Continuation Breakout Wednesday 2PM 10/01/2025

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

• Datetime range analyzed (ET): 2025-10-01 from 12:00 to 14:00 (most tickers); a few include 11:00–11:30 slices. Only this intraday window was provided, so 30-day/10-day context is inferred via sector-relative strength and today’s momentum/volume.

• Market proxy: QQQ edged higher through the window (601.6 → 602.6), supportive backdrop for risk and growth.

• Standout strength: Semiconductors and AI hardware/supply chain were clear leaders.

  • Semi equipment and related: AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, AEIS, ACMR trended up with steady higher highs/higher lows and rising prints late in the session. Storage also bid: WDC, STX advanced.
  • Data center/AI infra: VRT firmed into highs; APLD faded intraday, but VRT carried the group.
  • Large-cap tech: TSLA trended up; AAPL mild bid.
  • Cloud/software: SNOW climbed; PLTR and CRWD were mixed-to-soft, so selection matters.
  • Healthcare: ELV (managed care) pushed higher; AMGN/REGN were flat; small-cap biotech mostly soft-to-mixed (TNYA stable, APLT perked, RLAY/BCAB soggy).
  • Industrials/infrastructure: Mixed-to-weak midday—CAT, CMI, PH, EME softened; PRIM modestly firmer; PWR, FIX/POWL mostly flat to softer. Suggests a rotation out of heavy industrials and into semis/AI hardware.
  • Aerospace/defense-UAV: AVAV choppy, RCAT and DPRO faded; AXON eased—group cooled.
  • Energy: GPOR steady bid.

Noticeable patterns

• Momentum breadth within semis (AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, AEIS, ACMR) and data storage (WDC, STX) was positive into the afternoon with buyers defending pullbacks.
• Software is mixed; SNOW showed accumulation while PLTR/CRWD lagged—money favoring infra/hardware over high-beta SaaS.
• Defensive tilt inside healthcare (ELV) while cyclical industrials lost steam.
• Microcaps with earlier pops (APLT, BSLK, WYFI) largely faded into the afternoon—chasing small caps remains low odds unless they reclaim HOD with volume.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue up:

• AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, AEIS, ACMR (semis/equipment)
• WDC (and to a lesser extent STX)
• VRT (data center)
• SNOW (software outlier strength)
• TSLA (mega-cap momentum)
• Honorable mention: MA, ELV, PRIM for steady bids but with slower ATR profiles

Strongest bullish signals now: LRCX, AMAT, WDC, VRT, SNOW, TSLA

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Key levels derived from today’s 30-min structure plus obvious round-number supply/demand. Plan assumes a buy-the-dip or breakout-continuation mindset typical for 1–3 day momentum swings.

1) LRCX

• Structure: Persistent higher lows; closed near session highs, signaling demand into the bell.
• Support: 139.00–139.10; 138.43; 137.80
• Resistance: 139.91 (HOD); 140.50; 141.00
• Next 2–3 days: Expect shallow dip into 139.0–139.2, then attempt to clear 139.9–140.0. If that holds, momentum can extend into mid-140s on range expansion.
• Entries:

– Pullback: 139.05–139.20
– Breakout add: >140.00 hold for 15–30 min

• Stops: 138.25 (below S2/last defended base). Tighter traders: 138.60.
• Targets (1–3 days):

– T1: 140.50
– T2: 141.00–141.20
– T3: 142.00 on strong tape or semi-strength continuation

2) AMAT

• Structure: Steady grind higher; buyers defended 212s and pushed into 214s late.
• Support: 213.17; 212.40; 212.09
• Resistance: 214.28; 214.55; 215.50
• Next 2–3 days: Favor a dip-and-rip pattern into 213.1–213.4 followed by retest of 214.3–214.6. A firm close above 214.6 opens a glide toward 215.5–216.5.
• Entries:

– Pullback: 213.20–213.40
– Breakout: >214.60 with volume

• Stops: 211.95 (below S3 and intraday demand). Tighter: 212.40 if adding on breakouts only.
• Targets:

– T1: 214.30
– T2: 214.90–215.50
– T3: 216.00–216.50 if semis lead

3) WDC

• Structure: Strong ramp to 129s, minor fade; still net strong with higher lows through midday.
• Support: 128.11; 127.51; 126.81
• Resistance: 129.55 (HOD); 130.00; 131.00
• Next 2–3 days: Watch a dip into 128.2–128.5; if defended, look for a run at 129.5–130. A strong close above 130 could accelerate toward 131–132 on AI/storage sympathy.
• Entries:

– Pullback: 128.20–128.50
– Breakout: >129.60 sustained

• Stops: 127.30 (below S2). For tighter risk: 127.80 if buying near 128.3.
• Targets:

– T1: 129.50
– T2: 130.20
– T3: 131.00–131.50 on continuation

4) VRT

• Structure: Tight up-channel; closed near highs; steady demand characteristic of institutional accumulation.
• Support: 158.80; 158.06; 157.25
• Resistance: 159.41 (HOD); 160.00; 161.00
• Next 2–3 days: Expect a test of 158.8–159.0 early; holding that area likely propels a 160 break. A daily close above 160.0 sets up a drift into 161–162.
• Entries:

– Pullback: 158.80–159.00
– Breakout: >159.50 with rising 30-min volume

• Stops: 157.90 (below S1 cluster). Conservative: 157.20.
• Targets:

– T1: 159.90–160.00
– T2: 160.60
– T3: 161.50–162.00 with sector tailwind

5) SNOW

• Structure: Relative strength vs software peers; stair-stepped higher all afternoon.
• Support: 230.90; 230.25; 229.85
• Resistance: 231.35 (session high zone); 232.00; 233.00
• Next 2–3 days: Favor continuation if 230.9–231.0 holds; clearing 231.35 should invite a push to low-232s, then 233 on momentum.
• Entries:

– Pullback: 230.90–231.05
– Breakout: >231.40 with follow-through

• Stops: 229.75 (below S3/round). Tighter: 230.20 on pullback entries.
• Targets:

– T1: 231.90–232.10
– T2: 232.70–233.00
– T3: 233.80–234.20 if QQQ firm

6) TSLA

• Structure: Consistent intraday bid; higher highs and strong tape into late afternoon.
• Support: 458.10; 456.94; 455.55
• Resistance: 459.38; 460.29; 462.00
• Next 2–3 days: Look for a shallow pullback toward 458.3–458.6; if buyers step in, a 460 break is on deck. Above 460.3, momentum traders likely target 462–464 quickly.
• Entries:

– Pullback: 458.30–458.60
– Breakout: >460.30 with QQQ strength

• Stops: 456.50 (below S2). Aggressive: 457.80 if buying breakouts.
• Targets:

– T1: 459.80–460.00
– T2: 461.20–462.00
– T3: 463.50–464.50 on momentum extension

Risk management and contingencies

• If QQQ loses the 30-min trend (breaks below its most recent higher low ~602.1 then 601.8), trim risk across momentum longs.
• Invalidations: Any name that loses S2 on heavy 30-min volume likely shifts to range or reversal; step aside and wait for a fresh base.
• Position sizing: Consider 1/2 size on pullback, 1/2 on breakout confirmation to balance entry risk.

Bottom line

• The leadership board is semis/equipment (AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, AEIS, ACMR), storage (WDC), and data center infra (VRT), with SNOW and TSLA adding momentum breadth. Industrials look tired; be selective there. Focus on buying dips near support and adding on clean breakouts into fresh highs over the next 1–3 sessions.