Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range analyzed: 2026-02-04 13:30–17:00)
Note: The dataset provided covers intraday 30-minute bars for 2026-02-04 only (with some after-hours prints). I do not have the prior 30 days to quantify longer-term trend or ATR; below I emphasize the most recent intraday price/volume behavior and use today’s range as a short-term ATR proxy. If you can share the 30-day window, I’ll refine levels and ATR-based targets.
- Industrials/Cyclicals showed relative strength on the session:
- DE (Ag equipment) pushed to 571.56 intraday and held most gains, consolidating 566–569 into the close.
- LECO (Industrial welding) stair-stepped higher to 288.28 before a controlled pullback to 285–286.
- URI showed a strong push to 850.45 but a sharp closing-auction fade to 831.16 warns of supply overhead.
- NPO (industrial components) pressed to 254.40 and held the 252–253 shelf.
- Energy/Offshore drilling: RIG showed the cleanest momentum—higher highs into the close with a notable volume ramp (5.27 → 5.36, heavy last hour).
- Healthcare/Biotech was mixed to soft:
- VRTX faded steadily (474.9 → 470.7).
- AMGN sold late (to 364.9) after a mid-day pop.
- BIIB was directionless near 185–186.
- Insurance/Financials leaned soft: AON (353 → 350), CB (pressure into 329–330; odd thin after-hours prints), ERIE slipped to mid-286s; HIFS was two-way but closed off highs.
- Consumer/Discretionary and Media mostly lagged:
- HD slipped (388 → 386.6).
- CHTR couldn’t hold 225–226 and closed near lows (~223).
- AZO bled lower all afternoon and printed a sharp after-hours downtick.
- TSQ and CLPS showed illiquid churn and fades.
- One micro/mid-cap standout: SETH posted an after-hours breakout to 55.65 after spending much of the session around 54–54.3 (thin liquidity, but a fresh momentum cue).
Notable patterns
– Closing-hour distribution was common across defensives (AON, CHTR, HD, AMGN), while cyclicals (DE, LECO) and energy beta (RIG) showed accumulation into strength.
– Several names rejected intraday highs but held higher lows (DE, LECO), a constructive sign if the tape firms next session.
– After-hours spikes (SETH, AZO down) flag event/flow risk; size accordingly.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue up (tactical momentum bias):
– RIG, DE, LECO, IDCC, NPO, SETH (high risk due to liquidity/after-hours nature)
Strongest bullish signals
– RIG: Higher highs into the close with expanding volume; clean intraday trend and shallow pullbacks.
– DE: Breakout attempt to 571.6, tight consolidation above 566; relative strength vs broader tape.
– LECO: Intraday uptrend with higher highs; pullback found support near 284.7–285.3.
– SETH: After-hours breakout >55.5; needs regular-hours confirmation but momentum is there.
Individual Stock Analysis (30-minute chart driven; targets use today’s range as a short-term ATR proxy; entries near support; stops tucked beyond structure)
RIG (Transocean)
– Setup: Strong trend day late; higher highs (5.32 → 5.36) with volume surge in the last hour suggests continuation on a modest gap or early pullback buy.
– Key support (daily/intraday zones):
– 5.31–5.33 (intraday base)
– 5.27–5.28 (session low zone)
– 5.20 (psychological/backstop if momentum stalls)
– Key resistance:
– 5.36 (intraday high)
– 5.40–5.42 (round/near-term supply)
– 5.50 (psychological; next magnet on continuation)
– Next 2–3 days (30-min view):
– Expect an early check-back toward 5.31–5.33; buyers should defend that base. A push through 5.36 opens a trend extension.
– Price targets (1–3 day swing; ~0.09 session range proxy):
– PT1: 5.36
– PT2: 5.42–5.45 (range extension)
– PT3: 5.50 (stretch)
– Entry: 5.31–5.33 on a controlled dip; or momentum add on 5.36–5.37 break with volume.
– Stop-loss: 5.26–5.27 (beneath base/last higher low). Tighten to breakeven after PT1.
DE (Deere)
– Setup: Breakout probe to 571.56 followed by tight closing consolidation 566–569—classic coil above support.
– Key support:
– 566.0–566.3 (late-day floor)
– 563.1 (early session pivot)
– 560 (psychological)
– Key resistance:
– 569.7 (intraday R1)
– 571.6 (session high)
– 575 (round/overhead supply)
– Next 2–3 days:
– Prefer a pullback-hold above 566 followed by a push through 569.7; strength over 571.6 invites a measured leg higher.
