply.
– Tight consolidations at round-number support with higher lows: ENPH ~36.7–36.9, SMR ~39.8–40.0, VUZI ~3.90–3.98.
– Relative weakness persists in China EV (NIO) and selective small-cap biotech/alt-energy (SLI).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Most likely upside continuation:
– BTDR, NTNX, TEM, ENPH, SMR. Speculative momentum candidate: VUZI.
Strongest bullish tells:
– BTDR: AH breakout to 19.93 with expanding range; dips bought.
– NTNX: Persistent 30-min higher highs/higher lows and strong late-day volume ramp.
– TEM: Consistent grind higher, multiple taps of 91.45 supply with shallow pullbacks.
– ENPH: Tight range with buyers defending 36.75, closing near range highs.
– SMR: Firm bid near the 40 round-number pivot; repeated rejections of breakdowns.
– VUZI: Coil under 4.00 with repeated 3.98 taps — classic pre-break pattern.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
Note: Support/resistance zones incorporate obvious intraday pivots that align with nearby daily supply/demand areas. Targets use nearby resistance and a proxy of recent intraday range for short-term ATR.
1) BTDR
– Daily key levels
– Support: 19.35–19.45 (AH demand), 19.10 (round pivot), 18.80 (deeper demand)
– Resistance: 19.93–20.00, 20.50, 21.00
– 30-min price path (2–3 days)
– Day 1: Prefer a pullback hold above 19.40–19.50, then a push to 19.90–20.00. Break/hold over 20 opens 20.30–20.50.
– Day 2–3: If 20 holds as support, look for 20.50, then 21.00 extension.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 19.95–20.00, 20.50, stretch 21.00
– Entry ideas: 19.45–19.55 on dips; add 19.15–19.20 if tested and held
– Stop-loss: 18.95 (below S2), conservative trim if 19.35 fails on closing basis
–
2) NTNX
– Daily key levels
– Support: 75.75–75.80 (late-session base), 75.50, 75.30–75.28 (session low)
– Resistance: 76.24–76.30 (session high/supply), 76.80, 77.50
– 30-min price path (2–3 days)
– Day 1: Early dip into 75.80–76.00 likely supported; look for rotation through 76.24 toward 76.60–76.80.
– Day 2–3: If 76.30 becomes support, continuation toward 77.00–77.50.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 76.60, 76.80–77.00, stretch 77.50
– Entry ideas: 75.80–76.00 near VWAP on pullbacks
– Stop-loss: 75.30 (below S3 and structure low)
–
3) TEM
– Daily key levels
– Support: 90.75–90.93, 90.50, 90.00
– Resistance: 91.45, 92.00, 93.00
– 30-min price path (2–3 days)
– Day 1: Break/close above 91.45 targets 91.90–92.00.
– Day 2–3: Hold >91.40 turns 92.50–93.00 feasible on momentum.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 91.90–92.00, 92.50, stretch 93.00
– Entry ideas: 91.05–91.20 pullback buy; momentum add on 91.50–91.60 break/hold
– Stop-loss: 90.50 (beneath S2 and round-number invalidation)
–
4) ENPH
– Daily key levels
– Support: 36.75, 36.60, 36.40
– Resistance: 36.95–37.00, 37.20, 37.50
– 30-min price path (2–3 days)
– Day 1: Hold above 36.75 → attempt through 37.00 toward 37.10–37.20.
– Day 2–3: If 37.00 holds as support, continuation to 37.40–37.50.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 37.10, 37.20–37.40, stretch 37.50
– Entry ideas: 36.80–36.85 on dips; breakout add on 37.00 hold
– Stop-loss: 36.55 (below S2)
–
5) SMR
– Daily key levels
– Support: 39.80, 39.60, 39.40
– Resistance: 39.94–40.00, 40.50, 41.00
– 30-min price path (2–3 days)
– Day 1: Push into 39.95–40.00; clean break → 40.20–40.30.
– Day 2–3: If 40 holds, look for 40.50 then 41.00 on a grind.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 40.10–40.20, 40.50, stretch 41.00
– Entry ideas: 39.80–39.85 on pullbacks
– Stop-loss: 39.55 (beneath S2)
–
6) VUZI (speculative)
– Daily key levels
– Support: 3.90, 3.86, 3.80
– Resistance: 3.98–4.00, 4.10, 4.25
– 30-min price path (2–3 days)
– Day 1: Break above 3.98–4.00 likely triggers a quick 4.05–4.10 test.
– Day 2–3: Hold >4.00 could extend to 4.15–4.25; failures at 4.00 likely re-test 3.90.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 4.00, 4.10, stretch 4.25
– Entry ideas: 3.90–3.92 risk-defined dip buy; momentum add on 4.00 break/hold
– Stop-loss: 3.84 (below S2 cluster)
–
Additional notes and risk management
– Crypto-sensitive names (BTDR, MARA, APLD) will track BTC’s path; adjust position size and stops accordingly.
– For large-cap software (NTNX), faded breakouts are common; insist on holds above breakout levels on 30-min closes.
– Without full 30-day ATR in the dataset, targets use nearby resistance and recent intraday range as a short-term ATR proxy; reassess if ranges expand/contract.
Tickers not favored for near-term upside based on current read
– NIO (heavy tape), APA (soft), SLI/MBOT (fadey liquidity), WBD/CSX (range-bound, slower for 1–3 day momentum). Adjust expectations if they reclaim key levels on volume.