Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range reviewed (EST): 2025-11-19 from 13:00 to 16:00, using 30-minute bars. Only intraday slices were provided; multi-week levels are inferred from the intraday structure and psychological/round-number supply-demand zones.
- Growth factor backdrop: Large-cap growth ETFs were firm into mid-afternoon with a late fade: QQQ and VUG pushed to intraday highs near 15:00 before a modest closing dip; IWF similar. That’s constructive for momentum follow-through if leaders hold prior pullback lows.
-
Tech/Semis/Optics:
- Strength: LITE (optical) stair-stepped higher all afternoon with a late volume expansion; MKSI held most of its breakout gains; MTSI advanced mid-afternoon; ADI recovered from early dip with a higher-low sequence into 15:00.
- Takeaway: Risk appetite for hardware/semis remains healthy; leaders held above afternoon pullback lows.
- Medtech/Healthcare:
- Firm: ISRG and IDXX pushed to/near session highs; PEN closed well within its intraday range; SYK finished strong.
- Mixed/weak: HCA and CAH both faded into the close; LLY was range-bound near 1050; HAE flat.
- Takeaway: High-quality medtech showed relative strength while hospitals/distributors softened late day.
- Industrials/Electronics manufacturing:
- Weak: SANM sold off hard in the 15:30 bar; AGX broke lower late; IESC drifted lower; ROK was steady but non-directional.
- Takeaway: Rotation away from industrials into close; watch for day-2 continuation lower in laggards.
- Consumer/Internet:
- Strong: CVNA trended up all session with higher highs and closed near the top of its range; MELI popped then faded, net constructive; COKE flat; ZVIA faded.
- Takeaway: High-beta discretionary (CVNA) showed leadership.
- Small-cap biotech:
- Momentum: ASMB broke out late with heavy volume; IRWD spiked to new intraday highs and held much of the move.
- Weak: CMPX and CRCD rolled over; DRUG soft; FULC gave back gains late.
- Takeaway: Selective risk-on—late-day volume surges are fueling breakouts, but breadth is mixed.
Noticeable patterns: Broad 15:30 volume surge produced fades in laggards (SANM, AGX, CAH) while leaders (CVNA, LITE, IDXX, ISRG) held higher-low structures and closed mid-to-high range—classic ingredients for 1–3 day momentum continuation if the market tone (QQQ/VUG/IWF) stays constructive.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Higher-probability upside candidates:
– High conviction: CVNA, LITE
– Medium-high: IDXX
– Medium: PEN, ISRG, MKSI
– Speculative momentum (higher risk): ASMB, IRWD
– Strongest bullish signals today:
– CVNA, LITE, ASMB, IDXX: closing near session highs on rising volume with clean intraday higher highs/higher lows.
Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plan
Note: Levels use obvious intraday supply/demand and nearby psychological prices; adjust for gaps at the open.
1) CVNA
– Supports: 326.65 (15:30 low), 325.27 (15:00 low), 323.43 (14:00 low)
– Resistances: 330.29 (HOD), 333.00 (round), 338.00 (round/extension)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an early test of 327–328; if defended, a push through 330.3 opens a trend day toward 333; sustained strength can extend into 335–338 in 1–3 days if market risk-on continues.
– Swing targets: 333.0 (near-term), 335.5, stretch 338.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 327.2–328.0 with strength returning
– Breakout buy: >330.35 on volume
– Stop-loss: Tight 324.90; wider swing 323.30
2) LITE
– Supports: 267.03, 264.00, 263.48
– Resistances: 271.16 (HOD), 273.00, 275.00
– 30-min outlook: Momentum stair-step likely to continue; dips into 267–268 that hold should launch a retest of 271–272 and then 273–275 within 1–3 days.
