Continuation Breakout Tuesday 4PM 9/23/2025

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-09-23 from 13:30 to 16:00 ET (30-minute bars). Note: Only this session’s intraday data was provided; I’m inferring recent 10-day momentum from today’s relative strength, closing behavior, and volume profile. If you share the full 30-day window, I’ll tighten the daily zones.

• Defense/Aerospace led on strength into the close: KTOS and LHX both pressed/held near session highs with late-day volume expansion—classic “strong hands into the bell” tells.
• Industrials printed steady closes: GE pushed to its HOD into the close; LIN was firm/sideways. That’s constructive for near-term continuation in quality industrials.
• Materials/Coal bid: METC stair-stepped higher all afternoon and closed on HOD with rising volume—momentum intact.
• Semis: MU exploded after hours (large post-close range to 174.9), signaling event-driven upside (likely earnings). Expect elevated ATR and momentum continuation as long as early pullbacks hold.
• Space/Geo data and small-cap biotech showed risk-on: PL trended to new session highs; IMTX climbed steadily and closed at HOD.
• Healthcare mixed: UNH range-bound; UTHR faded late. MCK slipped—distribution look.
• Consumer internet/growth lagged: APP trended lower; DASH range-bound; MELI flat.
• Energy shipping and materials small caps were soft/sideways: IMPP flat; UAMY pulled back.
• Micro-cap China/low-float names (JZXN, HKPD, UOKA, ADGM, BEDU) showed noise/volatility but low conviction.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Likely to trade higher:

• KTOS, LHX (defense continuation)
• METC (coal momentum)
• GE (industrial strength)
• PL (space/geo data grind up)
• MU (post-event breakout continuation; high risk/high reward)
• IMTX (steady bid; small-cap biotech)
• TLRY (coiling under 1.25; potential micro-breakout)

Strongest bullish signals today: METC, KTOS, LHX, GE, PL, MU (event-driven), IMTX.

Individual Stock Analysis

KTOS (Defense/Aerospace)

• 30-min read: Late-day surge with volume; closed near highs.
• Support: 83.10, 82.70, 82.34
• Resistance: 83.99, 84.08 (HOD), 84.50
• Next 2–3 days: Look for an opening test of 84.0–84.1. Above 84.1, momentum to 84.5 then 85.2.
• Entry: 83.10–83.35 on pullbacks (prior demand).
• Stop: 82.30 (below 15:30 low and demand zone).
• Targets (1–3 day): T1 83.99–84.08, T2 84.50, T3 85.20 (approx 1–1.5x today’s range).

LHX (Defense)

• 30-min read: Persistent grind higher; tight structure; strong close.
• Support: 285.45, 284.98, 284.76
• Resistance: 286.34–286.38 (HOD band), 286.80, 287.50
• Next 2–3 days: Break and hold above 286.38 could target 287.5 then 289.0.
• Entry: 285.60–285.90 on dips.
• Stop: 284.70 (below day’s demand shelf).
• Targets: T1 286.40, T2 287.50, T3 289.00.

METC (Coal)

• 30-min read: Clean trend day; rising volume; HOD close.
• Support: 31.66, 31.37, 30.79
• Resistance: 32.10 (HOD), 32.50, 33.20
• Next 2–3 days: Expect continuation above 32.10; pullbacks should be shallow while momentum regime holds.
• Entry: 31.70–31.95 on pullbacks; add over 32.10 on strength.
• Stop: 31.20 (below last higher low structure).
• Targets: T1 32.50, T2 32.90, T3 33.50.

GE (Industrials)

• 30-min read: Strong close at/near HOD; healthy breadth read for the group.
• Support: 304.30–304.42 (base), 303.79, 304.96
• Resistance: 305.74 (HOD), 306.20, 307.00
• Next 2–3 days: Look for an early push through 305.74; continuation toward 306–307.
• Entry: 304.90–305.20 on a VWAP/backtest dip.
• Stop: 304.20 (below base).
• Targets: T1 305.74, T2 306.20, T3 307.00–307.40.

PL (Space/Geo Data)

• 30-min read: Trend up to session HOD; steady demand zones held all day.
• Support: 12.00–12.05, 11.97, 11.93
• Resistance: 12.11 (HOD), 12.20, 12.35
• Next 2–3 days: Continuation toward 12.20; if volume expands, extension to 12.35.
• Entry: 12.00–12.05 on dips; partial add through 12.12.
• Stop: 11.90 (below day’s demand).
• Targets: T1 12.20, T2 12.35, T3 12.55.

MU (Semiconductors)

• 30-min read: Post-close surge to 174.9 range; event-driven. Expect high ATR and gap dynamics next session.
• Support: 170.00, 168.00, 166.50 (RTH close area)
• Resistance: 174.92 (AH high), 176.50, 179.00
• Next 2–3 days: If it gaps up, watch the opening range—hold above 170–172 keeps trend intact; failure back below 168 risks gap-fill.
• Entry: Two approaches:

– Momentum: Over 174.90 after a 5–15 min hold.
– Pullback: 170.5–172.0 into rising intraday VWAP.

• Stop: 167.90 (beneath gap-hold line). Tighter if taking momentum entries (risk 1.5–2.5 points).
• Targets: T1 176.50, T2 179.00, T3 182.00 (if momentum persists).

IMTX (Biotech)

• 30-min read: Controlled grind higher; HOD close at 7.12.
• Support: 7.03–7.05, 6.94–6.96, 6.90
• Resistance: 7.12 (HOD), 7.20, 7.35
• Next 2–3 days: Look for 7.12 breakout; 7.20 is first check, then 7.35 if volume appears.
• Entry: 7.02–7.08 dips; add on 7.12 break with confirmation.
• Stop: 6.89 (below demand shelf).
• Targets: T1 7.20, T2 7.30, T3 7.35–7.45.

TLRY (Cannabis)

• 30-min read: Coiling just under 1.25 with heavy liquidity—set up for a micro-break.
• Support: 1.23, 1.22, 1.20
• Resistance: 1.25, 1.28, 1.30
• Next 2–3 days: Above 1.25, quick squeezes to 1.28–1.30 are possible if sector tailwinds show.
• Entry: 1.22–1.23 dips; breakout add on 1.252–1.255 with sustained tape.
• Stop: 1.19 (below coil base).
• Targets: T1 1.28, T2 1.30, T3 1.34.

Notes and risk controls

• Because only today’s intraday data was provided, “daily” support/resistance are derived from this session’s clear supply/demand and logical round-number extensions; refine with full 30-day data when available.
• For momentum entries, keep sizing modest and stops firm. If first target hits, consider taking 1/3–1/2 off and trail to breakeven/VWAP to protect gains.