Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-11-12 13:00–15:00 (with limited prints for ANL on 2025-11-11 and 11/12 AM). Note: Only intraday bars were provided; daily context/ATR not included, so daily levels/ATR-based targets are approximations informed by today’s 30‑minute structure and typical behavior.
- Metals/Gold complex (RGLD, NGD, GDXU, JNUG, NUGT): Miners pushed higher into 13:30 then faded modestly into the close. RGLD held bids near 193.3–193.6; NGD showed sustained high volume and higher low maintenance. Levered ETFs (JNUG/NUGT/GDXU) show the same pattern—strength early, digestion late—suggesting constructive consolidation rather than distribution if spot gold firmed overnight.
- Hotels/Travel (HLT, H, MAR, EXPE): Hotels showed steady intraday strength (HLT > H, MAR flat-to-firm; EXPE range-bound near highs). Group looks resilient; dips were bought.
- Healthcare/MedTech/Biotech (HAE, IRTC, IDXX, HCA, UHS, KRYS): Mixed, with strength skewed to devices/diagnostics. HAE broke to new session highs into the close on rising volume. IRTC stair-stepped to 180.0. IDXX held firm. HCA/UHS drifted lower; KRYS trended down.
- Aerospace/Defense (TDG, HEI, TDY, CACI): Soft tone—lower highs and late-day fades (TDG/TDY/HEI). CACI mostly sideways.
- Industrials/Materials (CAT, URI, WCC, NUE, HCC): Mostly weak to mixed. CAT and URI faded mid-afternoon. WCC sold off from 267 to ~264. NUE range-bound. HCC trended down.
- Financials/Insurance (AFG, MKL, FCNCA, CME): Flat-to-muted. MKL edged higher; AFG/CME range-bound; FCNCA illiquid and flat.
- Tech/Internet/Semis (VRSN, AXTI, EB): VRSN tight range. AXTI sold off with heavy intraday volume. EB illiquid and flat.
- Energy/Other (TPL, SBGI, TEO, LGHL): TPL volatile and lower. SBGI flat. TEO slight uptick. LGHL choppy micro-cap action.
- Takeaway: Best relative strength into the close came from Hotels (HLT), Select MedTech (HAE, IRTC), and selective Gold (RGLD, NGD). Weakness clustered in Aerospace/Defense and some Industrials.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Likely to go up: HAE, HLT, IRTC, ALB, RGLD, NGD
– Strong bullish signals:
– HAE: Late-session breakout to HOD with rising volume.
– HLT: Persistent higher lows and close near HOD.
– IRTC: Series of higher highs, closed just below day’s high.
– RGLD/NGD: Relative strength in miners with supportive pullback structure.
– ALB: Higher highs intraday with good volume; reclaim of 109s.
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Supports/resistances blend today’s 30-min pivots with nearby round-number supply/demand. Validate on your daily chart before execution. Targets align with nearby resistance and roughly 0.8–1.3x typical daily range for these names.
1) HAE
– Key support: 73.89 (breakout pivot), 73.59–73.64, 73.48
– Key resistance: 74.19 (HOD), 74.50, 75.00
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Prefer early dip to 73.9–74.0, then push through 74.2 for a trend day toward mid-74s; extension toward 75 if volume expands.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 74.50, T2 75.00, T3 75.80
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 73.95–74.05
– Momentum buy >74.20 on volume
– Stop: 73.35 (below 73.39 pivot cluster). More conservative: 73.15.
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2) HLT
– Key support: 277.35–277.41, 276.69, 276.16–275.95
– Key resistance: 277.58 (HOD), 278.20, 280.00
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Expect a retest of 277 area; hold above 276.7 keeps the uptrend intact. Break >277.6 opens 278.2 then 279–280.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 278.20, T2 279.20, T3 280.50
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 276.90–277.10
– Breakout buy >277.60
– Stop: 276.05 (beneath prior higher low). Tight alternative: 276.40.
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3) IRTC
– Key support: 179.62, 179.12, 178.66
– Key resistance: 180.20 (HOD), 181.00, 182.50
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Look for a higher low above 179.3–179.6; break >180.2 targets 181 first, then 182–182.5. Loss of 178.6 shifts to neutral.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 180.80, T2 181.80, T3 182.80
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 179.30–179.60
– Breakout buy >180.20 with expanding volume
– Stop: 178.60 (below session demand).
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4) ALB
– Key support: 109.00, 108.76, 108.27
– Key resistance: 109.46, 109.84, 110.20 (then 111.00)
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Constructive higher lows; expect dip toward 109.0 then grind to 109.8–110.2; extension to 111 if risk-on materials and lithium flows improve.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 109.90–110.20, T2 111.00, T3 112.20
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 108.90–109.10
– Add >109.85 on confirmation
– Stop: 108.20 (below base and 13:30 open).
–
5) RGLD
– Key support: 193.33, 192.67, 192.38
– Key resistance: 194.59 (session high), 195.00, 196.50
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Favor shallow pullback to 193.4–193.6 followed by push through 194.3–194.6. Continuation toward 195.5–196.5 if gold bids persist.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 194.60, T2 195.50, T3 196.80–197.50
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 193.30–193.60
– Breakout buy >194.30–194.60
– Stop: 192.30 (beneath 192.38 support).
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6) NGD
– Key support: 7.62, 7.60, 7.55
– Key resistance: 7.685, 7.73–7.75, 7.85
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Strong volume base; look for higher low above 7.60 and a push through 7.70–7.75 toward 7.85. Failure below 7.55 weakens the setup.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 7.75, T2 7.85, T3 8.00
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 7.60–7.63
– Momentum buy >7.70–7.75
– Stop: 7.49 (below demand shelf).
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Additional notes
– Leveraged miner ETFs (JNUG, NUGT, GDXU) echoed the early strength/later fade; if you prefer instruments with less decay, stick to single-name miners (e.g., RGLD, NGD).
– Avoid thin/erratic names for short-term swings (ANL, LGHL, EB, FCNCA at this time window) due to liquidity/print irregularities.
– For Aerospace/Defense (TDG, HEI, TDY), bias remains sell-the-rip until they reclaim today’s breakdown levels (e.g., TDG >1309.9, TDY >521.7, HEI >330.5).
Risk management
– Size positions assuming no more than 0.5–1.0R loss per idea; honor stops, especially if supports fail on expanding volume.
– If futures/commodities overnight move against the metals or macro risk-off hits, tighten risk on RGLD/NGD and prioritize HAE/HLT/IRTC which showed idiosyncratic strength.