Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2025-11-05 10:00 to 12:00)
– Note on data coverage: You provided intraday 30-minute bars for today only, not a full 10–30 day history. I’m emphasizing today’s momentum/volume patterns as a proxy for near-term swing potential; please share additional daily history if you want a true 10–30 day read.
- Broad market (SPY): Steady grind higher through the morning, printing successive higher highs and higher lows with volume decaying after the open—typical risk-on drift. This backdrop favors momentum continuation setups.
- Aerospace & Defense (TDG, WWD): TDG showed clean range expansion toward 1300 with higher lows; WWD was more two-way and lighter. Net read: sector leadership skewed to high-quality A&D (TDG).
- Industrials/Electrical/Distribution (HUBB, FERG, RBC): HUBB firmed into the highs; FERG flipped early weakness into a strong push to new intraday highs; RBC stabilized and reclaimed morning weakness. Tone is constructive.
- Materials/Construction (MLM): Persistent intraday sell pressure from the open—relative weakness within Cyclical/Materials today.
- Technology/EMS & Components (FN): Strong recovery off the morning washout to fresh session highs—relative strength signal.
- Solar (FSLR): Trend up, controlled pullbacks, held gains—still a leader on continuation watch.
- Healthcare/Biotech (MTD, ARGX, UTHR, ENTX): Mixed. MTD reclaimed a chunk of the opening fade; ARGX/UTHR chopped in tight ranges; ENTX/OMSE illiquid and flat—avoid for momentum swings unless volume comes in.
- Financials (FCNCA): Ordered advance with a midday push—constructive but very high nominal price/ATR suits smaller sizing.
- Consumer Cyclical/Manufactured Housing (CVCO): Volatile first hour, then coiled—could be setting up but needs a clear break.
Noticeable intraday patterns:
– Relative Strength: TDG, FSLR, FN, HUBB, FERG outperformed SPY’s steady uptrend by making or pressing near HODs into midday.
– Relative Weakness: MLM trended down all morning; ARGX/UTHR ranged without commitment; microcaps (ENTX, OMSE, TC) lacked momentum/liquidity.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside continuation candidates, ranked by quality of intraday trend/structure and liquidity:
– TDG, FSLR, FN, HUBB, FERG, LLYX
Also on watch (needs confirmation): FCNCA, RBC, CVCO
Avoid for now (low liquidity/weak tape): MLM, ENTX, OMSE, TC, WWD
Individual Stock Analysis (targets use nearby resistance and a conservative proxy of today’s intraday range; entries focus on pullback-to-support retests)
TDG
– Bias: Bullish continuation if 1290–1294 holds.
– Key supports: 1293.7, 1286.5, 1282.5
– Key resistances: 1299.3, 1305.0, 1312.0
– Price action outlook (2–3 days): Expect a retest of 1299–1300; break-and-hold over 1300 opens 1305–1312. Failure to hold 1286.5 likely forces a reset to 1282s before another attempt.
– Swing targets: T1 1299–1300, T2 1305–1307, T3 1311–1313
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 1293–1294 (prior 30-min support)
– Secondary add 1287–1288 if deeper flush holds
– Stops:
– Aggressive: below 1286.0
– Conservative: below 1282.0
–
FSLR
– Bias: Bullish; steady bid with higher lows.
– Key supports: 276.1, 275.5, 274.8
– Key resistances: 279.6, 280.5, 282.0
– Price action outlook (2–3 days): Push into 279.6–280.5, then either a flag under 280 or a continuation into low 282s if SPY stays firm. Loss of 275.5 likely delays the move.
– Swing targets: T1 279.6, T2 281.5, T3 283.0–283.5
– Entry ideas:
– Buy-the-dip 276.5–277.2
– Break/retest entry above 279.6 if it flags and reclaims
– Stops:
– Aggressive: 275.4
– Conservative: 274.6
–
FN
– Bias: Bullish; reclaimed opening drop and pressed to HODs.
– Key supports: 479.4, 476.5, 466.9
– Key resistances: 482.8, 485.0, 490.0
– Price action outlook (2–3 days): Expect a 482.8 test; clean through likely tags 485; sustained strength could extend toward 490. Losing 476.5 jeopardizes the setup and risks a reversion into the low 470s.
– Swing targets: T1 482.8, T2 486, T3 489–490
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 479.8–480.5 on pullback that holds 479.4
– Add on 482.9 break/retest if volume confirms
– Stops:
– Aggressive: 476.0
– Conservative: 474.5 (below 476.5 pivot buffer)
–
HUBB
– Bias: Bullish; firm into midday highs.
– Key supports: 468.2, 465.8–466.0, 463.1
– Key resistances: 470.7, 472.5, 475.0
– Price action outlook (2–3 days): Look for a 470.7 break and drift into 472.5; strong tape could press 474–475. A close back below 466 likely forces a range re-test.
– Swing targets: T1 471, T2 473.5, T3 475–476
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 468.5–469.5
– Momentum add on a 470.7 break/retest
– Stops:
– Aggressive: 466.0
– Conservative: 465.0
–
FERG
– Bias: Bullish; reversal from morning weakness to HOD push.
– Key supports: 247.4, 245.0, 243.7
– Key resistances: 248.2, 249.5, 251.5–252.0
– Price action outlook (2–3 days): Expect a grind through 248.2; if sustained, room into the 249s/251s. Loss of 245 would weaken the immediate momentum and likely re-test 244–243.7.
– Swing targets: T1 248.2, T2 249.7–250.0, T3 251.5–252.0
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 247.6–247.9 on pullback hold
– Add on a clean 248.2 break/retest
– Stops:
– Aggressive: 246.8
– Conservative: 244.8
–
LLYX
– Bias: Bullish; stair-step higher with persistent volume through the morning.
– Key supports: 21.02, 20.69, 20.41
– Key resistances: 21.14, 21.50, 21.75–22.00
– Price action outlook (2–3 days): A decisive close over 21.14 favors a push into 21.50 and potentially 21.75–22.00. Losing 20.69 would likely trigger a deeper backfill toward 20.40s.
– Swing targets: T1 21.14–21.20, T2 21.50, T3 21.90–22.20
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 20.85–21.00 retest with strength
– Momentum add on 21.14 break/retest
– Stops:
– Aggressive: 20.60
– Conservative: 20.38
–
Secondary watch
– FCNCA: Constructive uptrend but very high nominal price; use smaller size; same continuation logic above midday highs.
– RBC: Stabilized; needs push through 433.8 for momentum.
– CVCO: Coiling; watch 574–576 breakout with volume.
Risk notes
– Lacking 10–30 day daily context, I anchored levels to today’s intraday pivots and round-number “nearby” supply/demand. Validate against your daily chart before sizing up.
– If SPY loses its intraday trend and closes weak, prioritize defense and use your conservative stops.