Back to Insights

Continuation Breakout Wednesday 4PM 10/22/2025

October 22, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:
Analyzed intraday 30-minute bars from 2025-10-22 between roughly 11:30 and 16:00 Eastern Time (ET). No multi-day history was provided, so commentary emphasizes the latest session’s price/volume behavior as a proxy for momentum over the next 1–3 days; confirm these reads against your 10–30 day daily charts before acting.

  • Industrials/Defense (RTX): Clear into-close accumulation with rising highs and expanding volume; buyers controlled the last 90 minutes. This sector slice looks strongest in the set.
  • Semis/Power Components (VICR): Late-session breakout and strong volume surge, closing near the top of the day’s range despite a small end-print fade; constructive risk-on tone for niche tech.
  • Healthcare – Distributors/Tools/Providers (MCK, TMO, HCA): Mixed. MCK showed steady grind higher with healthy closing flow (bullish). TMO recovered late but remained choppy and capped under 570 (neutral-to-constructive if 570 reclaims). HCA slipped intraday with modest bounce late (neutral/soft).
  • Consumer Staples/Discretionary (COST, MCD): Both faded into the close on above-prior-bar volumes; defensive retail and QSR were offered late (soft).
  • Financials (LPLA): Pushed to 342 then sold hard into the close with elevated volume; suggests near-term supply overhead (soft).
  • Illiquid micro/small caps (VHC, PTHS, ABLV): Erratic prints and thin tapes. PTHS saw a pop but liquidity risk is high; VHC/ABLV too thin for reliable signals.

Notable patterns:
– Broad rotation into late-day strength for RTX and VICR with decisive 15:30–16:00 accumulation. MCK confirmed steady bid. Meanwhile, consumer-facing large caps (COST, MCD) and a financial platform (LPLA) showed distribution into the close.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):
Likely to go up:
– RTX, VICR, MCK
Strongest bullish signals:
– RTX: Higher-highs sequence on 30-min bars with accelerating volume into the close.
– VICR: Breakout through intraday resistance with the day’s largest volume on the final thrust.
– MCK: Persistent uptrend behavior intraday, tight closes near highs.

Individual Stock Analysis (setups for the next 1–3 days)
Note: Support/resistance derived from the latest session’s intraday structure combined with nearby round-number zones. Validate with your daily chart to align with higher-timeframe supply/demand.

1) RTX (Aerospace & Defense)
– Supports: 177.50; 176.90; 176.26–175.79 zone
– Resistances: 178.44 (session high); 179.00; 180.00
– 30-min read and 2–3 day path:
• Base case: Early dip toward 177.5–176.9 gets bought, then a push through 178.4 opens 179–180.
• Break-and-hold above 178.5 with strong tape can squeeze into 179.7–180.2 same/next day.
• Failure to hold 176.3 shifts to 175.8–176.0 balance before a second attempt higher.
– Entry ideas:
• Pullback buy 177.00–177.30 (prior breakout area).
• Momentum buy on 178.50–178.60 break with sustained volume.
– Stops:
• Conservative: 175.70 (below 175.79 intraday pivot).
• Tighter: 176.20 (below 176.26 micro support).
– 1–3 day targets:
• PT1: 178.40–178.60
• PT2: 179.40–179.80
• PT3: 181.00 on continued momentum (stretch if market risk-on persists)
finviz dynamic chart for  RTX

2) VICR (Semis/Power Components)
– Supports: 85.00; 84.82; 84.00–83.63 zone
– Resistances: 86.25 (session high); 87.00; 88.00
– 30-min read and 2–3 day path:
• Base case: Retest of 85–84.8 holds; push back to 86.25. A clean break/hold above 86.25 targets 87.2–87.5, then 88 handle.
• If 84.8 breaks decisively, expect a shakeout toward 84–83.6 before rebuilding.
– Entry ideas:
• Pullback buy 85.00–85.20 (prior breakout retest).
• Momentum buy through 86.30 with expanding volume.
– Stops:
• Conservative: 83.90 (below 84.00 round-number shelf).
• Tighter: 84.70 (below 84.82 swing low).
– 1–3 day targets:
• PT1: 86.20–86.40
• PT2: 87.20–87.50
• PT3: 88.80–89.50 on continuation
finviz dynamic chart for  VICR

3) MCK (Healthcare Distribution)
– Supports: 795.03; 793.52; 792.09
– Resistances: 797.27 (session high); 800.00; 805.00
– 30-min read and 2–3 day path:
• Base case: Bids defend 795–793.5; grind to 797.3, then attempt a round-number break at 800.
• A strong 800 reclaim/hold invites a measured extension to 803–805 within 1–3 sessions.
• Lose 792 with momentum and the setup likely delays as price backs into 789–791 (rebuild phase).
– Entry ideas:
• Pullback buy 794.00–795.20.
• Add/secondary entry on a clean push/hold over 797.50.
– Stops:
• Conservative: 791.80 (below 792.09).
• Tighter: 793.00 (below 793.52).
– 1–3 day targets:
• PT1: 797.00–797.50
• PT2: 799.80–800.50
• PT3: 804.50–805.50 on extension
finviz dynamic chart for  MCK

Watchlist notes (not primary longs from this tape, but worth monitoring):
– TMO: Constructive if it reclaims and holds 570; above 570 opens 572–575; support 565–563.8.
– LPLA: Late-day supply; would need to reclaim 342 with volume to negate near-term weakness.
– COST, MCD: Weak closes; prefer wait-and-see or short into bounces near intraday supply if broader market softens.
– PTHS, VHC, ABLV: Liquidity/structure too thin for a systematic 1–3 day swing plan; traders may consider only with very small size and strict risk controls.

Important context:
– The latest session shows clear accumulation in RTX/VICR and steady strength in MCK. Without the 10–30 day daily context in the provided data, treat these as momentum-continuation candidates contingent on holding the stated supports and on broader market tone staying risk-on. Confirm daily trend alignment and average true range before sizing.

Share: