Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range covered)
– Data window analyzed from 2025-11-11 12:30 to 2025-11-12 16:00 EST (30-minute intraday bars as provided). Note: The upload did not include full 30-day dailies; comments on 30-day/10-day momentum lean on relative strength/weakness inferred from the recent session and known sector behavior.
Sector/Industry takeaways from price/volume
– Travel & Leisure faded into the close: Hotels (MAR, HLT, H) and Online Travel (EXPE) saw late-day distribution on expanding 15:30 volumes and closes near session lows. This argues for supply overhead and a “sell-the-rip” stance near resistance over the next 1–3 sessions unless they reclaim prior intraday supply quickly.
– Hospital providers sold hard late: HCA and UHS broke lower on 15:30 distribution bars and closed weak. Risk of continuation lower unless they can base above those 15:30 lows.
– Precious metals/miners weak: Gold complex and levered miner ETFs (NUGT, JNUG, GDXU), and NGD softened steadily through the afternoon; RGLD held steadier but lacked impulse. Near-term momentum favors further digestion or downside unless gold bounces.
– Industrials mixed with clear RS pockets:
– Distribution and electrical supply (WCC) broke higher on rising volume and closed near highs—bullish.
– Aerospace/Defense: TDG broke out late and held most gains; TDY attempted but slipped—relative strength with TDG.
– Machinery/Capital goods: CAT and URI faded into the bell—relative weakness vs. WCC/TDG.
– Steel (NUE) was sold late—soft tape.
– Chemicals/Materials bifurcated: ALB showed steady buy interest and held 110 into the close; LIN (industrial gases) reclaimed 430, printing a constructive close after a dip—two of the stronger large-cap setups.
– Energy royalty strong: TPL advanced into the close and held higher highs—accumulation footprint.
– Specialty/Building products: IBP pushed to new session highs late and held gains—bullish character.
– Financials steady: MKL chopped; FCNCA edged higher into the close, thin but constructive.
– Select med-tech mixed: IRMD held up better; IRTC/HAE slipped on 15:30 selling; IDXX faded modestly.
Notable patterns
– Broad 15:30 ET “distribution bar” across many groups (travel, hospitals, heavy industry, miners), but several relative-strength leaders (WCC, TDG, LIN, IBP, TPL, ALB) absorbed supply and closed well, suggesting near-term momentum skew to the upside in those names.
Ticker Performance Prediction (2–3 days)
Likely to rise (strongest bullish signals first):
– WCC, TDG, LIN, IBP, TPL, ALB
Why:
– WCC: Higher-high close on expanding volume; clean momentum structure.
– TDG: Late-day breakout with strong close near highs; buyers in control.
– LIN: Dip bought; reclaimed key round 430 with strong auction into the close.
– IBP: Late ramp to fresh session highs; constructive tape in building products.
– TPL: Persistent higher highs and strong close; oil/royalty beta tailwind potential.
– ALB: Demand held above 110 with heavy participation; constructive after a base.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)
Note: ATR references are approximate given limited history in the upload; entries/stops are placed at/near clear intraday structures and obvious round numbers. Include position sizing to respect risk.
1) WCC
– Approx daily ATR: ~6
– Key supports (daily/intraday zones): 265.63 (15:30 low), 264.33 (14:30 close), 263.29 (14:30 low)
– Key resistances: 267.89 (HOD), 269.50–270.00 (round), 273.00–274.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Look for a brief pullback to 265.8–266.2 to reset, then continuation toward 270+. Failure back through 264 opens a retest of 263.3.
– Entries: 266.0 ±0.3 on pullback; add on reclaim of 268.0 if momentum persists.
– Stops: 263.10 (beneath structure and prior 14:30 low). Tighter traders: 264.70.
– Targets (1–3 day): 269.7–270.5, 272.8–274.0, stretch 276–277 if momentum accelerates.
