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Continuation Breakout Wednesday 3PM 10/01/2025

October 1, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Analyzed datetime range (EST): 2025-10-01 from 13:00 to 15:00 (30-minute bars provided). Note: Only late-session intraday data for one day was supplied; the following uses that momentum/volume context as a proxy for near-term (1–3 day) swing setups.

  • Broad market: QQQ edged higher into the afternoon (602.54 → 603.75) on steady volume, a risk-on tone that favored growth/tech.
  • Semis and chip equipment led with persistent higher highs: KLAC, AMAT, LRCX, AEIS, ACMR pushed upward into the close; TSM lagged intraday after mid-day weakness. Storage names WDC and STX showed notable strength and closing demand.
  • Cybersecurity/software bid: ZS and CRWD stair-stepped higher into the close with controlled pullbacks and steady buying.
  • AI/datacenter infra: VRT accelerated on a strong 14:30 bar and held gains—relative strength standout.
  • Managed care/health insurers climbed: UNH and ELV advanced steadily; defensives bid alongside growth—a constructive breadth tell. AMGN firm; REGN faded.
  • Industrials/engineering contractors (PWR, FIX, EME, PRIM, AGX) generally trended up intraday—steady demand, not chasey.
  • Mixed small/micro-cap action: selective strength (AMPX, ACMR) while others faded (RCAT), highlighting a quality-over-beta tape.

Notable patterns

  • Leadership within semis broadened beyond the megacaps: KLAC/AMAT/AEIS/ACMR outperformed even with TSM softer. Storage (STX, WDC) showed continuation behavior.
  • Late-day push and hold: VRT, KLAC, STX, AVAV, ULTA, TSLA all pressed or closed near session highs—often a good 1–3 day momentum tell when the market backdrop (QQQ) is supportive.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Likely to trade higher: VRT, KLAC, AMAT, STX, WDC, ZS, CRWD, AEIS, AVAV, TSLA
Strongest bullish signals (relative strength + closing behavior + volume): VRT, KLAC, STX, AMAT

Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plans
(Using today’s session as the most recent “daily” candle for near supply/demand; ATR references approximated from today’s intraday range.)

VRT

  • Support: 161.17, 160.15, 158.80
  • Resistance: 161.56, 162.23, 163.00
  • Next 2–3 days: Prefer early dip-and-hold above 160.1–160.5, then a push through 162.2 opens 163.0–163.5. If momentum persists, 165 is feasible on a 1x recent range extension.
  • Entries: 160.2–160.6; add on 162.3 reclaim.
  • Stop: 159.8 (tight) or 158.7 (swing).
  • Targets: 162.2, 163.3, 165.0
finviz dynamic chart for  VRT

KLAC

  • Support: 1128.21, 1124.46, 1116.02
  • Resistance: 1130.45, 1130.92, 1135.00
  • Next 2–3 days: Bullish continuation favored above 1124–1128. Break/hold over 1131 unlocks 1135 then 1140–1142 on a 0.5–1.0x range follow-through.
  • Entries: 1125–1128 pullback; add on 1131 break/hold.
  • Stop: 1119.8 (below afternoon base) or 1115.8 (conservative).
  • Targets: 1131, 1135, 1140–1142
finviz dynamic chart for  KLAC

AMAT

  • Support: 215.29, 215.22, 213.67
  • Resistance: 215.86, 216.14, 217.00
  • Next 2–3 days: Steady buyer. Hold above 215.2–215.3; clear 216.1 to extend toward 217.0–218.0 (≈1x today’s range).
  • Entries: 215.3–215.6; add on 216.2 breakout.
  • Stop: 214.9 (tight) or 213.9 (below session demand).
  • Targets: 216.1, 217.0, 218.0
finviz dynamic chart for  AMAT

STX

  • Support: 253.26, 251.95, 249.74
  • Resistance: 255.50, 255.70, 257.00
  • Next 2–3 days: Momentum continuation if 253–254 holds. Over 255.7 sets 257–259 potential on a 0.5–1x range push.
  • Entries: 252.8–253.6 on dip; add through 255.7.
  • Stop: 251.4 (tight) or 249.6 (below session low).
  • Targets: 255.7, 257.0, 258.5–259.0
finviz dynamic chart for  STX

WDC

  • Support: 129.16, 128.11, 127.51
  • Resistance: 129.94, 130.50, 132.00
  • Next 2–3 days: Constructive reclaim day. Hold 128.5–129.1; break 129.9–130 opens 130.5 then 132 on continuation.
  • Entries: 128.5–129.1; add on 130.0 break.
  • Stop: 127.4–127.6.
  • Targets: 130.0, 130.5, 132.0
finviz dynamic chart for  WDC

ZS

  • Support: 302.50, 301.51, 300.38
  • Resistance: 303.33, 303.80, 305.00
  • Next 2–3 days: Grind higher setup. Above 302.5, a push through 303.8 can target 305–306.5 (≈0.5–1x range).
  • Entries: 301.8–302.3; add on 303.8 break.
  • Stop: 300.2.
  • Targets: 303.8, 305.0, 306.5
finviz dynamic chart for  ZS

CRWD

  • Support: 495.02, 493.93, 491.10
  • Resistance: 495.67, 498.00, 500.00
  • Next 2–3 days: Tight coil under highs. Over 495.7 targets 498 then 500–502 on momentum follow-through.
  • Entries: 493.7–494.5; add on 495.7 break.
  • Stop: 491.4 (tight) or 490.0 (swing).
  • Targets: 498.0, 500.0, 502.0
finviz dynamic chart for  CRWD

AEIS

  • Support: 174.50, 173.22, 171.72
  • Resistance: 175.07, 176.00, 177.50
  • Next 2–3 days: Trend day closed at highs. Hold 173.5–174.5, then 175.1 → 176 → 177.5. Good risk/reward on dips to first support.
  • Entries: 173.6–174.3; add on 175.1 break.
  • Stop: 172.6.
  • Targets: 175.1, 176.0, 177.5
finviz dynamic chart for  AEIS

AVAV

  • Support: 339.64, 338.21, 336.89
  • Resistance: 342.03, 343.50, 345.00
  • Next 2–3 days: Late-day high close favors continuation. Hold 339–340; through 342 → 343.5–345 with 0.5–1x range potential.
  • Entries: 339.5–340.2; add on 342.1 break.
  • Stop: 337.4.
  • Targets: 342.0, 343.5, 345.0
finviz dynamic chart for  AVAV

TSLA

  • Support: 459.49, 458.11, 456.87
  • Resistance: 461.29, 463.00, 465.00
  • Next 2–3 days: Stair-step higher. Hold above 459.5–460; over 461.3 unlocks 463 then 465 on a 0.5–1x range extension.
  • Entries: 459.6–460.2; add on 461.4 break.
  • Stop: 457.9 (tight) or 456.6 (swing).
  • Targets: 461.3, 463.0, 465.0
finviz dynamic chart for  TSLA

Quick notes on other groups for context (not primary trade ideas)

  • Semi equipment: LRCX constructive late-session; watch continuation above 141.36 (resistance) with support 140.17/139.55.
  • Managed care: UNH, ELV both advancing orderly; could continue if market tone stays supportive.
  • Biopharma: AMGN steady bid; REGN heavy—prefer strength over weakness for short-term momentum.

Risk management

  • These are 1–3 day momentum swings. Use staggered entries, scale at targets, and keep stops near the noted demand zones. If QQQ loses intraday trend, fade/invalidations can trigger faster—honor stops.
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