– Price targets (range proxy ~9):
– PT1: 569.5–570
– PT2: 571.5–572
– PT3: 575–576 (stretch if tape risk-on)
– Entry: 566.5–567.2 on dip-and-hold; or 569.8–570.2 on breakout retest.
– Stop-loss: 563.8–564.5 (below coil). If breakout entry, use a tighter 567.8 invalidation.
LECO (Lincoln Electric)
– Setup: Persistent intraday uptrend to 288.28, then a healthy pullback holding 284.7–285.3; buyers remain in control above 283.
– Key support:
– 284.7–285.3 (pullback buy zone)
– 283.1 (prior 30-min close/high pivot)
– 280.3–280.5 (session floor/invalidator)
– Key resistance:
– 286.97 (intraday R1)
– 288.28 (session high)
– 290–291 (round/next supply)
– Next 2–3 days:
– Look for a higher low above 285 and a push through 287–288. Sustained trade over 288.3 shifts momentum to test 290+.
– Price targets (range proxy ~8):
– PT1: 287.0–287.5
– PT2: 288.3–289.0
– PT3: 290.5–291.5 (stretch)
– Entry: 284.8–285.3 on dip-and-hold; add on 287 break with volume.
– Stop-loss: 282.9–283.2 (beneath structure). If adding on breakout, trail under 285.8.
IDCC (InterDigital)
– Setup: Wide intraday range with a mid-afternoon flush to 310 then a strong 315.6 rebound; closing around 313.8 sets a constructive higher-low attempt if 312–313 holds.
– Key support:
– 313.0–313.5 (close pivot)
– 310.5–311.0 (retest of flush low)
– 309.8–310.0 (line-in-sand)
– Key resistance:
– 316.5–317.6 (supply band)
– 318.3 (intraday high)
– 320 (psychological/next magnet)
– Next 2–3 days:
– Bias for a range resolution higher if price bases above 312–313 and reclaims 316.5–317.6. Failure there likely re-tests 311.
– Price targets (range proxy ~8):
– PT1: 316.5–317.5
– PT2: 318.3–319.0
– PT3: 320–322 (stretch)
– Entry: 312.5–313.5 on a higher-low; or breakout >317.6 with confirmation.
– Stop-loss: 309.7–310.2 depending tolerance. For breakout, use 315.4–315.8 as a fail-back stop.
NPO (Enpro)
– Setup: Gradual grind up to 254.4 with higher lows, holding 252–253 into the close—constructive for a measured continuation.
– Key support:
– 252.2 (late print/shelf)
– 251.3–251.4 (early session pivot)
– 250 (psychological)
– Key resistance:
– 254.2–254.4 (session high)
– 255.0 (round)
– 256.5–257.0 (next likely supply if it trends)
– Next 2–3 days:
– Expect a tight consolidation 252–254 then an attempt over 254.4. Follow-through above 255 likely targets mid-256s.
– Price targets (range proxy ~5):
– PT1: 254.0
– PT2: 254.8–255.2
– PT3: 256–257 (stretch)
– Entry: 252.5–253.2 on dips; add on 254.5 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 250.9–251.2 (below shelf). If adding on breakout, trail under 253.6.
SETH
– Setup: After-hours breakout to 55.65 after a quiet 54–54.3 regular session. Needs RTH confirmation; liquidity is thinner—use smaller size and wider stops.
– Key support:
– 55.00–55.10 (AH breakout base)
– 54.30–54.50 (RTH supply turned potential demand)
– 54.00 (psychological/invalidator)
– Key resistance:
– 55.65 (AH high)
– 56.00–56.20 (round/near-term supply)
– 57.00 (stretch)
– Next 2–3 days:
– Watch for an opening test of 55.0–55.2; if it holds and reclaims 55.65 with volume, momentum continuation is favored.
– Price targets (range proxy ~1.65):
– PT1: 55.65
– PT2: 56.2–56.5
– PT3: 57.0 (stretch)
– Entry: 55.0–55.2 retest hold; or confirmation >55.7 with volume.
– Stop-loss: 54.4–54.5 (beneath RTH supply flip). If illiquidity spikes, consider time-based stop.
Risk management and notes
– Many tickers showed late-day supply; if the broader tape opens risk-off, prioritize the cleaner momentum structures (RIG, DE, LECO) and demand confirmation (volume + higher lows).
– Given the lack of a 30-day window, ATR-based targets here use today’s realized range as a proxy; with the full 30-day dataset, I can refine to true daily ATR, multi-day levels (prior swing highs/lows), and higher-confidence targets.
If you want the 30-day and last-10-day context added (true ATRs, moving averages, and daily supply/demand zones), share that slice and I’ll update the levels and targets.