Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2025-12-24 10:00 to 13:00)
Note: Only intraday 30-minute bars for 2025-12-24 were provided. No 10–30 day daily history or ATRs were included, so the commentary emphasizes intraday tape/volume behavior and uses today’s realized range as a proxy for short-term movement. “Daily” supply/demand zones below are inferred from obvious round-number and intraday cluster areas.
- Financials showed the best relative strength and steady buying: GS (+trend into 911.9 high with higher lows), MA stable to slightly soft but constructive above 580, TRV tight, JNJ/UNH (Healthcare payers/pharma) steady bids, modestly positive.
- Industrials/heavy equipment mixed-to-weak into midday fade: URI and IT both rolled over on the 12:30 bar with heavier prints; CMI/BCPC drifted lower into the short session’s close.
- Travel/Lodging/Leisure was mixed to soft: BKNG and HLT faded into 12:30; H flat; MMYT slipped; HD flat-to-soft.
- Discretionary retail/autos: ANF strong early then faded on the 12:30 bar; LAD/GPI both eased with heavier 12:30 prints.
- Small/mid-cap momentum pockets emerged: HLF had clear accumulation and held gains; OLPX pushed with a notable 12:30 volume surge; NCEW climbed and closed near highs; TGL volatile; FEIM sold off.
- Broad pattern: many names printed their session weakness on the 12:30 bar (typical midday liquidity air-pocket on a holiday-shortened day), while selective momentum tickers (HLF, OLPX, NCEW, GS, DAVE) held higher lows or closed near highs—often a good tell for next-day follow-through.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Likely upside candidates and why:
– GS: Relative strength in Financials, higher lows, closed near range high; buyers defended every dip.
– DAVE: Trend day higher, multiple higher highs, buyers absorbed pullbacks above 226.6.
– HLF: Clear demand surge and higher close; prints show accumulation from 13.90 to 14.31.
– NCEW: Low-priced momentum with higher highs, close at HOD zone (6.04–6.05).
– OLPX: Volume expansion on 12:30 bar, push into 1.42 with bids holding 1.40.
Stocks showing the strongest bullish signals: GS, HLF, DAVE.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plan; targets use intraday resistance + a fraction of today’s realized range as ATR proxy)
GS
– Support (daily/intraday zones): 909.2; 908.7; 906.1
– Resistance (near-term supply): 911.9 (HOD); 915.0 (psych); 920.0 (psych)
– Next 2–3 day price action: Favor early dip-and-rip above 909–910. A clean 30‑min close >912 opens 915 then 920.
– Price targets (1–3 day): 912.5; 915.0; stretch 920.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 909.4–910.0 if tape firm
– Breakout buy 912.0–912.3 with volume
– Stop-loss: 905.9 (beneath session pivot/low cluster). Active traders can trail under 908.4 post-breakout.
DAVE
– Support: 226.6; 223.3; 221.0
– Resistance: 229.2–230.0; 232.0; 235.0
– Next 2–3 day price action: Look for a flat/open and push into 229–230; sustained >230 flags a second leg toward 232/235.
– Price targets: 229.8–230.0; 232.0; stretch 235.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 226.8–227.5 with reversal candle
– Breakout buy 229.3–230.1 on expanding 30‑min volume
– Stop-loss: 223.1 (below prior pullback low). Tight alternative: 225.7 if buying strength.
HLF
– Support: 14.10; 14.00; 13.90
– Resistance: 14.31 (HOD); 14.50; 14.80
– Next 2–3 day price action: Favor continuation toward 14.30–14.50; consolidation above 14.10 sets up a push to mid-14s.
– Price targets: 14.30; 14.50; stretch 14.80
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 14.05–14.12 with buyers holding the bid
– Add on 14.32+ breakout with volume
– Stop-loss: 13.86 (below demand shelf near 13.90).
NCEW
– Support: 5.90; 5.885; 5.84
– Resistance: 6.05 (HOD); 6.10; 6.25
– Next 2–3 day price action: Momentum continuation favored if price bases above 5.95; reclaim/hold >6.05 could accelerate to 6.15–6.25.
– Price targets: 6.10; 6.25; stretch 6.50
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 5.92–5.96
– Breakout buy 6.06–6.08 on strong tape
– Stop-loss: 5.82 (below session demand). Note: low float/illiquid—size down and respect stops.
OLPX
– Support: 1.40; 1.38; 1.37
– Resistance: 1.43; 1.45; 1.50
– Next 2–3 day price action: A hold above 1.40 sets a test of 1.43–1.45; a decisive 30‑min close above 1.45 targets 1.48–1.50.
– Price targets: 1.45; 1.48; 1.50
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 1.40–1.41 with tight risk
– Breakout buy 1.43–1.44 on volume expansion
– Stop-loss: 1.36–1.37 (below intraday demand at 1.37–1.38).
Notes and risk management
– Many tickers saw heavier prints on the 12:30 bar and thin closing prints at 13:00 due to the shortened session; expect liquidity normalization next session.
– Without 10–30 day data/ATR, targets are anchored to visible intraday supply/demand and a conservative fraction of today’s realized range. Adapt position size and stops to volatility.
– If Financials (GS/MA) lead early, broader risk appetite may improve; if Industrials keep fading (URI/IT), expect rotational, stock-picking tape.