Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (window analyzed: 2025-11-11 15:30 to 2025-11-12 11:00 EST, based on 30-minute bars in the upload)
Note: The file you sent contains intraday prints from the prior close/after-hours into the current morning. I do not have the full 30-day history in this upload. The commentary below emphasizes today’s action as a proxy for current momentum and highlights how that typically plays out over the next 1–5 sessions.
- Materials/Precious Metals leading: The gold complex showed synchronized strength with high velocity and volume: GDXU ripped 176→196, NUGT 150→159, NGD 7.21→7.57 with heavy turnover. This coordinated move across a 3x ETF (GDXU), 2x ETF (NUGT), and a single-name miner (NGD) suggests broad participation and short-term accumulation in gold miners.
- Healthcare Providers strong trend day: HCA 460→477 and UHS 224→230 both posted opening drives and held gains. That “gap-and-go + higher lows” structure often sees day-2/3 follow-through.
- Aerospace/Defense breakout: TDG 1279→1317 pushed to fresh session highs late in the morning; HEI advanced but was more two-sided. Strength in TDG can spill over to the broader A&D group.
- Industrials mixed: WCC held gains (259→266 then 264), CAT popped then faded to mid-range, URI consolidated near highs. Net tone constructive-to-neutral.
- Medical instruments/diagnostics constructive: IDXX reclaimed 717 near HOD; MTD stayed bid but faded from morning highs; HAE held most of its pop.
- Chemicals faded after strength: ALB ripped early to 110.6 then retraced to 107s; DD couldn’t hold 41 and slipped back toward 40.55. Near-term digestion likely.
- Financials mixed: AFG steadily bid; SII climbed; BMA up; FCNCA faded; FCFS flat. Mixed breadth suggests stock-picking.
- Consumer Discretionary: Lodging tickers HLT/MAR posted early gains then churned; LOCO steadily climbed on light-to-moderate volume.
Patterns worth noting
– Risk-on within “defensive” cohorts: hospitals (HCA, UHS) and gold miners (GDXU, NUGT, NGD) printed trend structures with strong relative volume—often a precursor to 1–3 day continuation.
– Breakout-and-hold leadership: TDG’s late-morning push to new highs signals demand on dips.
– Fades in cyclicals/chemicals after early spikes (ALB, parts of CAT) suggest rotation rather than broad market thrust.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
– Likely upside continuation: GDXU, NGD, HCA, UHS, TDG, HCC, IDXX
– Strongest bullish signals today: GDXU, HCA, TDG
– Rationale: synchronized sector strength (GDXU), clean gap-and-go trend day with higher lows (HCA), late-morning breakout with buyers active at highs (TDG).
Individual Stock Analysis (levels from today’s intraday action, obvious psychological marks, and prior close prints in file; ATR proxy uses today’s realized morning range)
GDXU (3x Gold Miners)
– Supports: 190.0–190.7; 185.9–186.5; 182.8
– Resistances: 196.0 (HOD); 200.0; 203–205
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Holding above ~190 keeps the bull flag intact. Expect a squeeze through 196 into the 199–201 zone; pullbacks that hold 186–187 likely get bought. Loss of 185.5 risks a deeper backfill toward 182–183 before attempting another leg.
– 1–3 day targets (ATR proxy ≈ 20 intraday range; use 0.25–0.5x for swings): 198.5, 200.5, 203.5
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 190.5–191.5
– Breakout add >196 with strong 30-min close
– Stop-loss: 185.4 (beneath demand and morning base)
NGD (New Gold)
– Supports: 7.40–7.45; 7.34; 7.28
– Resistances: 7.57 (HOD); 7.65; 7.80
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Strong upthrust followed by tight consolidation suggests a stair-step higher if 7.40 holds. Above 7.57 opens 7.65 then 7.75–7.80. Failure to hold 7.34 invites a test of 7.28 before dip-buyers step back in.
