Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window reviewed: 2025-12-03 from 09:30 to 13:00, most names from 11:00–13:00)
– Market context: SPY grinded higher through the midday session (682.4 → 683.9), a steady risk-on tape with higher highs on 30-min bars and constructive breadth.
– Technology/Semiconductors led: strength and clean intraday higher-high/higher-low sequences in SITM (330 → 345), CAMT (113.4 → 115.6), TSM (293.6 → 295.0), SNPS (456 → 459+), PI (heavy but basing), GOOG/GOOGL (persistent bid near HODs). Pattern: semis/AI-compute continuing momentum runs into the afternoon; dips bought quickly.
– Financials bid: GS (827.8 → 833.5 with a spike to 835.6), BLK (1,060.9 → 1,074.3), AXP (365.6 → 369.3), AMP, COF, and FCNCA all pushed up. Pattern: sustained demand on pullbacks; rotation supportive of further follow-through if SPY holds.
– Industrials broadly firm: URI (810 → 815 zone, holding), MTZ (216 → 218.3 breakout), PH (865 → 868), ROK, HUBB steady. Pattern: constructive consolidations resolving higher intraday.
– Homebuilders/building products steady to higher: DHI (163.6 → 164.7), PHM, LEN, TOL, BLDR; some mixed action in BLD/IBP but buyers defended. Pattern: resilient, buy-the-dip character intraday.
– Healthcare mixed-but-better: UNH (335.2 → 338.2), HUM (250.4 → 254.9 then a controlled pullback), ICLR/IQV/WST/RVTY edging up. Pattern: managed care/medtech catching bids with measured momentum.
– Discretionary/momentum: CVNA trended to 400+, TSLA ground higher to 441.8, DPZ/MAR modest. Pattern: high-beta leaders still attracting flows; shallow pullbacks.
– Materials: AA, NUE, STLD firm; CRH pushed into 121s. Pattern: slow grind higher, not blow-off.
Noticeable intraday trends/patterns (30-min):
– Persistent higher highs in semis (SITM, CAMT, TSM) with volume building on pushes.
– Financials breaking/holding intraday highs (GS, BLK, AXP); shallow retracements.
– High short-interest/hi-beta (CVNA) trending with strong closes near highs.
– SPY’s steady bid provided a supportive backdrop for continuation setups rather than reversal trades.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely to go up (bullish continuation candidates):
– SITM, CAMT, CVNA, TSLA, GS, DHI
Also constructive: TSM, SNPS, GOOG/GOOGL, KEYS, MTZ, UNH
Strongest bullish signals today:
– SITM: multi-hour trend with expanding range, closing near HOD.
– CAMT: breakout through 115 with controlled flags.
– CVNA: higher-highs/higher-lows to 400+ with volume confirmation.
Individual Stock Analysis (setups based on 30-min price action; key S/R from today’s structure plus obvious round-number zones; ATRs approximate)
SITM
– Setup: Trend day up (330 → 345) with rising highs; buyers controlled every dip.
– Support: 341.5–342.5 (VWAP/last push base), 337.4, 334.3
– Resistance (supply): 345.2 (HOD), 348.0, 350–352 zone
– 2–3 day plan/targets (ATR ~15): If 341.5–342.5 holds, look for 348.0 → 352.0 → 358–360 extension.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 341.5–342.5
– Add on reclaim/hold above 345.2
– Stop-loss: 336.9 (below 337 base) or tighter 340.4 if using smaller risk.
–
CAMT
– Setup: Stair-step advance; breakout over 115 with controlled pullbacks.
– Support: 114.9–115.3, 114.0, 113.4
– Resistance: 116.0, 118.0, 120.0
– 2–3 day plan/targets (ATR ~4): Hold 115 → push 116.0 → 118.0; stretch 119.5–120.5 if semis remain strong.
– Entries:
– Buy 114.9–115.3 on dips
– Breakout add over 116.0 with volume
– Stop-loss: 113.9 (beneath 114) or 114.4 for tighter risk.
–
CVNA
– Setup: Trend continuation to 400+ with strong intraday demand.
– Support: 396.5–397.4, 394.6, 392.0
– Resistance: 400.8 (intraday top), 405.0, 412.0
– 2–3 day plan/targets (ATR ~22): Dips that hold 396–397 can target 405 → 412; stretch 420–422 on momentum.
– Entries:
– Buy 396.5–397.5 pullback into prior breakout base
– Momentum add on clean break/hold above 400.8
– Stop-loss: 391.9 (below 392 pivot) or tighter 395.4 if scaling quickly.
–
TSLA
– Setup: Steady bid; higher lows; grinding near session highs.
– Support: 441.0, 439.5, 437.8
– Resistance: 442.4, 445.0, 448.0–450.0
– 2–3 day plan/targets (ATR ~12): Hold 441 → 442.4 break → 445 first target; extension 448–450 if market stays risk-on.
– Entries:
– Buy 441–441.2 on dips
– Add on 442.4 break-and-hold
– Stop-loss: 437.4 (below morning higher low) or tighter 439.0 if using quicker timeframe.
–
GS
– Setup: Financials strength; GS pushed to 835.6, held gains with shallow pullbacks.
– Support: 831.0–832.0, 826.9, 824.0
– Resistance: 835.6, 840.0, 845.0
– 2–3 day plan/targets (ATR ~15): Above 831 hold → test 835.6 → 840; extension 845–848 on continued sector bid.
– Entries:
– Buy 831–832 retests
– Add through 835.6 with volume
– Stop-loss: 823.5 (below 824 shelf) or 829.4 for tighter risk.
–
DHI
– Setup: Constructive intraday uptrend; housing complex broadly firm.
– Support: 164.25, 163.62, 162.99
– Resistance: 164.97, 165.7, 167.0
– 2–3 day plan/targets (ATR ~2.5): Hold above 164.2 → 165.0–165.7 → 166.8–167.3.
– Entries:
– Buy 164.1–164.3 pullback
– Add on break/hold above 165.0
– Stop-loss: 162.8 (below intraday base); tighter 163.4 if keeping risk small.
–
Notes and risk management
– The intraday read supports continuation trades; if SPY fails to hold 683–684 and rolls, expect pullback first into supports listed.
– Position sizing should reflect volatility (CVNA/TSLA > CAMT/DHI).
– Use closing strength and overnight gaps to manage partials near first targets; roll stops to breakeven after first scale-out.