Analysis window (EST): 2025-12-23 15:00 to 2025-12-24 15:00. Note: today’s session was thin/liquidity-light, so volume reads are skewed by the holiday half-day. Most conclusions emphasize today’s 30-minute structure with context from recent behavior implied by intraday supply/demand.
Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:
– Consumer Discretionary mixed with pockets of leadership:
– Off-price/department retail bid: BURL pushed 285→288.9 on rising 30-min volume; ANF faded intraday; LOVE churned and couldn’t hold the pop. Auto dealers (LAD, GPI) were flat-to-soft. Homebuilders (TOL) stair-stepped higher all session.
– Tech/Communication Services:
– Large-cap platform names flat (META pinned ~667). IT services (IT) slipped ~254→251. Data-center/infra (VRT) steady, coiling 166–167.5. Optical/semis (LITE) trended up with higher highs and volume expansion late morning—constructive.
– Healthcare:
– Managed care and big pharma flat (UNH, JNJ). Services (CHE) range-bound. Small/mid-cap biotech showed risk-on pockets (ANRO trend up, ARMP firm, TOI stable).
– Industrials:
– Heavy equipment/distribution stable-to-soft (URI faded, GWW flat). Multi-industrials neutral (SPXC tight, BMI tight).
– Staples/Personal care:
– OLPX pushed on elevated volume and held gains; HLF active with large prints near mid-day and higher lows vs opening print.
– Materials (Gold royalty):
– FNV broke higher into 215s with a clean volume spike—leaders in the group typically act first when risk hedging rotates in.
– Financials:
– Money-center/IB flat (GS coiled ~910). Insurance quiet (TRV).
– REIT/Logistics:
– COLD climbed steadily with rising 30-min volume—classic accumulation profile.
Notable patterns:
– Rotational risk-on within select Discretionary (BURL, TOL) and select Tech/Optical (LITE), alongside a defensive bid in Gold royalties (FNV). Liquidity drift favored steady climbers and coiled leaders (TKO, VRT) while beta-heavy IT Services (IT) lagged.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days):
– Most likely to advance: BURL, LITE, FNV, TKO, TOL, COLD
– Showing the strongest bullish signals (volume + structure):
– BURL (rising highs with expanding volume), LITE (trend day with higher highs/higher lows), FNV (breakout + volume confirmation)
– Second tier but constructive: TKO (late-session push through intraday highs), TOL (orderly grind higher), COLD (accumulation profile)
Individual Stock Analysis (supports/resistances on daily zones approximated from current session’s supply/demand and round-number pivots; trade plan based on 30-min structure)
BURL
– Key daily zones:
– Supports: 287.0; 285.2–285.3 (session base); 282.5–283.0
– Resistances: 288.9–289.0 (session high); 292–294; 300
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an initial dip to 286.5–287.3, then a push toward 290–292. If 292 clears with volume, extension into 294–296 possible.
– Price targets (1–3 day swing):
– T1: 290.0–291.0
– T2: 293.5–295.0
– T3: 299–300 (stretch, ~1 ATR move for a name this size)
– Entry: 286.8–287.5 on a controlled pullback or 289.0–289.3 on a high-volume break-and-hold.
– Stop: 283.4–284.0 (below session demand). Tight risk version: under 285.0 if using breakout entry.
LITE
– Key daily zones:
– Supports: 392.7–393.2; 390.0; 387.0
– Resistances: 396.3 (session high); 400.0; 404–406
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Buy-the-dip character above 393 favored; look for a 393.5–394.5 higher low then test 396.3/400. Acceptance above 400 opens a momentum leg.
– Price targets:
– T1: 398–400
– T2: 404–406
– T3: 410–412 (stretch if momentum broadens)
– Entry: 393.8–394.6 retest with higher-low confirmation; or 396.4–396.8 reclaim after a quick shakeout.
– Stop: 389.5–390.0 (below round-number pivot and morning demand shelf).
FNV
– Key daily zones:
– Supports: 214.3–214.6; 213.8–214.0; 212.8
– Resistances: 216.5–216.8; 218.0–219.0; 220.0–221.0
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Breakout-and-backtest setup. Prefer a 214.9–215.3 retest and hold, then a push through 216.5. If gold stays bid, 218–220 feasible within 1–3 sessions.
– Price targets:
– T1: 216.8–217.2
– T2: 218.2–219.0
– T3: 220.0–221.0
– Entry: 214.9–215.3 on low-volume pullback to prior high; or 216.6–216.9 on confirmed continuation.
– Stop: 213.9 (beneath breakout base). Conservative: 213.4.
TKO
– Key daily zones:
– Supports: 217.1–217.3; 216.6–216.7; 216.0
– Resistances: 218.1–218.2 (session high); 219.5; 221.0–222.0
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Coiled, higher-lows day. Expect a quick check to 217.2–217.4 then a move through 218.1. Continuation favors a 219.5 test; strength could carry to low 221s.
– Price targets:
– T1: 218.2–218.6
– T2: 219.6–220.2
– T3: 221.0–222.0
– Entry: 217.2–217.4 on dip and hold; or 218.2+ breakout with volume.
– Stop: 216.2–216.3 (beneath intraday demand and VWAP risk line).
TOL
– Key daily zones:
– Supports: 139.24–139.30; 138.96; 138.50
– Resistances: 139.74 (session high); 140.00; 141.00–141.20
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Trend up day with shallow dips; favor continuation as long as 139 holds. Move above 139.74 targets a 140 handle test; acceptance above 140 opens 141s within 1–3 sessions.
– Price targets:
– T1: 139.90–140.10
– T2: 140.80–141.00
– T3: 141.80–142.20 (stretch; ~1 ATR)
– Entry: 139.10–139.30 pullback; or 139.80–139.85 pre-break with tight risk.
– Stop: 138.45–138.60 (below session demand and prior 30-min higher low).
COLD
– Key daily zones:
– Supports: 12.46–12.50; 12.41–12.42; 12.30
– Resistances: 12.58–12.60; 12.70–12.75; 12.90–13.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Accumulation signature—rising price with rising volume. Expect a brief pullback toward 12.50 then continuation into 12.70s if buyers defend VWAP.
– Price targets:
– T1: 12.65
– T2: 12.75–12.80
– T3: 12.90–13.00
– Entry: 12.50–12.53 on a controlled dip; or 12.60 break-and-hold.
– Stop: 12.39 (below session demand shelf).
Additional quick reads (watchlist-quality but not top tier):
– OLPX: Held 1.41 with multiple tests; momentum if 1.43 clears, targets 1.47/1.52, stop ~1.37.
– VRT: Coil 166–167.5; trigger above 167.5 → 169, stop ~166.1.
Risk management and execution notes:
– Liquidity was thin; use smaller size and avoid chasing. Let price come back to intraday demand or enter through clear, high-volume breaks.
– If leaders lose their first support zones on expanding sell volume, step aside quickly—holiday tape reversals can be sharp.
– Scale out at T1/T2 to pay yourself; trail to last higher low for T3 attempts.
If you want, I can overlay these levels onto 30-minute charts and compute 14-day ATRs from your full data to tighten targets further.