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Continuation Breakout Wednesday 4PM 11/05/2025

November 5, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (30-minute bars, EST window analyzed: 2025-11-05 10:30–16:00)

Note: Only an intraday snapshot (a handful of 30-minute bars on 2025-11-05) was provided, not full 30-day data. The commentary emphasizes the recent session’s price/volume and relative strength/weakness by sector and industry.

Market context
– SPY faded into the close (679.8 -> 677.3 on heavy final 30-minute volume), signaling late-day distribution/risk-off.
– Into that weakness, pockets of relative strength emerged in select Industrials and a few large-cap quality/defensive names; most cyclicals and high-beta/biotech were mixed-to-weak.

Sector takeaways with ticker callouts
– Technology: Mixed. IBM showed steady accumulation and closed near highs (relative strength vs SPY). FN rolled over and closed weak. UI sold off hard after failing at 790. CSGS flat.
– Industrials/Capital goods: Mixed but with bright spots. FERG stair-stepped higher and closed on highs (buyers absorbed into the close). WWD reclaimed and closed near highs after a mid-afternoon dip. HUBB trended lower all afternoon. RBC rolled over late.
– Healthcare/Biotech/Pharma: Mostly weak. LLY saw persistent selling. UTHR and INSM popped midday but faded into the close. ABVX flat. ARGX slightly firm. ENTX (micro-cap) broke above 3.00 with rising volume late.
– Energy: VLO couldn’t hold intraday bounce and closed soft.
– Consumer Discretionary/Travel & Leisure: Weak. EXPE, LVS, HLT closed lower; WSM was largely range-bound; CVCO faded on a sharp final bar.
– Financials: Mixed to weak. AER and FCNCA sold off late; FCFS was stable to slightly constructive, closing near highs with orderly volume.

Noticeable patterns
– Broad late-day risk-off pressure (SPY). Names outperforming that tape into the close (IBM, FERG, WWD, MTD, FCFS) showed relative strength and potential follow-through setups.
– Micro-cap momentum: ENTX broke 3.00 with increasing volume, a classic short-term momentum trigger.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Most likely to outperform/up in the next 2–3 sessions, given relative strength into a weak tape and constructive closes:
– IBM, FERG, WWD, FCFS, MTD, ENTX
Secondary watch (milder signals): ARGX, AVY

Strongest bullish signals
– FERG: Closed at HOD with rising end-of-day volume; clear pattern of higher highs/higher lows intraday.
– IBM: Persistent bid, closing near highs while SPY sold off.
– WWD: Reclaimed intraday selloff, closing near highs; tight structure.
– MTD: Steady grind higher all afternoon; near-HOD close.
– ENTX: Micro-cap breakout over 3.00 with expanding volume (speculative, high-risk/high-reward).
– FCFS: Controlled uptrend, near highs, low-vol pullbacks.

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plan)
Pricing/levels derived from the provided 30-minute bars and obvious nearby supply/demand/round levels. ATR-based “stretch” targets are approximations using recent intraday range expansion since full daily ATR data was not provided.

1) IBM
– Bias: Long on dips; relative strength vs market into close.
– Support: 306.00; 305.25–305.30; 304.68
– Resistance: 307.20 (session high); 308.00; 309.50
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Expect a minor pullback toward 306.0–305.7, then a push through 307.2. Above 307.2, momentum can accelerate toward 308–309.5. If the market stabilizes, 311–312.5 is a reasonable 1–3 day stretch.
– Swing targets: 307.2; 309.0; 312.5 (stretch)
– Entry ideas: 306.0–306.3 retest or 307.3 breakout with strength.
– Stop-loss: 304.5 (beneath session low and round figure).
finviz dynamic chart for  IBM

2) FERG
– Bias: Long; HOD close with accumulation.
– Support: 248.60; 248.27; 247.13
– Resistance: 249.26 (HOD); 250.00; 251.50
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Look for an opening dip to 248.6–248.3 to hold; reclaim through 249.3 opens 250/251.5. Sustained closes above 250 can drive a measured grind higher despite broad market softness.
– Swing targets: 249.3–250.0; 251.5; 253.0 (stretch)
– Entry ideas: Buy 248.4–248.8 on support hold, or add on 249.3–249.5 break.
– Stop-loss: 247.1 (below intraday base).
finviz dynamic chart for  FERG

3) WWD
– Bias: Long; strong reclaim and near-HOD close.
– Support: 261.56; 260.96; 260.22
– Resistance: 263.14 (HOD); 264.00; 265.50
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Early check-back to 261.6–261.0 likely; hold and turn sets a run to 263.1–264. A clean close above 263.1 can invite 265–265.5.
– Swing targets: 263.1; 264.7; 266.5 (stretch)
– Entry ideas: 261.1–261.6 pullback buy; or 263.2 breakout with volume.
– Stop-loss: 259.9 (below session’s pivotal low).
finviz dynamic chart for  WWD

4) FCFS
– Bias: Long; steady, low-vol trend with near-HOD close.
– Support: 161.99; 161.54; 161.22
– Resistance: 162.25 (HOD); 163.00; 164.00
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Expect a tight pullback toward 162.0 that should hold; push over 162.25 targets 163, then 164 on a 1–3 day horizon if financials stabilize.
– Swing targets: 162.25; 163.00; 164.00 (stretch)
– Entry ideas: 161.9–162.1 on hold; or trigger on 162.3–162.4 through HOD.
– Stop-loss: 161.20 (beneath demand zone).
finviz dynamic chart for  FCFS

5) MTD
– Bias: Long; methodical ascent with near-HOD close.
– Support: 1435.34; 1431.00; 1425.10
– Resistance: 1442.07 (HOD); 1450.00; 1460–1465
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Dip-bid around 1431–1436 is constructive; sustained trade above 1442 opens 1450, then 1460–1465 on continuation. Expect choppy tape given index risk-off, but relative strength favors upside resolution.
– Swing targets: 1442; 1450; 1465 (stretch)
– Entry ideas: Scale 1431–1436 on pullback, or add on 1442+ break with volume.
– Stop-loss: 1427.9–1425 (beneath intraday base).
finviz dynamic chart for  MTD

6) ENTX (speculative/micro-cap)
– Bias: Long momentum; breakout over 3.00 with rising volume.
– Support: 3.00; 2.94; 2.90
– Resistance: 3.11 (HOD); 3.20; 3.30–3.35
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Watch a quick retest of 3.00; hold and turn could extend to 3.11–3.20 quickly. Momentum names can overshoot; manage size and risk tightly.
– Swing targets: 3.11; 3.20; 3.35 (stretch)
– Entry ideas: 2.98–3.02 retest buy; breakout add over 3.12 with expanding volume.
– Stop-loss: 2.89 (below breakout base).
finviz dynamic chart for  ENTX

Risk management and notes
– Index headwind: SPY showed late-day distribution. If that continues, favor names with clear relative strength (IBM, FERG, WWD, MTD, FCFS) and consider trimming targets.
– Use smaller size on micro-caps (ENTX) due to volatility and liquidity risk.
– Without full 30-day data/ATR, targets lean on intraday structure and nearby round/pivot levels; adapt in real time to opening range and volume.

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