– Swing targets: 272.8, 275.0, stretch 277.5
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 267.2–268.0 with reversal candle
– Breakout buy: >271.20 on expanding volume
– Stop-loss: 265.90 (tight), 263.90 (swing)
3) IDXX
– Supports: 693.34, 690.01, 686.85
– Resistances: 701.74 (HOD), 705.00, 710.00
– 30-min outlook: Bullish consolidation just below 700; a quick probe of 694–695 that holds likely precedes a breakout through 701.7. Follow-through to 705; if trend persists, 710 in 1–3 sessions.
– Swing targets: 705, 710, stretch 715
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 694–695
– Breakout buy: >701.80 on strong tape
– Stop-loss: 689.90 (tight), 686.70 (swing)
4) PEN
– Supports: 282.01, 281.96, 279.82
– Resistances: 284.37 (session high), 285.00, 287.00
– 30-min outlook: Range-to-trend potential. Holding 282 on early dip favors a push back to 284.4; a clean break can carry to 285–287 over 1–3 days.
– Swing targets: 284.4, 286.0, stretch 287.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 282.2–282.6 risk-defined
– Breakout buy: >284.40 with volume confirmation
– Stop-loss: 281.70 (tight), 279.60 (swing)
5) ISRG
– Supports: 563.63, 561.74, 561.90
– Resistances: 565.68, 566.86 (HOD cluster), 570.00 (psych)
– 30-min outlook: Tight bull channel. A hold above 563.6 suggests a grind to 566.9; breakout attempts over 567 set up 569–570 over 1–3 days, contingent on market strength.
– Swing targets: 566.9, 569.0, stretch 570.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 563.8–564.3 with higher low
– Breakout buy: >566.90 on uptick breadth
– Stop-loss: 561.60 (tight), 559.90 (swing)
6) MKSI
– Supports: 143.47, 143.00, 142.50 (psych)
– Resistances: 145.45, 145.79 (HOD), 147.00 (psych)
– 30-min outlook: Post-breakout digestion. If 143–143.5 continues to hold, expect a reload toward 145.5–145.8; a clean break can extend to 147 within 1–3 days.
– Swing targets: 145.8, 147.0, stretch 148.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 143.5–143.9
– Breakout buy: >145.50 on rising volume
– Stop-loss: 142.90 (tight), 142.20 (swing)
Speculative Momentum (higher risk, smaller size)
7) ASMB
– Supports: 37.13 (prior intraday high), 36.78, 36.63
– Resistances: 38.37 (HOD), 39.00, 40.00
– 30-min outlook: Late-day high-volume breakout; look for an early dip toward 37.2–37.6 to be bought; reclaim of 38.1–38.4 can squeeze toward 39–40 in 1–3 sessions.
– Swing targets: 38.4, 39.5, stretch 40.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 37.2–37.6
– Breakout buy: >38.40 with volume > prior bar
– Stop-loss: 36.55 (tight), 36.20 (swing)
8) IRWD
– Supports: 3.1507, 3.095, 3.050
– Resistances: 3.205, 3.235 (HOD), 3.300 (psych)
– 30-min outlook: Strong afternoon push with shallow giveback. Holding 3.10–3.12 sets up retest of 3.205–3.235; squeeze potential to 3.30 if liquidity improves.
– Swing targets: 3.23, 3.30, stretch 3.38
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 3.10–3.12
– Breakout buy: >3.235 with volume confirmation
– Stop-loss: 3.05 (tight), 3.02 (swing)
Risk management notes
– Many names experienced a 15:30 volume surge and either held higher lows (leaders) or broke down (laggards). If the next session opens with a gap, use opening range and VWAP behavior to refine entries; keep stops just beyond the nearest listed support to avoid getting trapped in chop.
– For 1–3 day swings, favor names closing near highs on rising volume (CVNA, LITE, IDXX, ASMB) and reduce size in anything that faded into the close without reclaim (SANM, AGX, CAH).
If you’d like, I can update these plans with precise multi-week daily supply/demand levels and ATR-based targets once full 30-day daily data is available.