Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window)
– Data window received: 2025-12-16 from 13:30 to 16:00 EST in 30-minute bars. I did not receive 30-day daily candles, so the 30-day context is inferred from intraday momentum and closing behavior; emphasis is on the most recent session’s 30-min development as a proxy for the last 10 days.
– Broad read-through by groups (based on tickers’ observed behavior, not company fundamentals):
– Tech/Software/Data (MDB, PLTR, NEWP): Leadership tone. MDB and PLTR stair-stepped higher and held bids into the close with expanding volume in the 15:30 bar, suggesting accumulation and potential 1–3 day continuation. NEWP based tightly; neutral-to-slightly-positive.
– Industrials/Metals/Materials (CRS, RS, HRI): CRS and RS pressed to/near session highs late with healthy closing volume—constructive for follow-through. HRI chopped and faded slightly into the final bar; neutral.
– Consumer/Discretionary and Related (UPB, DLTR, DIBS, TKO): Mixed. UPB showed clean higher-highs with rising volume late (bullish). DLTR and DIBS were range-bound (neutral). TKO sold in the final 30-min bar (weak).
– Healthcare/Bio (JBIO, SRPT, TOI): Mixed but selective strength. JBIO pushed higher into the close/after-hours (bullish). TOI probed 3.90 and pulled back on heavy closing volume—watch for a 3.90–4.00 breakout. SRPT faded late (weak).
– REITs/Financials/Other (COLD, ACR, MSBI, DHIL): Defensive/Income areas soft-to-flat. COLD saw heavy sell pressure at 15:30 before a small reclaim; MSBI slipped; ACR/DHIL illiquid and flat.
– Transportation/Shipping/Other small caps (TORO, EVEX, SOS, SFHG, KDK): TORO trended down; EVEX modest uptick late; the rest were illiquid/flat.
Notable patterns:
– Persistent closing strength with volume: MDB, CRS, RS, PLTR, UPB, JBIO.
– Breakout watch: TOI over 3.90–4.00; PLTU over 84.50.
– Late-day distribution/weakness: TKO, AGCC, TORO, SRPT, MSBI, COLD.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside continuation candidates:
– Strongest setups: MDB, CRS, RS, UPB, PLTR, JBIO
– Secondary/conditional: PLTU (needs 84.50 reclaim), TOI (needs 3.90–4.00 breakout)
– Bullish signals: Higher highs into the close, strong 15:30 bar volume (accumulation), closes near day highs, tight pullbacks that held higher lows.
Individual Stock Analysis (targets use today’s intraday range as a proxy for 1-day ATR; “S” = support, “R” = resistance)
1) UPB
– Context: Trend up all afternoon; volume expanded into the close. Intraday range ≈ 0.92 (ATR proxy).
– Key levels:
– Support: S1 29.00, S2 28.85, S3 28.81 (session low)
– Resistance: R1 29.50, R2 29.73 (day high), R3 30.00–30.20 (ATR extension)
– Next 2–3 days (30-min): Bias for early dip-and-rip. Prefer a pullback hold above 29.00, then push into 29.50/29.73; breakout opens 30.00–30.20.
– Entries: 29.00–29.10 (on dip/hold) or 29.55–29.75 (breakout add over R1/R2)
– Stops: 28.74 (below S3 and day low structure)
– 1–3 day targets: 29.50, 29.73, 30.20
–
2) CRS
– Context: Strong into close; closing volume spike. Range ≈ 3.85.
– Key levels:
– Support: S1 319.20, S2 318.56 (intraday low), S3 317.79 (early low)
– Resistance: R1 322.41 (day high), R2 323.80, R3 325.30 (≈ close + ATR)
– Next 2–3 days: Look for a constructive pullback to 319–320 and a push through 322.4; continuation targets 323.8 then 325+.
– Entries: 319.2–320.0 pullback; 322.50 break reclaim
– Stops: 318.10 (below S2)
– 1–3 day targets: 322.40, 323.80, 325.30
–
3) MDB
– Context: Stair-stepped higher; held most gains; closing volume robust. Range ≈ 6.21.
