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Swing Idea

Continuation Breakout Wednesday 11AM 10/01/2025

October 1, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Time window analyzed (EST): 2025-09-30 15:30 to 2025-10-01 11:00. Note: The data provided is intraday for today (plus a few late prints yesterday), so 30-day/10-day context is inferred from current momentum and leadership; precise higher-timeframe zones would benefit from full daily data.

  • Leadership broadens with growth/tech in charge. Semiconductors and semiconductor-cap equipment lead: AMAT, KLAC, ASML, TSM, LITE, WDC, STX all gapped and pushed with strong early volume and controlled pullbacks. Storage (WDC, STX) and optics (LITE) show clean trend structure.
  • Software/security is firm: CRWD trended higher; SNOW held gains. AI-infra PLTR advanced steadily.
  • Consumer Discretionary mixed-to-strong: TSLA showed a powerful trend day; LULU lagged with lower highs.
  • Healthcare/Biotech: AMGN and REGN trended higher; small/micro bios were mixed—APLT and DPRO/QS/AMPX saw momentum spikes with heavy turnover, GLUE and RLAY constructive.
  • Industrials/Defense/Infrastructure: AVAV and DPRO strong; AGX, FIX, CRH uptrends intact.
  • Metals/mining softer: SBSW faded off morning highs.
  • Index backdrop: QQQ trended from ~597.6 to ~600.8 by late morning, confirming risk-on with semis leadership.

Notable sector patterns

  • Gap-and-go with midday flagging across semis (AMAT, KLAC, LITE) and disk drives (STX, WDC).
  • Momentum expansions in EV/next-gen energy/battery plays (TSLA, QS) and robotics/automation (SYM).
  • Pullback-and-hold behavior in mega-cap platform names (AAPL flat-to-soft; still supportive breadth via QQQ).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Most likely to continue higher:

  • AMAT, KLAC, LITE, WDC, STX (semis/storage leadership)
  • TSLA (trend strength + volume)
  • SYM (momentum continuation setup)
  • QS (high-volume expansion; watch for continuation)

Also constructive/bullish but not detailed below: AVAV, REGN, ASML, TSM, AMPX, DPRO, APLT.

Individual Stock Analysis

AMAT

  • Why bullish: Gap > 1% with trend to 212.58 high; strong tape in semis; higher lows held around 210.
  • Key support (daily zones from today’s structure): 210.5–210.9; 206.1–206.5; 203.6–204.7.
  • Key resistance: 211.7–212.6; 214.5; 216.5–218.0.
  • 30-min path (2–3 days): Expect a 210.5–212.6 flag; a push >212.6 targets 214.5 first, then 216.5–218 (roughly 0.5–1.0 of today’s range).
  • 1–3 day swing targets: 214.5, then 216.8–218.2.
  • Entries: 210.6–211.0 retest; secondary scale at 209.8–210.0 if offered.
  • Stop: 208.9 (tighter); swing stop 206.0 (beneath morning base).
  • finviz dynamic chart for AMAT

KLAC

  • Why bullish: Strong range expansion to 1105.8 with higher lows; semicap breadth tailwind.
  • Key support: 1095–1097; 1080; 1069–1070.
  • Key resistance: 1100.8–1105.8; 1110; 1120.
  • 30-min path: Hold 1095–1097 and attempt higher; reclaim 1106 opens 1110 then 1118–1120 (about 0.5 of today’s range).
  • 1–3 day swing targets: 1110, 1118–1122.
  • Entries: 1096–1098 first touch; add on 1101–1102 reclaim post-break.
  • Stop: 1089 (tighter); swing stop 1079.
  • finviz dynamic chart for KLAC

LITE

  • Why bullish: Breakout through 169–171 with strong follow-through; clean intraday trend.
  • Key support: 170.3–171.2; 168.6–169.0; 164.5–165.0.
  • Key resistance: 171.45; 171.80; 173.5–175.0.
  • 30-min path: Expect retest of 170.5–171.0 and higher low; break >171.8 targets mid-173s then 175 (0.3–0.5 of today’s range).
  • 1–3 day swing targets: 173.5, 175.5–176.8.
  • Entries: 170.6–171.0 on pullback; secondary 168.8–169.0.
  • Stop: 167.9 (tighter); swing stop 164.2.
  • finviz dynamic chart for LITE

