Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range reviewed: 2025-10-22 from 11:30 to 15:00 on 30‑minute bars; 30‑day/10‑day daily context was not included in the upload, so commentary emphasizes today’s 30‑minute tape and inferred momentum)
– Consumer Staples/Discretionary (COST, MCD): Both faded through the afternoon with lower highs/lows and modest volume upticks on down-bars (COST 950→945; MCD 312→310.8). Reads as distribution into the close.
– Healthcare complex mixed to weak: Life Sciences Tools (TMO) sold off into the 14:30–15:00 window (570→564 on higher volume), Providers (HCA) bled lower late (442.6→441), while Large-cap Biotech (REGN) stayed range-bound (581–586), defending 581–582.
– Aerospace & Defense (RTX): Clear relative strength. Persistent higher highs/higher lows, close near HOD (176.86) with steady volume—accumulation.
– Tech/Power Electronics (VICR): Strong recovery from midday lows (81.7→84.47 HOD, close 84.24) with improving momentum into the close—constructive. VHC and ABLV traded too thin/erratic for reliable signals.
Key pattern: Broad afternoon fade across many large caps, but rotation into Defense/Industrial (RTX) and selective Tech (VICR). Healthcare showed net softness except REGN’s base-hold.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 sessions)
– Most likely to rise: RTX, VICR, REGN.
– Strongest bullish signals:
– RTX: Higher highs/lows into the close, close near HOD, steady accumulation.
– VICR: Reversal off session low, stair-step higher with buyers into the bell.
– REGN: Tight range hold above 581–582 shelf; a push through 585.6 could unlock upside.
Individual Stock Analysis (focus: 1–3 day swing plan; daily zones anchored to today’s session high/low as the nearest “daily” supply/demand reference)
RTX (Aerospace & Defense)
– Key support (demand): 176.38, 176.26, 175.75.
– Key resistance (supply): 176.86 (HOD), 177.00, 177.50–177.85.
– 30‑minute price action outlook (2–3 days): Favor mild continuation. A shallow dip toward 176.4–176.6 that holds should lead to a test of 176.9–177.0, then 177.5+. Failure back below 176.2 increases odds of a two-way chop toward 175.8.
– Swing targets (using today’s intraday range ≈ 1.11 as proxy for ATR):
– T1: 177.30 (≈ +0.5x range)
– T2: 177.85 (≈ +1.0x range)
– Stretch: 178.40 (≈ +1.5x range) if momentum expands
– Possible entries:
– Pullback buy: 176.45–176.55
– Breakout buy: 176.90–177.05 on volume
– Suggested stops:
– Tight: below 176.20
– Swing: below 175.70 (under session demand)
–
VICR (Power Electronics/Semis)
– Key support: 84.00, 83.00, 82.64.
– Key resistance: 84.47 (HOD), 85.00, 86.00–86.20.
– 30‑minute price action outlook (2–3 days): Continuation favored if 84 holds. Expect an early probe of 84.5–85. A clean hold above 85 opens 86–86.2; failure back through 83 risks a retest of 82.6/81.7.
– Swing targets (today’s range ≈ 2.77 as proxy):
– T1: 85.60 (≈ +0.5x range)
– T2: 87.00 (≈ +1.0x range)
– Stretch: 88.20 (≈ +1.5x range) if buyers press
– Possible entries:
– Pullback buy: 83.90–84.10
– Breakout buy: 84.50–84.60 on expanding volume
– Suggested stops:
– Tight: below 83.00
– Swing: below 82.60 (beneath higher-low structure)
–
REGN (Large-cap Biotech)
– Key support: 582.00, 581.27–581.21 (session floor), 580.80 (protective cushion).
– Key resistance: 583.58, 585.64, 586.56 (session high).
– 30‑minute price action outlook (2–3 days): Base-building with upward bias if 581–582 holds. Above 583.6, look for a push to 585.6; a break/hold over 585.6 targets 586.5–587. Rejection at 585.6 likely sends it back to 582 tests.
– Swing targets (today’s range ≈ 5.35 as proxy):
– T1: 584.35 (≈ +0.5x range)
– T2: 585.60 (prior intraday supply)
– T3: 586.80–587.00 (near HOD)
– Possible entries:
– Pullback buy: 581.60–582.00
– Breakout buy: 585.70–586.00 with confirmation
– Suggested stops:
– Tight: below 580.80
– Swing: scale out on loss of 581.2 shelf; wider stop only if position size reduced
–
Other notes
– Weak/avoid for longs near term unless clear reversal: TMO, COST, MCD, HCA (afternoon distribution and closes in lower portions of their intraday ranges).
– Illiquid/high-risk: VHC, ABLV (spiky, thin—plan only if you specialize in microcaps).
If you can share daily bars (30-day and last 10-day context), I can refine support/resistance with true daily supply/demand zones and compute ATR-based targets with higher precision.