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Continuation Breakout Wednesday 12PM 1/21/2026

January 21, 2026 6 min read

Analysis window (EST): 2026-01-21 10:30–12:30. Note: Only intraday 30‑minute bars from this 2‑hour window were provided. I don’t have the last 30 trading days of daily candles in this upload. Where “daily” support/resistance/ATR are requested, I anchor to today’s intraday pivots and obvious round-number zones that typically coincide with recent daily supply/demand; please confirm on your daily chart before acting.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (from the provided tickers’ price/volume behavior)
– Semiconductors & storage (AMD, WDC, TXN): morning strength faded into lower highs with rising participation early, then lighter bounce attempts; AMD rolled from 252 → 244s, WDC 242.6 → 237s, TXN drifted lower. Near-term momentum cooled; expect mean-reversion/chop unless fresh catalysts.
– Biotech/Healthcare (ERAS, VIR, NTLA, IRWD, JNJ, IQV): mixed but with clear momentum pockets. ERAS showed range expansion and persistent higher highs on strong volume. VIR stair-stepped higher through the window. JNJ printed a steady trend up day. NTLA/IRWD faded. Net: selective long setups in ERAS/VIR/JNJ; avoid laggards.
– Consumer megacaps/retail (COST, HD, MELI, EL, LVLU): COST held a tight constructive range with a slight bid; HD range-bound; MELI choppy; EL firmed then paused; LVLU highly volatile and illiquid intraday. Net: COST strongest risk-adjusted.
– Materials/Metals/Chemicals (RS, SCCO, NEU, WCC, AZZ): bifurcated. RS stair-stepped higher; SCCO trended down across the window; NEU/WCC drifted lower; AZZ climbed but with thin liquidity. Net: steel stronger than copper here; AZZ constructive but illiquid.
– Energy/Shipping (INSW, EGY): both soft to flat; no momentum bid during the window.
– Industrials (TT, WSO, MOG-A, KEX): mixed-to-soft; TT flat, WSO/ MOG-A faded, KEX range-bound. No broad bid.
– Financials (GS, RILY): GS rolled from 965 → 956, RILY faded; cautious on large-cap/broker near term.
– Homebuilders/related (NVR, TOL, CVCO, THO): under pressure to flat; risk skewed to the downside in this group today.
– Crypto/alt (QBTZ): strong momentum rip with broad participation, holding upper ranges—short-term momentum leadership.

Notable intraday momentum/trend tells
– Strength: QBTZ, ERAS, VIR, JNJ, RS, COST (order of momentum quality).
– Weakness/mean-reversion candidates: AMD, WDC, SCCO, GS, homebuilders cohort.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely to move higher (momentum/structure strongest):
– QBTZ, ERAS, VIR, JNJ, RS
Secondary constructive (slower, but can grind higher): COST, MRNY, AZZ (liquidity caveat)

Strongest bullish signals:
– QBTZ: impulse leg with higher highs and strong volume through the session, holding near the top of range.
– ERAS: expansion day with sequential higher highs/higher lows and sustained volume.
– JNJ: trend day up with higher lows, strong close.
– VIR: persistent bid, tight pullbacks bought.
– RS: steady intraday uptrend making new session highs into midday.

Individual Stock Analysis (focus on the 5 strongest long setups)
Note: Supports/Resistances derived from today’s 30-min pivots plus nearby round-number/daily-proxy zones. Validate against your daily chart.

1) QBTZ
– Key supports: 9.32–9.30; 8.88–8.82; 8.40
– Key resistances: 9.49–9.53; 9.75; 10.00
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Holding above 9.30 favors a push to retest 9.50–9.53. A clean breakout on volume targets 9.75, then 10.00. If 9.30 fails, expect a flush toward 8.90s where dip buyers may defend for another attempt higher.
– Swing price targets (1–3 days): 9.50, 9.75, stretch 10.00–10.20 if momentum persists.
– Entries:
– Prefer buy-the-dip 9.30–9.35 with reversal trigger.
– Momentum add on 9.55+ hold (30-min close above 9.53).
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: under 9.18 (below local base).
– Loose/swing: 8.78 (below prior impulse base).
finviz dynamic chart for  QBTZ

