Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window reviewed: 2025-12-09, 13:30–16:00)
Note: You provided only the afternoon 30‑minute prints for 12/09. Daily support/resistance and 10–30 day context below are inferred from today’s action, recent intraday structure, and obvious round-number/swing zones. Validate on your daily charts.
- Metals/miners and uranium led: silver/gold and uranium printed late-day accumulation and closes near highs: PAAS, AGQ, SVM, FSM, BTG, UEC. Volume expanded into the close (e.g., PAAS, UEC, SVM), a classic short-term momentum continuation tell.
- Semiconductors mixed-to-firm with selective strength: AVGO and TSEM pushed/closed near session highs on rising volume; AXTI showed small-cap momentum with a late 15.00 test. SOXL finished firm. Larger peers (LRCX, NET, QCOM, ANET) were more range-bound.
- Crypto complex faded late: BITF, WULF, APLD, WGMI and MSTR closed weak after mid-day pops—distribution into close suggests a 1–3 session digestion in miners even if BTC remains range-bound.
- Industrials/cyclicals softened: URI, HRI, MTZ, PRIM all faded into the bell; autos (AN, LAD) slipped; energy (FANG) eased.
- Retail/consumer mixed: W trended down; ANF and URBN were flat-to-quiet; RETL flat.
- Biotech/healthcare mixed: ARWR sold, INMB faded, VERA/ILMN quiet.
Takeaways/trends
– Rotation into metals/uranium and select semis; risk appetite cooled for crypto miners and cyclicals by the close.
– Continuation setups favored where price closed at/near HOD with rising last-30 min volume: PAAS, UEC, AXTI, TSEM, AVGO, EVTL.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue up: PAAS, UEC, AXTI, TSEM, AVGO, EVTL
Also constructive but secondary: SVM, ASTL, AGQ (ETF), APP
Strongest bullish tells
– Closes at/near HOD with rising closing bar volume: PAAS, UEC, AVGO, TSEM
– Range expansion through micro supply with holds above prior intraday highs: AXTI (15 test), EVTL (7.30 zone)
Individual Stock Analysis (levels, plan, and 30‑min outlook)
Levels reflect obvious daily supply/demand and today’s intraday structure; confirm on your daily chart.
1) PAAS
– Thesis: Late-day surge to HOD with heavy volume. Expect a morning flag/pullback and HOD push if metals bid holds.
– Support: 48.00, 47.70, 47.20
– Resistance: 48.49 (HOD), 49.00, 49.60
– 30‑min path (2–3 days): Pullback 48.00–48.10, then 48.90 test; if accepted above 48.90, 49.50–50.30 over 1–3 days (≈0.6–1.1x typical daily move).
– Entries: 48.00–48.10 (preferred), or 47.70 on deeper tag
– Stops: 47.40 (tight), 47.15 (looser under demand)
– Targets: 48.90, 49.50, 50.30
2) UEC
– Thesis: Strong afternoon accumulation and close near highs; uranium group constructive. Watch for continuation through 14.10.
– Support: 13.85, 13.70, 13.50
– Resistance: 14.10 (HOD), 14.40, 14.80
– 30‑min path: Early dip buy 13.90–14.00, push 14.25–14.40; if holds above 14.40, extension toward 14.80 in 1–3 sessions.
– Entries: 13.90–14.00
– Stops: 13.62 (beneath demand and afternoon higher low)
– Targets: 14.25, 14.60, 14.95
3) AXTI
– Thesis: Small-cap semi with volume expansion, 15.00 tested repeatedly. Break-and-hold of 15.00 can squeeze to mid-15s.
– Support: 14.80, 14.60, 14.40
– Resistance: 15.00, 15.25, 15.60
– 30‑min path: Brief consolidation under 15, then breakout; if 15 rejects initially, buy the 14.80–14.90 retest for second attempt.
– Entries: 14.80–14.90
– Stops: 14.55
– Targets: 15.15, 15.40, 15.75
4) TSEM
– Thesis: Solid late-day push and close on highs; room to probe 125–126 if semis stay supported.
– Support: 123.05, 122.70, 122.20
– Resistance: 124.26 (HOD), 125.00, 126.20
– 30‑min path: Buy first pullback into 123s; look for 124.80 break, then 125.80–126.20 within 1–3 sessions.
– Entries: 123.10–123.40
– Stops: 122.35 (below higher low cluster)
– Targets: 124.80, 125.80, 126.80
5) AVGO
– Thesis: Strong grind and close near HOD with rising volume—bullish continuation setup in a market leader.
– Support: 404.50, 403.70, 402.50
– Resistance: 406.80 (HOD), 408.50, 410.00
– 30‑min path: Early check-back into 404.5–405.2, reclaim and push 407.8; if demand persists, 409.5–411.8 over 1–3 sessions.
– Entries: 404.6–405.2
– Stops: 403.2
– Targets: 407.8, 409.5, 411.8
6) EVTL
– Thesis: Momentum day with higher highs and higher lows; closing near highs. Watch 7.30 breakout and round-number magnet behavior.
– Support: 7.10, 6.95, 6.80
– Resistance: 7.30 (HOD), 7.50, 7.80
– 30‑min path: Small pullback to 7.05–7.15, then 7.35–7.55; sustained closes above 7.50 open 7.80 in 1–3 sessions.
– Entries: 7.05–7.15
– Stops: 6.88
– Targets: 7.35, 7.55, 7.85
Notes and risk controls
– If metals gap down, let PAAS/UEC base above first supports before engaging. If crypto miners reassert and semis soften, size down the semi longs.
– Consider scaling out at each target and trail stops to the last 30‑min higher low after R1 is tagged.
– Verify daily ATRs and prior 10–30 day swing levels on your charts; adjust targets accordingly.