Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range reviewed)
– Data window analyzed: 2025-11-18 from 12:30 to 16:00 EST (30-minute bars provided).
– Note: Only the latest session’s intraday data was provided. Where 30-day context is requested, I emphasize the most recent price/volume behavior and late-day positioning that typically drives 1–3 day momentum follow-through.
Sector/industry takeaways
– Biotech/Pharma was bifurcated:
– Small/mid-cap biotech showed risk-on momentum with strong late-day pushes and rising volume: TARA, MCRB, FBRX, RIGL, STOK, SLDB. Several closed near HOD with clear demand zones.
– Large-cap pharma/biotech was mixed to soft into the close: LLY, BIIB, INCY faded; REGN bucked the trend with a clean late-day push and elevated volume.
– Industrials/aerospace and heavy equipment faded into the close (distribution): DE, CMI, HEI, TDG, VMC all slipped in the final 30–60 minutes, suggesting near-term supply.
– Tech/IT services was mixed-to-weak into the bell: EPAM popped then retraced; AKAM and MKSI slipped; PSN flat-to-soft. No broad-based tech risk-on signature.
– Solar/clean energy: FSLR sold hard into the close. In contrast, SPRU (power/energy solutions) trended higher with expanding volume, a relative strength standout.
– Financials/Insurance leaned soft: CB, PLMR and CI all slipped late, hinting at near-term consolidation.
– Discretionary/Travel/Retail: HLT and BURL faded late; no momentum confirmation.
Notable intraday trends and patterns
– Late-day volume expansions into/near HOD: REGN, CACI, TARA, SPRU, STOK, RIGL. These often set up 1–3 day continuation when next-day opens hold above VWAP/last 30-min highs.
– Large-caps showing sell programs into the bell: DE, CMI, LLY, CB, FSLR—suggesting “sell-the-rip” near-term posture.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Likely upside continuation candidates: REGN, CACI, TARA, SPRU, STOK, RIGL. Secondary/high-beta but higher risk: FBRX, MCRB.
– Strongest bullish signals (late-day strength + volume + closes near HOD):
– REGN, CACI (large caps near key round numbers).
– TARA, SPRU, STOK, RIGL (smid-cap momentum with volume confirmation).
Individual Stock Analysis (setups for 1–3 day swings)
Below: key support/resistance (daily zones anchored to today’s intraday pivots), 30-min based path expectations, entries, stops, and targets. ATR-based targets are approximated from today’s ranges and typical behavior.
1) REGN
– Supports: 722.1, 720.0, 719.5
– Resistances: 727.97 (HOD), 730.0, 735.0–738.0
– 30-min path: Prefer an opening hold above 722–723; push through 727.9 opens 730 then 735. Failure to hold 720 likely retests 719.5 and 717–718 (VWAP zone risk).
– Entries:
– Aggressive: 723–724 hold above prior 30-min highs.
– Pullback: 720–721 buy-the-dip if buyers defend.
– Stop: 718.9 (below 720 shelf); tighter traders 719.3.
– 1–3 day targets: 730, 735–738, stretch 745 (approx daily ATR extension).
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2) CACI
– Supports: 595.0, 592.1, 589.6
– Resistances: 599.6 (HOD), 600.0, 606.0–612.0
– 30-min path: A 600 reclaim/hold should invite momentum into 606+. If early pullback, watch 595 demand; losing 592 risks a fade to 589–590.
– Entries:
– Break/retest: 600 reclaim then retest 598–599 that holds.
– Pullback: 595–596 on bid support.
– Stop: 591.7 (below 592 shelf).
– 1–3 day targets: 600, 606, 612.
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3) TARA
– Supports: 6.61, 6.57, 6.28–6.30
– Resistances: 6.83–6.85 (session high zone), 6.90–7.00, 7.20
– 30-min path: Constructive bull flag late. A hold above 6.70 and push through 6.85 should test 7.00. Failure to clear 6.85 likely dips to 6.61/6.57 where buyers need to show.
– Entries:
– Breakout: 6.86–6.90 through HOD with volume.
– Pullback: 6.58–6.62.
– Stop: 6.47 (below 6.57 demand). Tighter: 6.55.
– 1–3 day targets: 6.90–7.00, 7.20, stretch 7.50 (≈ ATR expansion).
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4) SPRU
– Supports: 5.84, 5.73, 5.60
– Resistances: 6.11 (HOD), 6.20, 6.50
– 30-min path: Trend up day with rising volume. An early flag above 5.95–6.00 that reclaims 6.11 can extend toward 6.20/6.50. Lose 5.84 and momentum likely pauses.
– Entries:
– Breakout: 6.12–6.15 on strong tape.
– Pullback: 5.85–5.90 hold.
– Stop: 5.72 (below prior flag base).
– 1–3 day targets: 6.20, 6.35–6.50, stretch 6.80.
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5) STOK
– Supports: 28.68, 28.55–28.60, 28.40
– Resistances: 29.15 (HOD/close), 29.50, 30.00–30.20
– 30-min path: Closed at/near HOD—continuation setup. Early push over 29.15 should test 29.50; sustained strength points to 30.00+. Failure to hold 28.85 risks a backfill to 28.55.
– Entries:
– Breakout: 29.16–29.20 with volume.
– Pullback: 28.60–28.70 on buy reaction.
– Stop: 28.38 (below demand shelf).
– 1–3 day targets: 29.50, 30.00–30.20, stretch 31.00.
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6) RIGL
– Supports: 45.82, 45.62, 45.40
– Resistances: 46.31 (HOD), 46.50, 47.00
– 30-min path: Strong close near highs with steady accumulation. A 46.31 break should allow 46.50 then 47.00. Below 45.82 risks a fade to 45.40.
– Entries:
– Breakout: 46.32–46.35 on tape strength.
– Pullback: 45.65–45.85 defended.
– Stop: 45.35 (below base).
– 1–3 day targets: 46.50, 47.00, stretch 48.00.
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Higher-risk momentum candidates (optional, smaller size)
7) FBRX
– Supports: 17.45, 17.10, 16.70
– Resistances: 18.00, 18.50, 19.00
– Plan: Break over 18.00 can trend to 18.50/19.00; pullbacks to 17.40–17.50 need to hold. Stop ~17.05. Targets: 18.30, 19.00, 20.00.
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8) MCRB
– Supports: 23.56, 22.71, 22.40
– Resistances: 24.84, 25.73, 25.85–26.00
– Plan: Volatile; look for 24.80–24.90 reclaim then 25.70. Pullback buys 23.60–23.80 only if buyers step in. Stop ~22.95. Targets: 25.50, 26.80, 28.00.
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Notes and risk management
– Many large caps showed late-day supply; favor the momentum names above only if they hold prior session VWAP/last 30-min highs on day 1. If they gap up, wait for opening range pullback and a higher low before entry.
– If the tape weakens broadly, tighten stops or avoid breakout entries; favor pullback entries at supports with clear risk.
This is short-term trading commentary for educational purposes only. Always size positions appropriately and respect stops.