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Continuation Breakout Wednesday 4PM 11/26/2025

November 26, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window: 2025-11-26 13:30–16:00)
– Note on data coverage: The dataset provided contains intraday 30–60 minute bars for 2025-11-26 only. I do not have full 30-day history; therefore, the analysis emphasizes the most recent session’s price/volume behavior as a proxy for near-term momentum, with extra focus on the final 90 minutes.

  • Sector tone and rotations observed in the session:
    • Healthcare/Biotech (STOK, CMPX, MIST, VSTM, ALNY, UTHR, EXAS, NRIX, KRYS, SVRA, ALGS, UNCY): Selective risk-on in small/mid-cap biotech with late-day accumulation and higher closes (CMPX, MIST, VSTM, STOK). In contrast, larger-cap healthcare faded into the close (ALNY, UTHR, EXAS, KRYS). This bifurcation suggests short-term momentum money is favoring lower-priced biotech setups over the big-cap peers.
    • Industrials/Materials (DY, LII, OC, MLM, PH, STLD): Broad late-day weakness with increasing sell volume in the final bar (DY, LII, OC, MLM, PH, STLD). Caution for near-term continuation lower unless futures reverse.
    • Financials (BLK, MCO, EVR, FCNCA): Late-day fades, some with notable sell pressure spikes (BLK, MCO, EVR). Near-term headwind for follow-through unless a morning reclaim develops.
    • Consumer/Staples/Discretionary (HLF, COKE, FIGS, REBN): HLF printed a strong late-day push to highs on expanding volume (bullish). COKE and FIGS faded into the bell (neutral-to-bearish near-term).
    • Resources/Commodity-tied (SGML, RGLD): Mixed; SGML had a sharp mid-afternoon sell then a partial recovery, RGLD stayed rangebound.
    • Tech/Comm (COHR, CCOI): Both weakened late with volume.
    • Special situations/microcaps (SUGP, GNLN, SFHG, MYND, CCHH, VELO): SUGP spiked sharply at 16:00 (watch for continuation/squeeze risk); others were thin and choppy.
  • Notable patterns:
    • Late-day accumulation/range expansion in small/mid-cap biotech names (CMPX, MIST, VSTM, STOK) often precedes 1–3 day momentum continuation.
    • Broad-market cyclicals (industrials/materials/financials) saw coordinated late selling—short-term headwind unless reversed early next session.
    • One name in consumer (HLF) bucked the tape with a high-of-day close on volume—classic short-squeeze/continuation setup.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Likely upside candidates (strongest to watch): CMPX, HLF, VSTM, STOK, MIST, SUGP (higher risk).
– Strong bullish signals highlighted:
– CMPX: Higher highs/higher closes with a sharp volume ramp into the bell; closed near session highs.
– HLF: High-of-day close with a pronounced late-day volume surge.
– VSTM: Higher close with 16:00 ramp; clean intraday structure above 10.60.
– STOK: Steady climb all afternoon, strong 15:30 volume, tight ranges (constructive).
– MIST: Closed at the session high with substantial relative volume.
– SUGP: Illiquid, but a large 16:00 spike; potential momentum/continuation if liquidity improves.

Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plans
Note: Without full daily history, “daily” support/resistance zones are derived from today’s structure plus nearby round/psych levels. ATR-based targets use today’s intraday range as a rough proxy.

1) CMPX
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 5.30; 5.20; 5.05
– Resistances: 5.50; 5.75; 6.00
– 30-min outlook (1–3 days): A pullback toward 5.30–5.35 that holds should lead to a 5.50 retest; a clean push through 5.50 opens 5.70–5.75, then 5.90–6.00 if momentum persists.
– Trade plan:
– Entries: 5.28–5.35 pullback buy; or 5.52–5.55 breakout continuation.
– Stops: 5.18 (pullback entry); 5.35 (breakout fail).
– Targets (using ~0.30–0.35 ATR-proxy): T1 5.50–5.55; T2 5.70–5.75; T3 5.95–6.00.
finviz dynamic chart for  CMPX

