Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-11-12 from 11:30 to 14:00 (with a few earlier prints at 10:30 and 11/11 for ANL). Note: Your file doesn’t include 30 days of history; the commentary and levels lean on the latest 30–minute action, intraday structure, obvious round-number pivots, and typical ATR behavior.
- Precious metals/miners leading: Levered miner ETFs and individual names advanced in a steady higher-highs, higher-lows sequence with broad participation.
- NUGT, GDXU, JNUG stair-stepped intraday; RGLD pushed through 194 with increasing prints; NGD marched to 7.73 HOD on heavy volume. This cluster strength suggests follow-through potential if gold holds gains.
- Hotels/lodging mixed-to-firm but mostly range-bound:
- HLT firmed into 276.6; MAR coiled tightly ~293.3–293.9; H faded slightly intraday. Net read: constructive but not impulsive.
- Industrials/machinery mixed:
- CAT reclaimed 577.9 into the bell; URI churned ~862–865; TDG bled lower into 1304–1308; HEI slipped to 328s; WCC tested 267 then faded. Cautious, selective strength (CAT) against broader chop.
- Materials a tad better:
- ALB popped to 109.6 then held 109s; NUE pushed to 150.06 then settled 149.8; DD hovered/slightly soft near 40.8. Rotation hints at selective bids into metals/chemicals.
- Healthcare mixed/slightly heavy:
- HCA faded after a 479 test; UHS range; IDXX drifted; HAE edged lower; IRTC flat; KRYS tight. No broad momentum as a group.
- Financials largely flat:
- MKL/FCNCA tight ranges; AFG edged down. No leadership here.
- Energy/royalties standout:
- TPL broke to new session highs (~1008) with expanding range—clear RS within energy/land royalties.
- Media/telecom and niche tech:
- SBGI trended higher to 16.71; SPHR advanced to 81.47 then flagged; AXTI (semiconductor materials) showed clean momentum through 11.3/11.4 before a controlled pullback; VRSN/TDY/CACI/CME overall tight.
Noticeable patterns
– Momentum breadth in precious metals (NUGT/GDXU/JNUG, RGLD, NGD) with volume confirming is the clearest theme.
– Select breakout/RS candidates outside metals: TPL and AXTI; SPHR and SBGI show constructive intraday flags.
– Many large caps remain in mean-reversion ranges; leadership is narrower and favors commodities/metals and select idiosyncratic stories.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely to go up (bullish bias if market/sector conditions hold):
– RGLD: Strong trend continuation day; pushing through 194 with momentum; metals basket tailwind.
– NGD: Persistent bid with heavy volume; clean intraday higher lows; cheap beta to gold.
– NUGT: Levered exposure to miners; higher-highs sequence intraday; potential follow-through if gold holds.
– AXTI: Momentum push through 11s with controlled bull flag pullback; semis/materials tailwind.
– TPL: Breakout expansion, RS extreme; pullbacks likely bought while above ~990s.
– SPHR: Trend up to 81.5, light flag; discretionary/entertainment relative strength.
– SBGI: Steady intraday accumulation to 16.71; room to test round 17s.
Stocks showing strongest bullish signals: RGLD, NUGT, TPL, AXTI
Individual Stock Analysis
RGLD (Royal Gold)
– Key daily support zones:
– 193.00 (intraday pivot/round number)
– 192.50 (pullback shelf)
– 191.80 (deeper demand zone)
– Key daily resistance zones:
– 194.40–194.42 (session high/supply)
– 195.00 (psych level)
– 196.50 (next likely supply from range extension)
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Expect a bull flag above ~193.2; a hold over 193 favors a push 194.4 → 195 → 196.5. Losing 192.5 risks a retest toward 191.8 before buyers step back.
– Price targets (1–3 day swing; est ATR ~4–5):
– PT1: 195.00
– PT2: 196.50
– Stretch: 198.50
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 193.20–193.40 with strength reclaim
– Secondary: 192.60–192.80 if tested and absorbed
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 191.90
– Conservative (wider ATR): 191.40
NGD (New Gold)
– Key daily support:
– 7.62–7.65 (intraday shelf)
– 7.60 (round)
– 7.50 (deeper demand/round)
– Key daily resistance:
– 7.73 (session high)
– 7.85
– 8.00 (major psych)
– 30-minute outlook: Continuation favored while above 7.60. A push over 7.73 likely tags 7.85, with momentum attempts at 8.00. Failure back below 7.60 could base first.
