Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window)
– Data window analyzed (EST): 2025-12-10 from ~13:00 to 16:00 on 30‑minute bars. Note: Only intraday bars were provided; 30‑day context is not visible here. The comments below emphasize the most recent 10 trading-hours proxy (today’s 30‑min structure) and how that typically carries into the next 1–3 sessions.
Market tone
– Index proxies: SPY and QQQ pushed strongly 14:00–15:00, then faded slightly into the close; IWM outperformed mid‑day but also faded late. This is classic “trend morning/midday, mild risk-off into close,” but still net bullish breadth.
– Leadership: Semis and semi‑cap equipment led on strong momentum and volume expansion (SOXL, AMAT, WDC, STX, TSM, ADI, NXPI, TXN, TER, CDNS, SNPS, ONTO, LFUS, SITM). Many printed near HOD or held higher lows into the last hour—accumulation pattern.
– Industrials/Electrical/CapEx: Broad strength across ETN, LECO, WCC, WAB, PH, CAT, CMI, GWW, EME, MTZ; constructive for ongoing industrial upcycle, with repeated 30‑min higher highs and shallow late pullbacks.
– Airlines/Travel: UAL and ALK trended higher with good volume; EXPE up modestly; BKNG spiked but saw sharp profit‑taking late—rotation inside the group but beta bid intact.
– Consumer/Internet: SHOP and SPOT climbed steadily; CRM/NOW/NET were mixed (early strength, late fade). Retail mixed (HD/LOW firm; KSS/M softened late).
– Financials: GS, COF, AMP, AXP, LPLA saw strong mid‑day runs, then light fades—still constructive, typical of “uptrending tape with some de‑risk into close.”
– Metals/Gold: RGLD, BTG, IAUX bid—mild hedging flows alongside risk-on.
– Small/mid cap momentum: AAOI and PSTG saw strong flows; RKLB/ASTS/LUNR were volatile with late fades (watch for digestion/inside‑day setups).
Notable sector patterns (tickers referenced)
– Semis: Momentum up, dip‑buying showed up repeatedly (AMAT, WDC, STX, ADI, NXPI, TXN, TER, TSM). Late fades were controlled, suggesting continuation is likely if futures remain stable.
– Industrial/Electrical: Persistent grind higher (ETN, LECO, WCC, PH, CAT) with buyers into resistance—favors measured breakouts over the next 1–3 sessions.
– Airlines: UAL, ALK showed trend continuity—follow-through likely if crude and macro stay benign.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue higher (bullish momentum signals and volume expansion):
– PSTG, WDC, AMAT (semis/storage)
– ETN, CAT (industrial/electrical)
– SHOP (e‑commerce platform)
– UAL (airline)
– AAOI (optical/AI fiber; higher beta)
Strongest bullish tells today
– Closing in the upper third of the day’s range on rising volume, holding above afternoon pullback lows: PSTG, WDC, ETN, SHOP, UAL, AAOI, CAT, AMAT.
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Support/resistance lean on intraday supply/demand from today and nearby psychological/daily levels. ATR targets are approximations typical for current volatility regimes.
1) PSTG
– Setup view: Closed strong near HOD with rising volume—clean continuation candidate if 73s hold on pullbacks.
– Key supports: 73.00, 72.40, 71.60
– Key resistances: 74.20–74.50 (HOD zone), 75.50, 77.00
– 30‑min next 2–3 day price action:
– Bull case: Early push over 74.20 can magnet 74.80/75.50; sustained above 75.50 opens 77.00 within 1–2 sessions.
– Base case: Pullback to 73.0–73.4, hold, then grind to 74.8–75.5.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 74.8, 75.5, stretch 77.0 (≈1x daily ATR up move).
– Entries: 73.0–73.4 pullback; or momentum add above 74.20 with volume.
– Stop: 72.35 (tighter) or 71.60 (roomier under demand).
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2) WDC
– Setup view: Trend up all session, strong closing print; buyers defended 180.7 pullbacks.
– Key supports: 180.70, 179.50, 177.50
– Key resistances: 182.50, 185.00, 187.50–188.00
– 30‑min next 2–3 day price action:
– Bull case: Over 182.50 triggers 183.5 then 185.00; sustained above 185 points to 187.5–188.
– Base case: Retest 180.7–181, then higher lows and push to 183–185.
– Swing targets: 183.5, 185.0, 187.5 (≈0.8–1.2x ATR).
– Entries: 180.7–181.2 pullback; or break 182.5 with expanding volume.
– Stop: 179.40 (beneath pivot); alt wider 177.40.
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3) AMAT
– Setup view: Strong semiconductor tape; AMAT based above 274 and closed near highs—poised for a 276–279 test.
