Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-12-31 12:00 to 15:00. Note: Only this intraday, 30-minute window was provided. No prior 10–30 days of data were included, so comments on “recent 10 days” and daily supply/demand are inferred from today’s intraday behavior and obvious round-number zones rather than confirmed multi-day levels.
Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– EV/Auto: Split tape. PSNY advanced into the close (21.37 near session high) showing accumulation; KXIN faded and sat heavy near 5.18–5.28. Net: selective strength in better-capitalized EV (PSNY), weakness in thin China microcaps (KXIN).
– Metals/Mining: Weak. HYMC rolled over from 24.65 to ~24.10; SGML (lithium) trended down from ~13.55 to ~13.17. Net: distribution in precious metals and lithium.
– Aerospace/Defense: TDG grinded higher and closed firm near day’s upper range (~1337), showing steady bid. RCAT (drones) sold all afternoon (~8.08→7.92). Net: quality names bid (TDG), specs risk-off (RCAT).
– Biotech/Pharma: Mixed. LBRX stair-stepped up all session (HOD close at 22.955) with rising prints—bullish. VRTX drifted lower (~455.5→454.2). NXTC slipped. Net: stock-specific momentum (LBRX) despite broader lethargy in large-cap biotech (VRTX).
– Consumer/Retail: BURL faded steadily (~291→288.5). OWLT slipped (~16.85→16.35). Net: retail and consumer discretionary under mild pressure.
– Tech/IoT/Telecom: ONDS saw heavy distribution (~10.16→9.91 on very high volume). SPAI and EPOW slipped on light liquidity. Net: small-cap tech saw selling pressure.
– REIT/Digital infra: DBRG small but steady afternoon bid (15.315→15.345). Net: defensive grind higher.
– Financials/Insurance: FRFHF illiquid but slightly higher; not actionable for short-term momentum.
– Illiquid/Flat prints: MAAS, ISPO showed little movement; not actionable.
Notable patterns
– Afternoon trend-down across many small caps (HYMC, SGML, RCAT, ONDS) suggests risk-off in speculative corners.
– Selective strength into the close in LBRX, PSNY, TDG, and modestly MBX; those closing near HODs are best placed for 1–3 day continuation.
– Volume quality: Strongest real activity/follow-through signals: ONDS (but bearish), HYMC (bearish), LBRX (bullish), PSNY (constructive), TDG (orderly bid).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely to go up:
– LBRX (strongest bullish signal: higher highs/higher lows all afternoon; HOD close)
– PSNY (late-day ramp, closes near high; potential continuation if 21.40 breaks)
– TDG (orderly grind, potential new highs above 1339.8–1340)
– MBX (reclaimed and held upper 31s into close; room to test 31.5–32)
Showing strong bullish signals: LBRX (top pick), PSNY. TDG is a lower-volatility grinder. MBX is a lighter-volume momentum candidate.
Caution/avoid for long near-term: ONDS, SGML, HYMC, RCAT (clear distribution), BURL/VRTX trend-down.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
LBRX
– Thesis: Momentum close at HOD with rising intraday structure; watch for continuation over 22.96–23.00.
– Key supports (demand): 22.70; 22.60–22.65 zone; 22.25–22.30 (deeper)
– Key resistances (supply): 22.96–23.00; 23.20; 23.50
– Next 2–3 days price action (30-min read): Likely early consolidate 22.6–23.0; break/hold above 23.00 opens a push toward 23.20, then 23.50.
– Targets (1–3 day): T1 23.05–23.20; T2 23.35–23.50; stretch 23.80 if momentum expands.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 22.70–22.75 with confirmation (higher low on 30-min).
– Breakout buy >23.00 (hold 30–60 min above).
– Stops:
– For pullback entry: 22.48 (below 22.60 zone).
– For breakout entry: 22.68 (reclaim/lose prior breakout base).
PSNY
– Thesis: Strong close near HOD with afternoon higher lows; watch 21.40 trigger.
– Key supports: 21.00–21.05; 20.85–20.88; 20.72–20.75
– Key resistances: 21.40; 21.75; 22.00
– Next 2–3 days price action: First retest of 21.00 likely; holding above there sets up 21.40 breakout. Over 21.40, momentum could target mid-21s to high-21s.
– Targets (1–3 day): T1 21.55–21.60; T2 21.85–22.00; stretch 22.30 if tape stays risk-on.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 21.00–21.05 with tight risk.
– Breakout buy >21.40 on volume.
– Stops:
– For pullback: 20.72 (below session pivot support).
– For breakout: 20.98 (failed breakout guard).
TDG
– Thesis: Steady bid and close near highs in a high-quality name; continuation over 1339.8–1340 possible.
– Key supports: 1336.0; 1334.5; 1333.1
– Key resistances: 1339.8–1340; 1342.5; 1345.0
– Next 2–3 days price action: Slow grind; range expansion likely modest. If 1340 holds, drift toward 1342–1345.
– Targets (1–3 day): T1 1340–1342; T2 1344–1345; stretch 1348.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 1335.5–1336.0.
– Breakout >1340 with strong tape.
– Stops:
– For pullback: 1333.0.
– For breakout: 1335.9.
MBX
– Thesis: Late-day recovery and hold in upper range; potential push through 31.47–31.50.
– Key supports: 31.20; 31.08–31.10; 31.00
– Key resistances: 31.47–31.50; 31.75; 32.00
– Next 2–3 days price action: Expect chop 31.10–31.50; break/hold above 31.50 opens 31.70s then 32.00 test.
– Targets (1–3 day): T1 31.55; T2 31.75–31.85; stretch 32.00.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 31.15–31.20.
– Breakout >31.50 on rising volume.
– Stops:
– For pullback: 30.98.
– For breakout: 31.28.
Quick risk notes
– Liquidity/volatility: LBRX and PSNY offer better momentum liquidity. TDG is high-priced with tight ranges; size down. MBX has lighter volume—use limit orders and tighter risk.
– If broader tape turns risk-off, invalidate breakout plans and favor only pullback entries at support with reduced size.
Names to avoid for long momentum near-term (watch for further downside or only for oversold bounces): ONDS, SGML, HYMC, RCAT, BURL, VRTX.
If you can share full 30-day daily candles or ATR figures, I can refine daily supply/demand zones and probability-weighted targets.