Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-12-24 10:00 to 14:00. Liquidity was holiday-thin, so prints can be noisy and moves accentuated.
– Note on scope: You asked for 30-day and 10-day context; the dataset provided is intraday for Dec 24. Conclusions below emphasize 30-minute price/volume behavior and common multi-day continuation patterns; confirm longer-term zones on your daily charts.
Sector/industry takeaways from the basket:
– Financials/Capital Markets (GS, TRV): Bid held up. GS grinded higher on steady volume and closed near the top of its intraday range—constructive for follow-through. TRV stayed range-bound but defended support.
– Technology/Semis & Enterprise (LITE, VRT, INTU, META): Mixed. LITE led with a persistent push to session highs on rising volume—strongest tech momentum signal. VRT attempted a 167.5 push but faded to flat. INTU/META chopped in tight ranges—consolidation tone.
– Industrials (URI, GWW, IT, SPXC): Tilted soft to neutral with slips into the afternoon (URI, IT) while GWW/SPXC held tight ranges—no decisive momentum.
– Consumer Discretionary/Retail & Autos (ANF, LOVE, LAD, GPI, TKO): Mixed. ANF faded and closed weak. LOVE tested 15 and pulled back—still constructive if 14.85 holds. Auto dealers (LAD, GPI) slipped intraday—distribution tone. TKO steadily advanced and closed strong—bullish bias.
– Consumer Defensive/Personal Products & Health (HLF, JNJ, UNH): HLF showed clear accumulation (large mid-day volume expansion with higher highs), while JNJ/UNH were muted to slightly heavy—rotation preference toward high-beta defensive (HLF) rather than mega-cap healthcare.
– Materials/Gold (FNV): Outperformed; clean push to new intraday highs late, suggesting risk-on bid for gold royalty exposure.
– Real Estate/Industrial REIT (COLD): One of the clearest intraday uptrends with rising volume into highs—a textbook momentum setup into year-end.
Notable trends/patterns
– Rotation into select momentum pockets: semis (LITE), gold royalty (FNV), specialty consumer (HLF), and logistics REIT (COLD).
– Large-cap growth (META, INTU) consolidating—potential fuel if they resolve up, but no trigger today.
– Auto retail (LAD, GPI) and some industrials (URI, IT) showed mild distribution—avoid long momentum until they reclaim intraday VWAPs on volume.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to push higher:
– COLD, LITE, FNV, HLF, GS
Strongest bullish signals today:
– LITE (persistent bid to HOD with volume expansion)
– COLD (steady higher highs/higher lows with rising volume)
– FNV (late-day breakout continuation)
– HLF (accumulation spike through 14.20s)
– GS (orderly grind, closes near top of range)
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Targets include nearby resistance-based levels and an ATR-style “stretch” where applicable. Confirm your platform’s daily ATR; if ATR is larger/smaller than assumed from today’s range, scale targets accordingly.
1) COLD (Americold Realty Trust)
Thesis: Clean intraday uptrend with volume increasing into highs; looks set for continuation if 12.46–12.50 holds.
– Key support (daily/intraday zones):
– 12.50 (round/vwap-adj zone from 12:00–12:30)
– 12.46–12.47 (12:30 pullback low cluster)
– 12.33 (session swing low)
– Key resistance:
– 12.58 (HOD)
– 12.65–12.70 (near-term supply/round)
– 12.90 (stretch toward an ATR-style extension)
– 2–3 day price action outlook (30-min basis): Favor a shallow pullback open toward 12.50–12.52, then a push through 12.58 HOD; extension path 12.65 → 12.72/12.75; if momentum persists, 12.90 is achievable within 1–3 days.
– Swing targets (1–3 days):
– TP1: 12.65
– TP2: 12.75
– Stretch: 12.90
– Entry/stop:
– Entry: 12.50–12.52 on pullback; add on 12.59–12.60 HOD break.
– Stop: 12.44 (below 12.46 shelf). If weak tape, hard stop 12.31 (beneath session low).
2) LITE (Lumentum)
Thesis: Strongest tech leader in this set—methodical grind higher to 396.3 HOD with rising volume; looks like a breakout continuation candidate.