– Key supports: 274.00, 271.50, 268.50
– Key resistances: 276.10 (intraday HOD), 279.00, 282.00
– 30‑min next 2–3 day price action:
– Bull case: 276.10 reclaim -> 277.5–279; hold above 276 turns 282 into a realistic 1–3 day target.
– Base case: Back‑test 273.8–274.5, then grind to 277–279.
– Swing targets: 277.5, 279.0, 282.0 (≈0.7–1.0x ATR).
– Entries: 273.8–274.5 demand zone; or momentum through 276.2.
– Stop: 271.30 (beneath demand shelf); wider swing 268.30.
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4) ETN
– Setup view: Electrical leader; higher highs and strong close suggest continuation.
– Key supports: 352.00, 349.50, 346.80
– Key resistances: 354.40, 357.00, 361.00
– 30‑min next 2–3 day price action:
– Bull case: Over 354.4 -> 356.8–357.0; sustained bid targets 359.8–361.
– Base case: Check back to 351–352, then push to 356–359.
– Swing targets: 356.8, 359.8, 361.0 (≈0.6–0.9x ATR).
– Entries: 351.5–352.5 pullback; or break/retest over 354.4.
– Stop: 349.20 (beneath prior demand).
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5) SHOP
– Setup view: Steady uptrend with closing strength; buy-the-dip character intact.
– Key supports: 167.30, 165.60, 162.80
– Key resistances: 169.00, 171.00, 173.50
– 30‑min next 2–3 day price action:
– Bull case: Push over 169 -> 170–171; hold above 171 targets 173–173.5.
– Base case: Pullback 167.3–167.8, form higher low, then ramp to 169.8–171.5.
– Swing targets: 169.8, 171.5, 173.5 (≈0.7–1.0x ATR).
– Entries: 167.3–167.8; or momentum above 169 with volume.
– Stop: 165.40 (beneath intraday base).
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6) UAL
– Setup view: Strong trend day, tight late consolidation—often a precursor to day‑2 continuation.
– Key supports: 107.20, 106.10, 104.80
– Key resistances: 108.20, 109.00, 111.00
– 30‑min next 2–3 day price action:
– Bull case: Over 108.2 -> 108.9–109.6; strong tape could tag 111 in 1–3 sessions.
– Base case: Retest 107.2, hold, then grind to 108.9–109.6.
– Swing targets: 108.9, 110.2, 111.0 (≈0.8–1.1x ATR).
– Entries: 107.2–107.5 pullback; or break 108.2 with time/volume.
– Stop: 106.00 (beneath support cluster).
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7) AAOI
– Setup view: High‑beta optical with volume expansion; reclaimed 35s into the close—momentum continuation likely but expect volatility.
– Key supports: 34.47, 34.00, 33.63
– Key resistances: 35.18, 35.73, 36.50
– 30‑min next 2–3 day price action:
– Bull case: Through 35.18 -> 35.70–35.90; above 35.73 opens 36.5.
– Base case: Shakeout to 34.7–35.0, then reversal toward 35.7–36.5.
– Swing targets: 35.7, 36.5, stretch 37.3 (≈1.0–1.5x ATR for this beta).
– Entries: 34.7–35.0 pullback; or confirmation above 35.20/35.30 on volume.
– Stop: 34.30 (beneath demand); high‑beta traders can use 33.95.
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8) CAT
– Setup view: Trending industrial leader; firm close near highs with broad industrial strength—measured continuation favored.
– Key supports: 614.20, 611.30, 605.00
– Key resistances: 617.20, 620.00, 625.00
– 30‑min next 2–3 day price action:
– Bull case: Over 617.2 -> 619–620; sustained bid targets 623–625 in 1–3 days.
– Base case: Pullback to 614–615, then grind to 619–623.
– Swing targets: 619–620, 623, 625 (≈0.5–0.8x ATR).
– Entries: 614.5–615.5 pullback; or break 617.2 with confirmation.
– Stop: 611.00 (beneath intraday shelf).
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Risk management and notes
– Given only intraday data were provided, the “daily” zones above emphasize the most obvious supply/demand seen today plus nearby logical levels. If premarket gaps occur, let price stabilize 15–30 minutes and re‑anchor entries vs. VWAP/intraday higher lows.
– For 1–3 day swings, size positions so a stop just below the nearest support risks no more than 0.5–1.0R of your plan; scale out at first and second targets to lock gains.
Sector watchlist for confirmation (next session)
– Semis: AMAT, WDC, STX, ADI, NXPI, TXN, TER, SOXL (group breadth/volume).
– Industrials/Electrical: ETN, LECO, PH, WCC, CAT—watch for early breakouts and whether dips are bought.
– Airlines: UAL, ALK—continuation if oil is tame and indices firm.
– Internet/Software: SHOP, SPOT—prefer pullback buys if broader tech fades early.
If you want, I can add short-side candidates showing late-session distribution and weak closes.