– 1–3 day targets (ATR proxy ≈ 0.36; 0.5x ≈ 0.18): 7.60, 7.70, 7.80
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 7.40–7.45 pullback
– Momentum add >7.57
– Stop-loss: 7.29 (beneath morning shelf)
HCA (Healthcare Providers)
– Supports: 473.2–473.6; 469.5–470.0; 462.5–463.0
– Resistances: 476.9 (HOD); 480.0; 486.0
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Textbook trend day. Expect consolidation 471–476 to resolve higher. A reclaim/hold over 476.9 should push 479.5–482 first; sustained strength could tag 485–486. Failure to hold 469.5 would likely mean a slower, two-day retest of 465–466 before another attempt up.
– 1–3 day targets (ATR proxy ≈ 17; use 0.3–0.5x ≈ 5–8): 479.5, 482.0, 486.0
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 472–474 retest of prior breakout
– Momentum add >477 on strong 30-min close
– Stop-loss: 468.8 (below morning pivot)
UHS (Healthcare Providers)
– Supports: 228.0–228.4; 225.8–226.0; 224.3–224.6
– Resistances: 230.6 (HOD); 231.8–232.0; 235.0
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Higher highs/higher lows with buyers near VWAP-like zones. Base above 228 favors a push through 230.6 toward 232 then 234–235. Slip below 225.8 risks a deeper retest to 224s before bounce attempts.
– 1–3 day targets (ATR proxy ≈ 6.5; 0.4–0.5x ≈ 2.5–3.3): 231.8, 233.5, 235.0
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 228.2–228.8
– Breakout add >230.7
– Stop-loss: 225.7
TDG (Aerospace & Defense)
– Supports: 1306–1308; 1300; 1297
– Resistances: 1317.4 (HOD); 1325; 1335
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Late-morning breakout with strong close suggests shallow dips get bought. Holding 1306–1308 should fuel a grind into 1322–1325, then 1330–1335. Lose 1300 and a shakeout to 1294–1297 is likely before buyers reassert.
– 1–3 day targets (ATR proxy ≈ 38; 0.3–0.5x ≈ 11–19): 1322, 1330, 1340
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 1306–1308 retest
– Momentum add >1317.5
– Stop-loss: 1299 (psych level and below higher-low structure)
HCC (Met Coal)
– Supports: 84.20–84.40; 83.75; 83.20–83.30
– Resistances: 84.83; 85.08; 85.50
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Steady stair-step; a hold above 84.2 keeps the uptrend intact. A push through 84.83/85.08 likely tags 85.5–86.0. Lose 83.75 and price can cycle back to 83.2–83.3 before rebasing.
– 1–3 day targets (ATR proxy ≈ 2.3; 0.4–0.5x ≈ 0.9–1.2): 85.10, 85.80, 86.50
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 84.2–84.4
– Add >84.85 with volume
– Stop-loss: 83.70
IDXX (Diagnostics)
– Supports: 714.2–714.7; 710.0–710.5; 708.9
– Resistances: 717.95 (HOD); 720.0; 725.0
– 30-min price action view (2–3 days): Strong reclaim of the morning dip and close near highs. Above 714, expect a push to 720; a clean 30-min close >718 opens 723–725. Below 710, momentum likely pauses and retests 709–708.9 before attempting higher.
– 1–3 day targets (ATR proxy ≈ 10.4; 0.4–0.5x ≈ 4–5): 720, 723, 727
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 712–714 pullback
– Add >718 on expansion
– Stop-loss: 709.0
Brief notes on other tickers (for context, not trade plans)
– NUGT mirrored GDXU’s strength; suitable for traders preferring 2x miners exposure.
– WCC constructive; watch 266.9–267.5 breakout and 263.7 support.
– ALB needs to firm back above 109–110 after intraday fade.
– CAT/URI ranged; follow-through requires holds above intraday pivots.
– AFG steady grind higher; financials breadth mixed.
– LOCO trending but thin; manage liquidity risk.
Risk management
– These are short-term momentum setups. If leaders (gold complex, hospitals, A&D) lose their noted support bands on expanding 30-min downside volume, assume failed breakouts and cut quickly.
– ATR-based target sizing above is derived from today’s realized range due to limited history in the upload; adjust with your 14-day ATR if available.