– Key levels:
– Support: S1 420.34, S2 419.67, S3 416.51 (session low)
– Resistance: R1 422.72 (day high), R2 424.80, R3 427.70 (≈ close + ATR)
– Next 2–3 days: Favor brief dip to 420–421, then test 422.7; breakout favors 424.8 then 427+.
– Entries: 420.5–421.2 pullback; 422.80 breakout
– Stops: 419.20 (below S2), conservative swing stop 417.70
– 1–3 day targets: 422.70, 424.80, 427.70
–
4) PLTR
– Context: Grind up, higher highs into 15:30; held most gains. Range ≈ 2.68.
– Key levels:
– Support: S1 187.00, S2 186.31, S3 185.82 (session low)
– Resistance: R1 187.67 (late bar high/close), R2 188.50 (day high), R3 190.00 (psych/ATR extension)
– Next 2–3 days: Look for hold above 187.0; push to 188.5; breakout toward 189.4–190.
– Entries: 187.0–187.2 pullback; 188.55 breakout
– Stops: 186.20 (below S2)
– 1–3 day targets: 188.50, 189.40, 190.20
–
5) RS
– Context: Steady climb, near highs; volume expanded late. Range ≈ 3.58.
– Key levels:
– Support: S1 294.00, S2 293.15, S3 292.04
– Resistance: R1 294.48–294.48 (late prints near H), R2 295.20 (day high), R3 296.50–297.90 (ATR-based)
– Next 2–3 days: Expect test of 294–294.5; hold leads to 295.2 breakout; continuation toward 296.5–297.9.
– Entries: 293.4–293.9 pullback; 295.25 breakout
– Stops: 292.60 (below S3 pivot cluster)
– 1–3 day targets: 295.20, 296.50, 297.90
–
6) JBIO
– Context: Trend up; strong close/AH. Range ≈ 0.67.
– Key levels:
– Support: S1 16.07, S2 15.83, S3 15.70
– Resistance: R1 16.36 (AH high/close), R2 16.50, R3 16.90–17.00 (ATR band)
– Next 2–3 days: Ideally a dip toward 16.00 then push through 16.36; continuation to 16.50/16.90.
– Entries: 15.95–16.05 pullback; 16.38 breakout
– Stops: 15.70
– 1–3 day targets: 16.36, 16.60, 16.90–17.00
–
7) PLTU (conditional breakout)
– Context: Strong push to 84.50 then modest fade; still constructive. Range ≈ 2.44.
– Key levels:
– Support: S1 83.35, S2 83.01, S3 82.55
– Resistance: R1 83.78, R2 84.50 (day high), R3 85.80–86.00 (ATR extension)
– Next 2–3 days: Prefer reclaim/hold above 83.35, then a retest of 84.50; breakout could carry into upper-85s.
– Entries: 83.20–83.40 pullback; 84.55 breakout
– Stops: 82.75
– 1–3 day targets: 83.78, 84.50, 85.80
–
8) TOI (breakout watch)
– Context: Rejected 3.90 on heavy close; tight range overall. Range ≈ 0.11.
– Key levels:
– Support: S1 3.80, S2 3.79, S3 3.75
– Resistance: R1 3.90, R2 3.98–4.00, R3 4.10
– Next 2–3 days: If 3.90 reclaims with volume, expect quick test of 3.98–4.00; continuation to 4.10. Below 3.79, momentum stalls.
– Entries: 3.81–3.83 pullback for bounce; 3.91–3.93 breakout
– Stops: 3.76 (beneath S3)
– 1–3 day targets: 3.90, 3.98–4.00, 4.10
–
Additional notes and risk management
– Neutral/avoid for now: HRI (chop), NEWP (tight/base, needs volume), DLTR/DIBS (range-bound), COLD (late sell), TKO/TORO/SRPT/MSBI/AGCC (late weakness).
– Illiquidity: ACR, DHIL, some micros (SOS, SFHG, parts of KDK/EVEX) show thin volume; size down or skip.
– Stops and targets are based on today’s intraday structure and an ATR proxy; adjust with your broker’s daily ATR if available.
– If futures/indices gap materially, re-anchor entries around the same relative levels (VWAP/prev H/L pivots) on the 30-min chart before executing.