2) HLF
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 13.15; 13.00; 12.75
– Resistances: 13.50; 13.80; 14.20
– 30-min outlook (1–3 days): Expect an early test of 13.50; brief pullbacks that hold >13.15 keep the squeeze setup intact toward 13.80, then 14.00–14.20.
– Trade plan:
– Entries: 13.15–13.25 on dip and hold; or through 13.36–13.38 HOD continuation.
– Stops: 12.98–13.02 (beneath round and session structure).
– Targets (~0.35–0.50 ATR-proxy): T1 13.60; T2 13.85; T3 14.20.
finviz dynamic chart for  HLF

3) VSTM
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 10.60; 10.55; 10.40
– Resistances: 10.85; 11.00; 11.30
– 30-min outlook (1–3 days): Holding above 10.60 favors a push into 10.85–11.00; acceptance over 11.00 could extend to 11.20–11.30.
– Trade plan:
– Entries: 10.60–10.65 pullback buy; or >10.85 breakout.
– Stops: 10.45–10.48 (below structure).
– Targets (~0.25–0.35 ATR-proxy): T1 10.95; T2 11.20; T3 11.45–11.50.
finviz dynamic chart for  VSTM

4) STOK
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 31.10; 30.90; 30.63
– Resistances: 31.38; 31.50; 32.00
– 30-min outlook (1–3 days): A tight bull flag; maintaining above 31.00–31.10 keeps pressure on 31.38–31.50. A breakout can target 31.90–32.00; extension possible if volume persists.
– Trade plan:
– Entries: 31.00–31.10 pullback; or >31.40 breakout add.
– Stops: 30.75 (beneath midday base) or 30.60 for tighter risk.
– Targets (~0.60–0.80 ATR-proxy): T1 31.60; T2 31.95; T3 32.40–32.50.
finviz dynamic chart for  STOK

5) MIST
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 2.60; 2.55; 2.50
– Resistances: 2.70; 2.85; 3.00
– 30-min outlook (1–3 days): High-close setup; shallow dip to 2.58–2.61 that holds should lead to a 2.70 break, then 2.80s; a hot tape could tag 3.00.
– Trade plan:
– Entries: 2.58–2.61 pullback; or >2.66 breakout through HOD.
– Stops: 2.49–2.52 depending on risk.
– Targets (~0.08–0.12 ATR-proxy): T1 2.72–2.75; T2 2.85–2.90; T3 2.98–3.00.
finviz dynamic chart for  MIST

6) SUGP (high-risk, thin)
– Daily key levels:
– Supports: 6.40; 6.10; 5.95
– Resistances: 7.00; 7.40; 7.80
– 30-min outlook (1–3 days): Post-close spike suggests potential continuation if liquidity appears. Needs to hold above 6.35–6.40 to sustain. A firm push over 7.00 can accelerate.
– Trade plan:
– Entries: 6.35–6.45 pullback hold; or >7.05 momentum breakout (size down).
– Stops: 6.10 (beneath spike base).
– Targets (range-driven): T1 7.00; T2 7.35–7.40; T3 7.70–7.80.
finviz dynamic chart for  SUGP

Additional watchlist notes (not primary longs)
– SGML: Mixed close after selloff; watch 10.75 reclaim for relief bounce; loses 10.45 risks 10.20.
– ALGS/UNCY: Constructive but need volume confirmation on opens.
– Broad industrials/financials complex (DY, LII, OC, MLM, PH, BLK, MCO, EVR): Late-day weakness—prefer reactive bounces only if they reclaim last hour’s breakdown levels with volume.

Risk management and execution
– Given the absence of full 30-day data, treat these setups as momentum continuations based on today’s structure. Use opening drives and VWAP holds/fails to confirm.
– Size positions so that stops represent 0.5–1.25x your expected daily move in the name (using today’s range as a proxy ATR).
– If a name gaps over T1 at the open, wait for a pullback toward broken resistance to flip to support before entry.

If you can share the full 30-day daily and 10-day 30-minute data, I can refine support/resistance zones, true ATR(14), and sector breadth metrics to sharpen the targets and probabilities.

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