– Key support:
– 394.2–394.5 (demand from multiple tests)
– 393.15 (11:30 low)
– 392.70 (session low)
– Key resistance:
– 396.30 (HOD)
– 398.00 (psych level/near-term supply)
– 402.00 (ATR-style extension toward prior round number magnet)
– 2–3 day price action outlook: Expect early retest of 394.5–395 that holds and a break of 396.3. Momentum path 398 → 400–402 if semis stay bid.
– Swing targets:
– TP1: 398.0
– TP2: 400.0–400.5
– Stretch: 402–404
– Entry/stop:
– Entry: 394.6–395.2 pullback; or 396.35–396.60 breakout trigger.
– Stop: 392.4 (below session low buffer). Tighter alternative: 393.0 if entering on breakout and tape is strong.
3) FNV (Franco-Nevada)
Thesis: Late-session breakout with closes near highs; gold complex often carries multi-day momentum on such pushes.
– Key support:
– 215.00–215.20 (breakout retest zone)
– 214.29–214.34 (mid-session demand)
– 214.03 (intraday base low)
– Key resistance:
– 216.00 (round pivot)
– 216.8–217.0 (next supply band)
– 218.9–219.5 (ATR-style extension/swing magnet)
– 2–3 day price action outlook: Favor a back-test into 215.0–215.2 followed by continuation to 216–216.8; if gold stays firm, 218–219 print within 1–3 days.
– Swing targets:
– TP1: 216.0
– TP2: 216.8–217.0
– Stretch: 218.9–219.5
– Entry/stop:
– Entry: 215.05–215.25 on dip; add on 216.05 reclaim after brief rejection.
– Stop: 214.20 (beneath mid-day demand). Conservative: 213.95 under base.
4) HLF (Herbalife)
Thesis: Clear accumulation day—large volume thrust 13.90 → 14.31, holding most gains. Room above 14.31 toward half-dollar and 15s if momentum persists.
– Key support:
– 14.02–14.10 (mid-day pivot)
– 13.90 (session low/defend line)
– 13.75 (nearby daily-demand proxy/round buffer)
– Key resistance:
– 14.31 (HOD)
– 14.50 (half-dollar supply)
– 14.85–15.00 (major round-number zone)
– 2–3 day price action outlook: Look for a shallow dip to 14.05–14.15 then a break of 14.31; momentum path 14.50 → 14.85; a squeeze can test 15.00 early next week.
– Swing targets:
– TP1: 14.50
– TP2: 14.85
– Stretch: 15.00–15.40 (if tape squeezes)
– Entry/stop:
– Entry: 14.05–14.15 pullback; add on 14.32 breakout confirmation.
– Stop: 13.86 (below session low buffer). If aggressive, trail under 14.02 after breakout holds.
5) GS (Goldman Sachs)
Thesis: Orderly grind higher with closes near the top of the range; often leads to incremental higher highs over the next few sessions in quiet markets.
– Key support:
– 909.2–909.6 (mid-day pivot)
– 908.65 (12:00 low)
– 907.90 (session swing low)
– Key resistance:
– 911.88 (HOD)
– 913.0–914.0 (minor supply band)
– 919.0–920.0 (next swing magnet if momentum persists)
– 2–3 day price action outlook: Expect a tight open, 909–910 defense, then a push through 911.9; grind to 913–914; if financials remain firm, 919 test within 1–3 days.
– Swing targets:
– TP1: 913.0
– TP2: 914.5–915.0
– Stretch: 919.0–920.0
– Entry/stop:
– Entry: 909.2–910.0 pullback; or 912.0 breakout-through HOD with volume.
– Stop: 907.6 (beneath session low). Tighter alternative: 908.4 if entering on breakout and volume confirms.
Secondary watch (bullish but not primary picks)
– TKO: Steady advance to 217.86; watch 217.1–217.3 hold for 219–221 continuation.
– LOVE: Needs reclaim of 15.03–15.05; above that, 15.30–15.60 opens up. Below 14.85, momentum thesis pauses.
Risk notes
– Holiday-thin liquidity can widen spreads and exaggerate wicks—prefer entries on pullbacks into support with confirmation rather than chasing.
– If the tape opens risk-off, use the first 30–60 minutes to gauge VWAP holds; invalidate longs that lose and fail to reclaim the first support listed.