2) ERAS
– Key supports: 9.59; 9.37–9.40; 9.05–9.15
– Key resistances: 9.76–9.80; 10.00; 10.20–10.30
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Constructive while above 9.37–9.40. Expect consolidation then a probe of 9.76–9.80; a breakout can extend toward 10.00 and 10.20. Failure of 9.37 opens a retrace to 9.05–9.15 demand.
– Swing price targets (1–3 days): 9.80, 10.00, 10.20–10.80 (stretch if volume stays elevated).
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 9.40–9.50 on stabilization.
– Breakout buy on 9.82–9.85 with strong volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 9.27.
– Swing: 8.98 (below prior demand and round number).
finviz dynamic chart for  ERAS

3) VIR
– Key supports: 6.68–6.70; 6.63–6.64; 6.57–6.60
– Key resistances: 6.71–6.75; 6.85; 7.00
– 30-min path (2–3 days): A steady stair-step pattern favors continuation while 6.63–6.70 holds. Expect tests of 6.75 then 6.85. A strong close above 6.85 sets up a 7.00 magnet. Lose 6.63 and we likely retest 6.57–6.60 before any new attempt higher.
– Swing price targets (1–3 days): 6.85, 7.00, 7.20 (stretch).
– Entries:
– Buy dips 6.65–6.70 with reversal signal.
– Add on 6.86+ break/hold.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 6.58.
– Swing: 6.49 (below the prior pullback low).
finviz dynamic chart for  VIR

4) JNJ
– Key supports: 216.10–216.20; 215.70–215.75; 215.15
– Key resistances: 216.86–217.00; 217.50; 218.50–220.00
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Trend-up day suggests buy-the-dip regime while above 216.10. Expect re-tests of 216.86–217.00; a breakout targets 217.50 then 218.50. Failure to hold 215.70 shifts us to consolidation back toward 215.15 before buyers regroup.
– Swing price targets (1–3 days): 217.00, 217.50–218.50, stretch 220.00 if broader market cooperates.
– Entries:
– Dip buy 216.10–216.25 with higher-low confirmation.
– Momentum buy on 217.05+ with sustained volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 215.65.
– Swing: 215.10 (below intraday demand).
finviz dynamic chart for  JNJ

5) RS
– Key supports: 328.65–328.80; 327.63–327.75; 326.60–326.32
– Key resistances: 329.44–329.60; 330.00; 331.50–332.00
– 30-min path (2–3 days): Intraday higher highs into midday. While holding 328.6–329.0, look for a push through 329.6 toward 330.00; acceptance above 330 opens 331.5–332. Lose 328.6 and we likely backfill 327.6–327.8 before another try.
– Swing price targets (1–3 days): 330.00, 331.50, 332.50–335.00 (stretch on strong tape/materials bid).
– Entries:
– Buy pullbacks 328.8–329.0 with reversal.
– Add on 329.65–329.70 break/hold.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: 328.40.
– Swing: 327.40 (below prior higher low).
finviz dynamic chart for  RS

Secondary constructive longs (quicker notes)
6) COST
– Supports: 974.0–975.0; 973.6–973.8; 972.5
– Resistances: 976.0–976.7; 978–980; 985
– Path: Range up bias; above 974.5 look for 976.5 then 980. Targets 977.5, 980, stretch 985. Entries: dips 974.5–975.2; or 976.8 breakout. Stops: 973.3 (tight) / 972.3 (swing).
finviz dynamic chart for  COST

7) MRNY
– Supports: 20.45–20.55; 20.38; 20.23
– Resistances: 20.80–20.85; 21.00; 21.40
– Path: Constructive grind; hold 20.45–20.55 to attack 20.85/21.00. Targets 20.85, 21.00, 21.40. Entries: dips 20.50; or 20.86 breakout. Stops: 20.28 (tight) / 20.15 (swing).
finviz dynamic chart for  MRNY

Risk notes and execution
– Liquidity: Avoid thin names for size (e.g., AZZ, some small caps) unless spreads/volume improve.
– Confirmation: Since daily context (30-day) wasn’t included, validate these zones on your daily chart and adjust targets to your measured ATR.
– Triggers: Favor entries on higher-low reversals at support or decisive 30‑min closes through resistance with volume expansion. Use staged profit-taking at each target and trail stops beneath higher lows.

If you want, upload the last 30 days of daily candles or ATR values for these tickers, and I’ll refine the daily zones and 1–3 day targets precisely.

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