Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-11-19, 09:30–12:00. Note: only the morning 30-minute bars for this date were provided, so the commentary emphasizes intraday momentum and relative strength today rather than a full 30-day/10-day study.
- Market tone (proxies: IVV, IWF, VUG): Growth and the broad market faded through the morning (lower highs/lows in IVV, IWF, VUG). This risk-off drift pressured semis and many techs.
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Sector/industry read-through from the tickers provided:
- Semis/Chip equipment weak: LITE, MTSI, MKSI, ADI, NVMI all faded after the open and made lower highs; sellers active into bounces.
- Software/Application strong: FROG stair-stepped higher all morning on expanding volume.
- Healthcare/Medtech pockets of strength: LLY grinded up; TCMD, NPCE pushed higher; ESTA bid with higher highs; ISRG flat-to-soft but orderly.
- Defense/IT services constructive: PSN advanced with higher highs and strong closes on each 30-min bar.
- Beverages/Mid-cap consumer mixed: COKE trended up; ZVIA range-bound.
- Miners/metals weak: JNUG and GAU trended down; risk appetite light for gold/miners.
- Small/mid-cap momentum: CRCD and CONI posted strong morning trend days with range expansion and good volume.
- Notable patterns:
- Rotation out of semis/growth indices into select healthcare, software, and specific momentum single-names (FROG, CONI, CRCD, ESTA, PSN, COKE).
- Strong names held morning gains and closed 30-min bars near their highs; weak groups consistently made lower highs and lost prior support on backtests.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside continuation candidates:
– FROG, CONI, ESTA, CRCD, PSN, LLY
Secondary bullish watch (thinner/liquidity-sensitive): NPCE, TCMD, COKE
Strongest bullish signals today:
– FROG: persistent higher highs/lows, increasing volume, breakout above 60.
– CONI: trend day from 56s to 61s with shallow pullbacks.
– CRCD: strong range expansion from 52.5 to 57.0, consolidating near highs.
– ESTA: steady grind higher with repeated pushes into 67s.
– PSN: clean trend with rising closes; buyers absorbing dips.
– LLY: large-cap leader holding green while indices faded (relative strength).
Individual Stock Analysis
Method note: With only intraday data available, key levels reflect obvious intraday supply/demand (prior session/morning swing highs/lows and round-number pivots). 1–3 day targets use the morning’s range as a proxy for near-term ATR.
1) FROG
– Key support: 60.05–60.10; 59.50; 58.60–58.70
– Key resistance: 60.52 (HOD); 61.00; 61.80–62.00
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Momentum continuation favored while above ~59.50. Expect a retest of 60.5–61.0; sustained closes above 61 open 61.8–62.5.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 61.00, 61.80, 62.50 (range proxy ~2.5)
– Entry ideas: Pullback to 60.10–60.30 or a breakout/hold above 60.60.
– Stop-loss: 59.40 (below 59.50 support) or tighter 59.75 if trading breakout risk-tight.
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2) CONI
– Key support: 61.00–61.10; 60.41; 58.10–58.20 (morning base)
– Key resistance: 61.75 (HOD); 62.50; 64.00
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Trend day structure; shallow pullbacks likely. Holding 60.4–61.0 should produce higher highs toward 62.5–64.0.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 62.50, 64.00, 65.50 (range proxy ~5.4)
– Entry ideas: Buy pullbacks 61.10–61.30; add/flip on breakout through 61.80 with strong tape.
– Stop-loss: 60.20 (beneath 60.41) or swing stop 59.80 below the morning demand.
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3) ESTA
– Key support: 66.50–66.55; 66.00; 65.20–65.30
– Key resistance: 67.25–67.40; 68.00; 68.50–69.00
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Constructive grind. Above 66.5 keeps buyers in control; push through 67.4 likely targets 68.0 then 68.5–69.0.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 67.40, 68.50, 69.50 (range proxy ~2.3)
– Entry ideas: Pullback to 66.60–66.80; or momentum add above 67.40 with volume.
– Stop-loss: 65.95 (below round-number pivot) or swing stop 65.15 under the morning base.
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4) CRCD
– Key support: 56.00–56.20; 55.60–55.65; 54.50–54.75
– Key resistance: 56.69; 57.03 (intraday peak); 58.00
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Range expansion + consolidation near highs favors continuation if 56 holds. Break/hold over 57.03 opens 58+.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 57.00, 58.00, 59.50–60.00 (range proxy ~4.5)
– Entry ideas: Accumulate 56.10–56.30 risk-defined; add through 57.05 with tape confirmation.
– Stop-loss: 55.45 (below mid-morning higher low) or conservative 54.90.
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5) PSN
– Key support: 84.05–84.10; 83.90–83.95; 83.30–83.35
– Key resistance: 84.62 (HOD); 85.00; 85.50
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Clean trend; expect a test of 85. If indices stabilize, extension toward 85.5 is feasible.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 85.00, 85.50, 86.20 (range proxy ~1.7)
– Entry ideas: Buy 84.10–84.30 on shallow dips; breakout add over 84.65–84.70 if volume expands.
– Stop-loss: 83.70 (below intraday demand); swing stop 83.25 under the morning pivot.
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6) LLY
– Key support: 1050–1051; 1048–1049; 1045
– Key resistance: 1052.25 (HOD); 1055; 1060–1062
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Relative strength vs indices; constructive above 1048. A push through 1052–1055 likely despite softer growth ETFs.
– 1–3 day swing targets: 1055, 1062, 1070 (range proxy ~15)
– Entry ideas: Pullback entries 1049–1051; add on break/hold above 1052.5.
– Stop-loss: 1044.8–1045.2 zone (below morning higher low).
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Secondary Bullish Watch (liquidity-dependent, quicker moves)
– NPCE: Supports 13.46 / 13.31 / 13.00; Resistances 13.93–13.98 / 14.00 / 14.40. Idea: buy 13.55–13.70, stop 13.28, targets 14.00 / 14.40.
– TCMD: Supports 23.52 / 23.21 / 23.00; Resistances 23.84–23.92 / 24.00 / 24.40. Idea: buy 23.60–23.70, stop 23.28, targets 24.00 / 24.40.
– COKE: Supports 163.21 / 163.80–163.85 / 162.40; Resistances 164.91 / 165.00 / 166.00. Idea: buy 163.80–164.00, stop 163.10, targets 165.00 / 166.00.
Risk notes
– Many broad-market/growth proxies were soft this morning; if that continues, favor quick profit-taking at first targets and keep tighter stops.
– Several leaders (CONI, CRCD) showed large morning ranges; be mindful of mean-reversion risk if they fail to hold first support on any midday/next-day pullback.