WDC

  • Why bullish: Strong drive-sector momentum; held most gains after 125.62 high.
  • Key support: 124.2–124.5; 121.5; 118.8–119.2.
  • Key resistance: 125.1–125.6; 127.0; 129.0.
  • 30-min path: Consolidate 124–125.5; through 125.6 targets 126.8–127.5, then 128.5–129.0 (0.3–0.5 of today’s range).
  • 1–3 day swing targets: 126.8, 128.8.
  • Entries: 124.2–124.6 on dip; secondary 122.0–122.5.
  • Stop: 121.3 (tighter); swing stop 118.7.
  • finviz dynamic chart for WDC

STX

  • Why bullish: Trend day with higher highs; sector confirmation from WDC.
  • Key support: 245.0–245.3; 244.1; 238.6–239.0.
  • Key resistance: 247.5; 250.0; 252.5.
  • 30-min path: Base 244.8–246.0; break above 247.5 fuels 249.5–250.5 then 252 (0.3–0.5 of today’s range).
  • 1–3 day swing targets: 248.8, 250.5–252.0.
  • Entries: 245.2–245.8 initial; backup 244.2–244.6.
  • Stop: 243.7 (tighter); swing stop 238.2.
  • finviz dynamic chart for STX

TSLA

  • Why bullish: Powerful morning trend, higher highs/lows, elevated turnover; relative strength vs QQQ.
  • Key support: 455.8–456.1; 453.1; 449.5–450.0.
  • Key resistance: 458.9; 462.0; 466–468.
  • 30-min path: Expect a 453–458 coil; push >458.9 sets 462, then 466–468 (0.3–0.5 of today’s range).
  • 1–3 day swing targets: 462, 466–468.
  • Entries: 455.5–456.2 on pullback; secondary 453.5–454.0.
  • Stop: 451.5 (tighter); swing stop 448.8.
  • finviz dynamic chart for TSLA

SYM

  • Why bullish: Momentum continuation from 53.5 to 58.25 with controlled pullbacks; strong robotics/automation bid.
  • Key support: 57.8–58.0; 57.0–57.1; 55.0–55.5.
  • Key resistance: 58.07–58.25; 59.0; 60.0–60.5.
  • 30-min path: Holding 57.8–58.0 sets up push >58.25 toward 59.2 then 60.2–60.5 (0.3–0.5 of today’s range).
  • 1–3 day swing targets: 59.2, 60.2–60.5.
  • Entries: 57.8–58.0 first buy; add 57.1 if deeper pullback.
  • Stop: 56.8 (tighter); swing stop 55.4.
  • finviz dynamic chart for SYM

QS

  • Why bullish: High-volume expansion from 12s into mid-14s; holding near highs suggests continuation potential.
  • Key support: 14.22–14.35; 13.98–14.00; 13.06–13.10.
  • Key resistance: 14.49–14.63; 15.00; 15.5.
  • 30-min path: Flag 14.2–14.6; break over 14.63 targets 14.9–15.1 then 15.3–15.5 (0.3–0.5 of today’s range).
  • 1–3 day swing targets: 14.95, 15.35–15.55.
  • Entries: 14.25–14.35 on dip; secondary add near 14.00.
  • Stop: 13.72 (tighter); swing stop 13.05.
  • finviz dynamic chart for QS

Highlights of strongest bullish signals today

  • Semis/equipment leadership with range expansion and closes near highs: AMAT, KLAC, LITE; storage STX/WDC confirming.
  • High-conviction trend day in TSLA.
  • Momentum continuations: SYM, QS.
  • Additional momentum candidates to watch for follow-through: AVAV, REGN, ASML, TSM, AMPX, DPRO, APLT.

Risk management note: These plans lean on today’s 30-minute structure. If QQQ loses 598.5–599.0 decisively, reduce risk and expect deeper pullbacks toward first support on each name.

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