– Price targets (ATR est ~0.25–0.35):
– PT1: 7.85
– PT2: 7.95–8.00
– Stretch: 8.15
– Entries:
– Break-and-hold above 7.73 with volume
– Pullback buy 7.62–7.65 with tight risk
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 7.55
– Conservative: 7.48
NUGT (3x Gold Miners)
– Key daily support:
– 161.00
– 160.00
– 159.00–159.10 (intraday low zone)
– Key daily resistance:
– 162.05 (session high)
– 163.50
– 165.50
– 30-minute outlook: Bullish continuation as long as 160 holds on closing basis. Break over 162.05 targets 163.5 then 165.5; pullbacks likely active buys.
– Price targets (ATR est ~6–8):
– PT1: 163.50
– PT2: 165.50
– Stretch: 168.00
– Entries:
– 160.80–161.20 on a higher low
– Momentum break >162.10 with volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 159.80
– Conservative: 158.90
AXTI
– Key daily support:
– 11.10–11.15 (flag base)
– 10.86–10.90 (VWAP/earlier support zone)
– 10.65 (session base)
– Key daily resistance:
– 11.33–11.40 (intraday supply)
– 11.75
– 12.00
– 30-minute outlook: Bull flag after push to 11.40. Hold above 11.10 sets up 11.40 breakout toward 11.75. Losing 10.86 risks a deeper retrace first.
– Price targets (ATR est ~0.6–0.9):
– PT1: 11.40 (retest/through)
– PT2: 11.75
– Stretch: 12.00–12.10
– Entries:
– 11.10–11.15 on higher-low confirmation
– Break >11.41 with volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 10.98
– Conservative: 10.84
TPL (Texas Pacific Land)
– Key daily support:
– 995.80–996.00 (prior pullback pivot)
– 991.40–992.00
– 982.5–985.0 (deeper demand)
– Key daily resistance:
– 1010–1012 (breakout continuation zone)
– 1025
– 1050
– 30-minute outlook: Breakout/expansion day. Expect early dip-and-rip behavior; holding 995–1000 keeps upside intact. Momentum through 1010 can accelerate.
– Price targets (ATR est ~45–60):
– PT1: 1012
– PT2: 1025
– Stretch: 1050
– Entries:
– 998–1002 on controlled pullback
– Momentum add >1010 on sustained tape
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 989
– Conservative: 982
SPHR
– Key daily support:
– 80.72–80.75 (intraday demand)
– 80.25
– 79.30 (AM base/round)
– Key daily resistance:
– 81.47 (session high)
– 82.00
– 83.00
– 30-minute outlook: Ascending trend with a modest flag late session. Over 81.15–81.20 reopens 81.47 → 82. Below 80.72 risks a test of 80.25 before buyers reassert.
– Price targets (ATR est ~2.0–3.0):
– PT1: 81.50–81.60
– PT2: 82.00–82.20
– Stretch: 83.00
– Entries:
– 80.75–80.85 on higher-low turn
– Break >81.50 on volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 80.40
– Conservative: 80.10
SBGI
– Key daily support:
– 16.59–16.60
– 16.46
– 16.38
– Key daily resistance:
– 16.72–16.75 (session high)
– 17.00
– 17.30
– 30-minute outlook: Persistent grind up; likely tests 16.75 then 17.00 if dips continue to be bought. A close back under 16.46 would cool momentum.
– Price targets (ATR est ~0.5–0.7):
– PT1: 16.75
– PT2: 17.00
– Stretch: 17.30
– Entries:
– 16.52–16.60 on dip
– Break >16.75 with confirmation
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 16.39
– Conservative: 16.28
Important notes
– The uploaded data only spans intraday windows today (and a few earlier prints). Daily zones above reflect obvious intraday supply/demand aligned with round numbers and typical behavior; adjust with your broader daily chart if you have it.
– If gold/miners pull back broadly, fade or tighten stops on RGLD/NGD/NUGT exposed positions.
– For 1–3 day momentum swings, favor entries on intraday higher-lows near noted supports, with quick risk management and scaling at PTs.