Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2025-10-22, 09:30–12:00 ET)
Note: The dataset you provided only covers a few intraday 30-minute bars from today, not the full past 30 days. I’m emphasizing the most recent price/volume development (today’s 30-min bars) as a proxy for short-term momentum. Where I reference “daily” zones, I’m anchoring to today’s developing daily high/low plus round-number areas commonly used by momentum traders.
- Defensive leadership and quality bids:
- Consumer Staples led with steady, persistent buy flows: COST 935→952.99 (COST), PEP 152.9→155.18 (PEP). Pullbacks were shallow and volume was strongest early, then tapered as price held gains—classic “trend day” behavior.
- Healthcare outperformed with clean higher highs/higher lows: TMO 556→566 (TMO), MCK 782→794 (MCK), REGN 581→588/585 hold (REGN). Dip-buys were defended quickly, a sign of institutional support.
- Industrials mixed:
- ROP grinded higher (513→519 area), tight structure and controlled pullbacks—constructive.
- RTX showed relative weakness early (177.97 open, flushed to 174.55) and only partially reclaimed into 176s; still below early prints—lagging within Aerospace/Defense.
- Tech hardware/EMS weak:
- FN gapped down hard (419 open) and sold to 391 before a tepid bounce to 404—clear relative weakness.
- Micro/special situations:
- VHC spiked early (20.48 high, 21.35 session high later) but is illiquid and choppy.
- MRM is thin and range-bound intraday around 2.50–2.62; liquidity risk.
Notable intraday patterns:
– Higher-high/higher-low sequences in COST, TMO, MCK, MCD, PEP with consolidation near highs into midday—a bullish continuation tell for 1–3 day swings.
– Early expansion + midday flag in COST and TMO.
– Mean-reversion bounce but still net-red structure in RTX; distribution and failed opening drives in FN.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue higher:
– COST, TMO, MCK, MCD, PEP
– Also constructive: ROP (grind higher setup)
Strongest bullish tells:
– COST: break and hold above opening range, shallow pullbacks near 949–951.
– TMO: steady stair-step trend with buyers defending 562–563 repeatedly.
– MCK: pushing 794 highs with little give-back; 792–793 basing.
– MCD: steady trend, buyers showing up on each dip to 311s.
– PEP: tight pullbacks to 154.5 held multiple times; buyers absorbing supply.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
Using today’s intraday range as a practical proxy for short-term “ATR” size and targeting measured moves around obvious levels. Entries are intended near supports; stops sit just below key levels/zones.
COST (Consumer Staples)
– Support levels:
– S1: 949.3–949.9 (11:00 close 949.49 / 11:30 open 949.86)
– S2: 946.4–946.9 (10:30 close 946.85 / 11:00 open 946.40)
– S3: 944.9–945.0 (opening range high break area)
– Resistance levels:
– R1: 952.7–953.0 (session high zone)
– R2: 956.0 (projected resistance/extension)
– R3: 960.0 (psychological)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Bias: continuation. Expect consolidation 949–952, then a push through 953. If it reclaims and holds above 953 on a 30-min close, momentum likely extends.
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 953
– T2: 956
– T3: 960
– Entries:
– Preferred: 949.5–950.5 on a controlled dip.
– Momentum add: 953.2–953.5 on a clean 30-min closing breakout.
– Stop-loss:
– Conservative: below 946.2
– Tighter: 948.4 (if entering on breakout)
TMO (Healthcare – Life Science Tools)
– Support levels:
– S1: 563.5–563.9 (11:30 close 563.90 / 12:00 564.18)
– S2: 562.4–562.8 (11:30 low 562.43 / 10:30 close 562.83)
– S3: 560.8–561.0 (11:00 low 560.86)
– Resistance levels:
– R1: 565.5–566.1 (day high 566.07)
– R2: 568.0 (projected)
– R3: 570.0 (psychological)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Bias: trend continuation. Watching a 562–566 range. A 30-min close >566 opens a measured move into high-560s/570.
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 566
– T2: 568.5
– T3: 571
– Entries:
– Preferred: 562.8–563.6 dip buy.
– Momentum add: >566.2 on strength.
– Stop-loss:
– Conservative: 560.5
– Tighter: 562.2 (if buying S1)
MCK (Healthcare – Distribution)
– Support levels:
– S1: 792.7–793.3 (11:30 low 792.73 / 12:00 close 793.24)
– S2: 789.6–790.1 (10:30 close 789.65 / 11:00 open 790.12)
– S3: 787.7–788.3 (10:30 low 787.75)
– Resistance levels:
– R1: 794.3–794.5 (recent highs 794.52)
– R2: 797.5 (projected extension)
– R3: 800.0 (psychological/daily supply)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Bias: slow grind higher. Expect tests of 794–795; a sustained push over 795 likely magnets 798–800.
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 795
– T2: 798
– T3: 800–802
– Entries:
– Preferred: 792.8–793.5.
– Momentum add: >794.6 on volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Conservative: 789.4
– Tighter: 791.8 (if buying S1)
MCD (Restaurants)
– Support levels:
– S1: 311.3–311.6 (11:30 low 311.43 / 12:00 low 311.33)
– S2: 310.9–311.0 (11:00 low 310.91)
– S3: 310.5 (10:30 low 310.50)
– Resistance levels:
– R1: 312.6–312.8 (11:00 high 312.79)
– R2: 313.5–313.8 (projected)
– R3: 315.0 (psychological)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Bias: constructive uptrend. Expect 311–313 range; a 30-min close above 312.8 can trigger a push toward mid-313s, then 315 if flows persist.
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 312.8
– T2: 313.6
– T3: 314.8–315.2
– Entries:
– Preferred: 311.4–311.7.
– Momentum add: >312.9 on strength.
– Stop-loss:
– Conservative: 310.4–310.5
– Tighter: below 311.0 (if entering near S1)
PEP (Consumer Staples – Beverages)
– Support levels:
– S1: 154.46–154.57 (11:30 low 154.465 / 12:00 low 154.48)
– S2: 154.01–154.11 (10:30 low 154.11 / 11:00 low 154.01)
– S3: 152.9–153.0 (10:00 low 152.88)
– Resistance levels:
– R1: 155.08–155.18 (session high 155.18)
– R2: 155.5–155.8 (projected)
– R3: 156.0–156.4 (psychological/extension)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Bias: steady continuation. Expect consolidation above 154.5; a clean push >155.2 can extend toward 155.8–156.4.
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 155.2
– T2: 155.8
– T3: 156.4
– Entries:
– Preferred: 154.5–154.7.
– Momentum add: >155.2 on volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Conservative: 153.95
– Tighter: 154.3 (if buying S1)
Watchlist (constructive but secondary)
– ROP: steady uptrend with supports 517.6/517.0/516.7 and resistance 519.1+. A slow-grind long above 518.3 with stops under 517.0 could work for a 520–522 drift if large-cap momentum persists.
Names to avoid for long momentum until structure improves
– FN: heavy selloff with only a modest bounce; supply overhead near 403–405. Needs base >405 before considering longs.
– RTX: still below early prints; would need sustained reclaim >177–178 to negate morning weakness.
– VHC/MRM: thin, choppy—higher slippage risk; trade with caution if at all.
Risk management notes
– If the market softens, favor the more defensive/staples/healthcare names (COST, PEP, TMO, MCK).
– Use partials into targets; trail stops below higher lows on the 30-min to stay aligned with momentum.
– Because we don’t have the prior 10–30 days of data, treat the above targets (based on today’s intraday range and obvious levels) as tactical rather than structural.