Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (timeframe reviewed: 2025-12-02, 10:00–16:00 EST, 30-min intraday prints)
– Note on data: Only late-session intraday bars were provided (not the full past 30 days). The commentary below leans on today’s price/volume behavior, with an emphasis on the last 2–3 hours as a proxy for recent momentum.
- Semiconductors and Semi-Equipment: Broad late-day distribution with pronounced 15:30 ET sell bars across AMAT, KLAC, LRCX, CAMT, ONTO, AEIS, TER. Most closed off highs after a midday push. TXN diverged positively, reclaiming and closing strong near the late session highs, signaling relative strength within a weak group. PSTG printed an outsized after-hours flush (96→85), a stock-specific shock that adds caution to storage/AI-adjacent names short term.
- Tickers referenced: AMAT, KLAC, LRCX, CAMT, ONTO, AEIS, TER, TXN, PSTG.
- Industrials/Capital Goods: Mixed to modestly constructive. GWW pushed to new intraday highs and closed near them (leadership behavior). CAT had steady strength most of the afternoon with a mild fade into the close; CMI dipped into the close; KEYS (test/measurement) held a higher-low structure and kept most gains.
- Tickers referenced: GWW, CAT, CMI, KEYS.
- Healthcare/MedTech: Broad late-day risk-off and lower closes (WST, INSP, LIVN, TFX, ALGN, RVTY, CRL). Momentum longs here need reclaim setups.
- Tickers referenced: WST, INSP, LIVN, TFX, ALGN, RVTY, CRL.
- Consumer/Travel/Discretionary: BKNG, MELI faded late. Airlines (UAL, ULCC) gave back midday strength. PLAY faded. GPI drifted lower. Not seeing late-session accumulation.
- Tickers referenced: BKNG, MELI, UAL, ULCC, PLAY, GPI.
- Financials and Payments: COF faded late; BAP held relatively firm inside a tight range into the close; WEX sold in the last 90 minutes.
- Tickers referenced: COF, BAP, WEX.
- Small caps/microcaps: Mixed and thin (AXTI late-day dump; CABR uptick into close; LOBO/FLGC/MAGH/BOF thin and choppy). Treat signals as lower quality due to liquidity.
- Tickers referenced: AXTI, CABR, LOBO, FLGC, MAGH, BOF.
Takeaway: The 15:30 ET bars show widespread distribution into the close across many groups. Relative strength stands out in TXN (semi bellwether), GWW (industrial leader), KEYS (industrial tech), and CAT (heavy machinery), while many others faded.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Likely upward bias (best relative strength + constructive late-session structure):
– TXN, GWW, KEYS, CAT, DELL
– Strongest bullish tells today:
– GWW (near-HOD close, steady accumulation feel)
– TXN (late reclaim of highs while peers distributed)
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)
Note: “ATR” targets below use today’s intraday range as a proxy given missing 30-day data.
1) TXN
– Structure: Strong recovery into the close vs peers; late buyers active.
– Key support: 175.21 (15:30 close pivot), 174.57 (late pullback low), 174.08 (session low)
– Key resistance: 176.99–177.00 (16:00 print), 177.63 (15:00 close), 177.88–178.00 (HOD/round)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days):
– Bullish if 175.2–175.5 holds on dips; expect retest of 177.6–178.0. A clean 178+ opens room to 179.5–180.7.
– Bear failure if back below 174.5; then expect 173.8–174.1 test before buyers try again.
– Price targets (approx. today’s range ~3.8):
– T1: 177.6–177.9
– T2: 179.5
– T3: 180.7
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 175.3–175.6
– Breakout buy: >177.00 with momentum
– Stops:
– Tight: 174.45
– Swing: 173.80
–
2) GWW
– Structure: Leadership behavior; closed near highs with steady higher lows.
– Key support: 958.07, 956.07, 954.72
– Key resistance: 961.98 (HOD), 965.00 (round), 970.00 (round/extension)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days):
– Holding 956–958 keeps bulls in control; expect 962 retest and 965 probe. A 965 break could magnet 969–972.
– Lose 954.7 and momentum pauses; watch 952–953 for next demand.
– Price targets (today’s range ~7.3):
– T1: 962.0
– T2: 966.0
– T3: 970–972
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 956.5–958.5
– Breakout buy: >962 with volume
– Stops:
– Tight: 954.40
– Swing: 952.00
–
3) KEYS
– Structure: Higher-low day; held most gains while market faded late.
– Key support: 201.00 (psych/close zone), 200.53–200.69, 200.08 (session low)
– Key resistance: 201.93, 202.17 (HOD), 203.00 (round)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days):
– Above 201, expect a grind to 202–202.2; a clean 202.2 break targets 203–204.
– Below 200.5 would likely revisit 200.1; losing 200 risks momentum stall.
– Price targets (today’s range ~2.1):
– T1: 202.00
– T2: 203.00
– T3: 204.00
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 200.9–201.1
– Breakout buy: >202.20
– Stops:
– Tight: 199.90
– Swing: 199.50
–
4) CAT
– Structure: Trend up most of the session; mild late fade = potential buy-the-dip if 582 holds.
– Key support: 582.26–582.68 (late zone), 581.70, 579.57 (session low)
– Key resistance: 583.73, 585.56 (HOD), 588.00 (round/extension)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days):
– Holding 581.8–582.5 sets up a push to 583.7 then 585.5. Above 585.6, look for 588–591.
– Lose 579.5 and momentum likely pauses; next demand often 577–578.
– Price targets (today’s range ~6.0):
– T1: 585.5
– T2: 588.0
– T3: 591–592
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 581.8–582.5
– Breakout buy: >583.8 or >585.6
– Stops:
– Tight: 579.20
– Swing: 577.80
–
5) DELL
– Structure: Tight range, constructive base with higher lows; relative stability vs broader late-day fades.
– Key support: 135.81, 135.52 (session low), 135.00 (psych)
– Key resistance: 136.79, 137.18 (HOD), 138.00 (round)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days):
– Above 136.0, grind to 136.8–137.2; a break of 137.2 opens 138–139.
– Lose 135.5 and the setup likely needs a reset near 134.8–135.0.
– Price targets (today’s range ~1.66):
– T1: 137.20
– T2: 138.00
– T3: 139.00
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 135.9–136.1
– Breakout buy: >137.20
– Stops:
– Tight: 135.30
– Swing: 134.80
–
Additional notes and risk factors
– Broad late-day distribution (notably the 15:30 ET bar) across many names suggests headline/flow risk; be selective on longs outside the RS leaders above.
– Semis as a group showed supply into the close (AMAT, KLAC, LRCX, CAMT, ONTO, AEIS, TER). TXN’s relative strength is notable, but follow-through needs confirmation above 177.6–178.0.
– PSTG’s after-hours shock increases volatility risk in storage/AI-adjacent tech near term.
– Thin/illiquid names (AXTI, LOBO, FLGC, MAGH, BOF) exhibited noisy prints; avoid unless you specialize in small-cap momentum.
If you can provide the full 30-day daily candles and 10-day 30-min series, I’ll refine ATRs, confirm multi-week supply/demand zones, and tighten targets accordingly.