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Continuation Breakout Tuesday 4PM 12/30/2025

December 30, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range: 2025-12-30 13:00–15:30)

Note on data scope: the upload covers only a single afternoon of 30-minute intraday bars. I emphasize the most recent price–volume development (akin to the “last 10 days” focus) by reading late-day momentum, closing location, and volume signatures to frame 1–3 day swing setups.

  • Healthcare/MedTech leading: LLY and MTD held steady-to-strong bids; OWLT (small-cap med device) showed range expansion with a close near highs. Tickers: LLY, MTD, OWLT.
  • Software mixed, with dispersion: HUBS printed higher highs and a strong closing ramp on expanding volume (bullish), while TYL (gov-tech) and IT (Gartner) faded into the close (supply). Tickers: HUBS (strength), TYL/IT (late-day weakness).
  • Consumer travel softened: BKNG was sold into the close, losing the midday bid and finishing near session lows (risk-off within travel/services). Ticker: BKNG.
  • Insurance: KNSL saw a late, heavy-volume downtick from intraday highs into the close (distribution). Ticker: KNSL.
  • Micro/small-cap biotech mixed: NBY’s liquidity was front-loaded and then churned; NXTC illiquid but firmed into the close. Tickers: NBY, NXTC.

Notable patterns across sectors (tickers in parentheses):
– Closing strength on volume: higher highs and strong final 30-minute bar closes (HUBS, OWLT, MTD).
– Late-day supply: sell programs hitting in the last bar(s) after testing highs (KNSL, BKNG, TYL, IT).
– Range contraction vs expansion: steady grind higher with tight dips favored follow-through (LLY, MTD), while high-beta with thin liquidity can be whippy (OWLT, NXTC).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Most likely to trade higher (bullish follow-through candidates):
– HUBS (strongest tape: higher highs, close near HOD with volume expansion)
– MTD (orderly uptrend; buyers defended dips, close near range highs)
– LLY (steady grind, constructive near highs; low-volatility continuation setup)
– OWLT (small-cap momentum with late-day push; speculative, size down)

Speculative radar (lower liquidity): NXTC could pop on any volume expansion, but liquidity is thin; treat as tactical only.

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)
Note: Key levels derived from today’s intraday pivots/round numbers given the limited dataset. Targets reference nearby resistance and approximate extension of today’s true range.

HUBS
– Support (3):
– 405.0–405.9 (closing ramp shelf)
– 403.4–403.8 (midday base)
– 402.0–402.8 (session low zone)
– Resistance (3):
– 406.9–407.0 (HOD)
– 409.5 (range extension/round step)
– 412.0–412.5 (1x today’s range extension)
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Expect an opening test/pullback toward 405–404.50; hold above 403.40 keeps higher-low structure intact. A sustained break/hold above 407 sets a measured leg toward 409.5 then 412+ if momentum persists.
– Price targets (1–3 day):
– T1: 406.9–407.0
– T2: 409.5
– T3: 412.0–412.5
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 404.8–405.5 with strength returning on 30-min
– Breakout buy on 407.1+ after a 30-min close above 407
– Stop-loss:
– Conservative: below 402.7 (beneath the session low zone)
– Tighter: 403.1 (if buying the breakout)
finviz dynamic chart for  HUBS

MTD
– Support (3):
– 1412.1–1413.0 (15:00 dip/close pivot)
– 1408.0–1408.8 (session open/early support)
– 1405.0 (round-number demand)
– Resistance (3):
– 1416.6–1417.2 (HOD zone)
– 1420.0 (round number/near-term supply)
– 1424.5–1426.0 (approx. 1x today’s range extension)
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Buy-the-dip behavior likely remains. Above 1412, bulls control; reclaim/hold 1417 opens a drift to 1420 and potential extension into 1424–1426 on continuation days.
– Price targets (1–3 day):
– T1: 1417.0
– T2: 1420.2
– T3: 1424.5–1426.0
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 1412.3–1413.0
– Breakout buy 1417.3+ on a 30-min close above 1417 with rising volume
– Stop-loss:
– Conservative: 1407.7 (below session low)
– Tighter: 1410.4 (beneath pullback entry if momentum is strong)
finviz dynamic chart for  MTD

LLY
– Support (3):
– 1079.6–1080.0 (late-day shelf)
– 1078.6 (intraday pivot)
– 1078.0 (near session low)
– Resistance (3):
– 1081.5 (late-day high cap)
– 1082.4–1082.5 (session HOD)
– 1085.0 (round number/extension)
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Expect a slow, grinding upside if 1079–1080 holds. A firm 30-min close >1081.5 sets a push to 1082.5 then a measured drift toward 1084.5–1085 if the tape remains bid.
– Price targets (1–3 day):
– T1: 1081.5
– T2: 1082.5
– T3: 1084.8–1085.5
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 1079.7–1080.0
– Breakout buy 1081.6+ on a 30-min close above with volume confirmation
– Stop-loss:
– Conservative: 1077.8 (below session low)
– Tighter: 1078.4 (beneath intraday pivot)
finviz dynamic chart for  LLY

OWLT (speculative/small-cap)
– Support (3):
– 15.90–15.95 (closing shelf)
– 15.80 (intraday pivot)
– 15.72–15.75 (session low zone)
– Resistance (3):
– 16.09–16.10 (HOD)
– 16.30–16.35 (range extension supply)
– 16.50 (round-number target)
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days): Momentum skew is up; watch for a quick retest of 15.90–15.95. Strong reclaim over 16.10 can accelerate toward 16.35; extension to 16.50 possible on a momentum day.
– Price targets (1–3 day):
– T1: 16.10
– T2: 16.30–16.35
– T3: 16.50
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 15.88–15.95
– Breakout buy 16.11+ after consolidation above 16.00
– Stop-loss:
– Conservative: 15.70 (below session low)
– Tighter: 15.78 (beneath 15.80 pivot)
finviz dynamic chart for  OWLT

Context on names to avoid long near-term or wait for bases:
– KNSL: Late, high-volume drop from highs to close suggests supply; need to see a base above 396.5 before considering longs.
– BKNG: Persistent fade into the close; prefer evidence of demand >5450 on 30-min closes before a long.
– TYL and IT: Soft closes under intraday highs; look for reclaim of 459.8 (TYL) and 255.0 (IT) on volume for momentum confirmation.
– NBY and NXTC: Liquidity-driven moves; treat as tactical day trades only unless volume expands and levels hold.

Risk management notes
– Use smaller position sizing in low-liquidity tickers (OWLT, NXTC, NBY).
– If entries trigger on breakouts, insist on a 30-minute close through the level and expanding volume; otherwise, expect fakeouts and use the pullback entry zones instead.
– Reassess if supports fail on a closing basis; momentum scenarios are invalidated below the listed conservative stops.

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