Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range reviewed: 2025-12-09 15:30 to 2025-12-10 11:00)
Context note: You provided intraday prints largely from today with a few prior-day ticks; 30-day and 10-day daily context isn’t present in the file. The commentary below emphasizes today’s 30-minute bars and relative morning momentum; where daily levels are referenced, they’re derived from today’s intraday pivots, round numbers, and obvious pre/post-market extremes.
- Semiconductors and related (NXPI, ADI, QCOM, WDC, MKSI, CDNS): Broadly bid at the open with trend persistence. QCOM and WDC showed steady stair-step advances and held gains; ADI spiked then cooled but remains net positive; NXPI held uptrend; CDNS flat-to-slightly lower after the open but stable. Net takeaway: chips and memory (QCOM, WDC) show the strongest intraday momentum and dip-bid behavior.
- Enterprise software/data/IT (NOW, PSTG, NTAP): PSTG led with trend up and higher highs all morning; NTAP steady grind higher; NOW had a strong open but then range-bound. Net: constructive, with PSTG the relative strength leader.
- Industrials/packaging/engineering (CMI, PKG, MTZ, VMI, CSL, MIDD, TREX): Mixed-to-positive. CMI/PKG advanced and held upper ranges; MTZ reclaimed early dip; CSL pushed intraday highs; VMI popped then cooled but stayed above open; MIDD strong early push, consolidating high; TREX ranged. Net: buyers are present, favoring quality names (PKG, CMI, MIDD).
- Transports/logistics (JBHT, SAIA, CHRW): All three opened strong; SAIA/CHRW then consolidated; JBHT held gains better. Net: constructive but watch for follow-through.
- Travel/airlines/leisure (EXPE, ALK, SNCY, PLAY): EXPE and ALK put in clean uptrends; SNCY up but tight; PLAY exploded on volume then consolidated near highs. Net: momentum shift positive; PLAY shows event-like demand and EXPE/ALK show steady accumulation.
- Financials (AMP, MKL, BBAR, BMA, SUPV, BLFY, MBC): AMP led with a trend day; LatAm banks (BMA/BBAR/SUPV) bid and making intraday higher highs; MKL illiquid but up. Net: risk-on tone across financials, with AMP clearest.
- Materials/steel/energy (NUE, STLD, CEPU): Steel popped then softened; still net green but less conviction. CEPU steady modest climb. Net: constructive but not leadership.
- Healthcare/medtech/bio (ALGN, LIVN, ICLR, BVS, BMEA): Mixed. ALGN trending up then tight hold; LIVN/ICLR faded after strong opens; BVS steady bid; BMEA is a high-vol microcap pop with risk. Net: selective; not leading sector.
- Communications/satellite (ASTS): Extreme momentum and volume, huge morning range and higher highs. Net: clear leader among high-beta names.
Noticeable patterns:
– Morning momentum continuation with shallow pullbacks in chips (QCOM, WDC), storage (PSTG), travel (EXPE, ALK), and select industrials (PKG).
– High-beta leader board: ASTS and PLAY show “power trend + consolidation near highs,” a classic 1–3 day continuation setup if broader market stays benign.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue higher:
– High-conviction momentum: ASTS, PLAY, PSTG, QCOM, WDC
– Secondary long-biased watch: AMP, EXPE, ALK, PKG, MIDD
Strongest bullish signals today:
– ASTS: Expanding volume, higher highs, defended pullbacks, closes of each 30-min bar near top third of their ranges.
– PLAY: Gap-and-go with multi-hour consolidation near highs.
– PSTG: Trend day with persistent bids and fresh intraday highs late in the morning.
– QCOM/WDC: Grinding trend with higher lows and dips bought at prior pivot highs.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)
ASTS
– Supports: 73.50 (10:30 pivot low), 72.00 (opening pivot), 70.90 (session low).
– Resistances: 75.80 (session high), 76.50 (round/extension), 78.00 (round/extension).
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Expect a bull-flag resolution above 75.80. If market risk-on persists, a measured extension into 77–78 is in play; failure to hold 73.50 risks a 72 retest before another attempt.