2) TDG
– Approx daily ATR: ~20
– Key supports: 1300.0 (round/structure), 1296.6, 1295.2
– Key resistances: 1310.6 (HOD), 1315.0, 1320.0–1322.0
– 30-min outlook: Momentum continuation setup. Prefer buy-the-dip near 1300–1302; if price opens over 1310, expect a quick probe of 1315–1320 then a backfill.
– Entries: 1300–1302 pullback; secondary: 1311–1312 on a high-and-tight flag.
– Stops: 1293.0 (below 15:30 demand stack). Aggressive: 1296.
– Targets: 1315–1318, 1326–1330, stretch 1338–1342.
3) LIN
– Approx daily ATR: ~5
– Key supports: 430.00–430.20 (reclaimed into close), 428.67, 427.80
– Key resistances: 431.56 (session high), 432.8–433.0, 435.5–436.5
– 30-min outlook: Favor continuation if 430 holds on early dip. A push through 431.6 should open 433 quickly; expect chop if it loses 428.7.
– Entries: 430.1–430.4 on dip buy; breakout add above 431.7 with volume.
– Stops: 428.40 (below the 15:30 swing low and round rejection).
– Targets: 432.2–432.8, 434.4–435.0, stretch 436–437.5.
4) IBP
– Approx daily ATR: ~5.5
– Key supports: 263.31, 263.05, 262.05
– Key resistances: 265.91 (session high), 267.0, 269.0–270.0
– 30-min outlook: Strong late ramp suggests a quick test of 266–267. Best reward/risk is a buy at 263.6–264.2 on a morning drift, then ride toward 267–269.
– Entries: 263.8–264.2; add on 266.0 breakout hold.
– Stops: 261.90 (beneath stacked intraday demand).
– Targets: 266.5–267.5, 268.8–270.0, stretch 271.5–272.5.
5) TPL
– Approx daily ATR: ~30
– Key supports: 1006.4, 1002.8, 995.1
– Key resistances: 1009.7, 1015.0, 1020.0–1025.0
– 30-min outlook: Trend continuation bias. Expect shallow dips to 1002–1006 to be bought; a clean break over 1009.7 targets 1015–1020.
– Entries: 1003–1006 on dip; momentum add over 1010 with volume confirmation.
– Stops: 994.0 (below 15:00 swing low). Tighter: 999.5 if scalping.
– Targets: 1012–1015, 1018–1021, stretch 1025–1030.
6) ALB
– Approx daily ATR: ~3
– Key supports: 109.65, 109.00–109.10, 108.50
– Key resistances: 110.49 (session high), 111.00–111.20, 112.00–112.50
– 30-min outlook: Constructive bid held 110 into the close. Expect a test of 110.5–111 early; watch for a backfill to 109.6–109.9 which is an attractive buy zone if volume stays firm.
– Entries: 109.6–109.9; breakout add on 110.6–110.8 hold.
– Stops: 108.90 (below intraday base). Conservative swing: 108.40.
– Targets: 111.1–111.4, 112.1–112.6, stretch 113.2–113.8.
Additional notes
– Weak/avoid for long swing until character improves: MAR, HLT, H, EXPE, HCA, UHS, CAT, URI, NUE, and gold/miner levered ETFs (NUGT/JNUG/GDXU) given late-day distribution and closes near lows.
– If futures/tape gap down broadly, prefer patience: let the chosen leaders test first support and show buyers before entries. If they gap above first resistance, look for a bull flag on 5–15 minute to control slippage.
Risk management
– Use partial entries around first support, reserve adds on confirmation (VWAP reclaim or 30-min higher low).
– Keep total risk per trade sizing consistent with stops noted above; tighten to breakeven on first target prints.
If you want me to include precise 30-day daily support/resistance and computed ATRs, send the last 30 sessions of daily OHLCV for the short list (WCC, TDG, LIN, IBP, TPL, ALB), and I’ll refine levels/targets accordingly.