– 1–3 day targets: 75.80, 77.20, 78.80.
– Possible entries:
– Breakout ≥ 75.90–76.00 (add on 76.50 reclaim).
– Pullback buy 73.80–74.30 into 73.50 support.
– Stop-loss:
– For breakout: 74.90 (below breakout failure).
– For pullback: 73.20 (below 73.50 pivot) or 71.70 (below 72 zone if giving more room).
PLAY
– Supports: 20.65–20.70 (10:30 base), 20.28 (10:00 pullback low), 19.90 (round number/gap-hold zone).
– Resistances: 21.18 (intraday high), 21.50 (round/overhead supply), 22.00 (psychological).
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Expect continuation from tight range near highs; a clean break over 21.18 can magnet 21.50/22.00. Failure to hold 20.28 would suggest a gap-sit/backfill toward 20.00 before another try.
– 1–3 day targets: 21.20, 21.50, 22.00.
– Possible entries:
– Breakout ≥ 21.20.
– Pullback buy 20.60–20.70 with risk defined.
– Stop-loss:
– For breakout: 20.70 (back inside range).
– For pullback: 20.20 (below range low).
PSTG
– Supports: 71.80–71.90 (11:00 consolidation shelf), 71.08 (10:00 swing low), 69.90 (opening low/round).
– Resistances: 72.48 (session high), 73.00 (round), 73.50 (extension/supply).
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Trend day suggests follow-through. Expect dips to 71.80–72.00 to attract buyers; breakout over 72.50 targets the 73s. A loss of 71.00 would delay the move and risk a 70 retest.
– 1–3 day targets: 72.50, 73.00, 73.50.
– Possible entries:
– Breakout ≥ 72.50.
– Pullback buy 71.85–72.00.
– Stop-loss:
– For breakout: 71.90.
– For pullback: 70.95 (below 71.08 swing).
QCOM
– Supports: 178.60–178.90 (intraday shelf), 177.58 (10:00 pullback), 175.25 (opening low/line-in-sand).
– Resistances: 179.93 (session high), 180.50 (round/extension), 182.00 (daily psychological).
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Expect gradual grind with shallow dips; a push through 179.93 likely spurs 180.50 then 181–182 if semis stay firm. Below 177.6 would weaken the setup.
– 1–3 day targets: 180.00, 181.00, 182.00.
– Possible entries:
– Breakout ≥ 180.00.
– Pullback buy 178.90–179.00.
– Stop-loss:
– For breakout: 178.90.
– For pullback: 177.40.
WDC
– Supports: 171.20 (11:00 pivot low), 170.56 (10:00 low), 168.90 (opening low).
– Resistances: 172.47–172.60 (intraday highs), 173.50 (extension), 175.00 (round).
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Trend intact. Expect attempts to clear 172.6; if successful, 173.5/175 magnet levels. Lose 170.6 and we likely revisit 169–169.5 before re-basing.
– 1–3 day targets: 172.60, 173.50, 175.00.
– Possible entries:
– Breakout ≥ 172.60.
– Pullback buy 171.40–171.60.
– Stop-loss:
– For breakout: 171.70.
– For pullback: 170.70 (below 170.56 swing).
Secondary watch (long bias; use similar playbooks with tighter risk):
– AMP: Trend up, closing strong; targets 489–492; support 486.9/485.5.
– EXPE: Persistent bid after gap; targets 268–270; support 266/263.8.
– ALK: Strong open and held; targets 51.9–52.5; support 51.2/50.6.
– PKG: Grinding higher; targets 199.2–200; support 198/197.8.
Risk notes and trade management
– For high-beta (ASTS, PLAY), consider scaling: 1/2 on first trigger, 1/2 on confirmation; trail stops under prior 30-min low once first target hits.
– Avoid thin/microcaps (TDTH, YOUL, BMEA) for swing unless specialized; wide spreads and headline risk.
– If broader market momentum stalls, prioritize semis/storage (QCOM, WDC, PSTG) which showed strongest dip support.
If you want, share your true 10–30 day daily charts/levels; I’ll refine daily supply/demand zones and ATR-based targets precisely off that timeframe.