Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range analyzed: 2025-11-04 13:30–16:00)
Note: Only today’s 30-minute intraday bars were provided; 30-day/10-day context wasn’t included, so the commentary and setups focus on today’s tape and very near-term momentum.
- Semis/Semicap and Electronics Manufacturing (KLAC, TER, COHR, FN): Broad late-day selloff on rising volume (e.g., KLAC 1217→1193, FN 481→460, COHR 131→129→128.7, TER 178→175.5). Clear risk-off tone in high-beta chips/semicap; expect bouncy rallies into supply.
- Healthcare mixed:
- Managed care/hospitals and distributors steady-to-strong: HCA pushed to 472.5 intraday high; CAH, MCK flat/firm.
- Biotech/smaller-cap therapeutics soft-to-flat: TERN faded from 18.09 to 17.30 on heavy turnover, GPCR churned 34→33.94, SCLX and EVAX slipped; AVDL tightly coiled around 18.90 with heavy last half-hour prints (potential later move).
- UTHR very tight and orderly.
- Insurance/Financials: Divergence in insurance—CB bid and closing at HOD zone (285.75), HCI eased; GS flat.
- Energy: Refiners and E&P mixed—MPC whipsawed then faded; PBF held firm and orderly; VIST and BKV little change. Nat gas proxy BOIL slid intraday—near-term NG tone remains heavy.
- Industrials/Defense/Services: CACI showed decisive strength into the bell with expanding volume; MOD, STLD softened; FERG flat. POWL had a sharp 14:30 flush then stabilized.
- Consumer: WSM grinded higher late; MAR faded into the close.
Takeaway: Risk rotated away from semis and small-cap biotech; capital favored quality, steady cash-flow names (insurance CB, defense/IT CACI, hospital HCA) and select retail (WSM). That’s where I want near-term long exposure for 1–3 day swings.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside candidates with the strongest bullish cues from today’s tape:
– CACI: Strong late-day expansion, closing near session highs; constructive for follow-through.
– CB: Persistent bid with higher highs into the close; insurers often trend on this type of close.
– HCA: Controlled grind higher with higher highs/lows; dip-buys likely supported.
– FRGE: Closed at/near HOD with intraday reclaim; room for continuation if volume persists.
– WSM: Quiet accumulation and higher close; potential push into nearby resistance.
– PBF: Tight, constructive day inside an orderly up-channel; favors a drift higher if energy holds.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)
All levels derived from today’s 30-minute tape; “ATR” targets approximate today’s intraday range as proxy.
1) CACI
– Supports (demand): 580.75; 579.90; 578.12
– Resistances (supply): 586.38; 590.00; 594–595
– Next 2–3 day view (30-min based): Favor continuation to test 586.4; a clean break could tag 589.8–590, then 594–595 if semis/IT bid improves.
– Price targets: 586.4 → 589.8–590.0 → 594–595
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 582.0–583.0 (prior breakout base)
– Momentum add on 586.50+ break with volume
– Stop-loss: 579.80 (beneath 580 shelf); fail-safe 577.90 if volatile
2) CB
– Supports: 284.63; 283.96; 282.77
– Resistances: 285.76; 286.50; 287.80
– Next 2–3 day view: Strong closing ramp suggests a push through 285.76; shallow dips should be bought while above 284.6.
– Price targets: 286.0 → 286.8 → 287.8
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 284.8–285.2
– Breakout add on 285.80+ with tape confirmation
– Stop-loss: 283.95 initial; wider swing stop 282.70
3) HCA
– Supports: 470.00–470.20; 469.85; 469.78
– Resistances: 471.68; 472.49; 474.00–475.50
– Next 2–3 day view: Higher-lows structure favors a test of 472.5; if cleared, look for a measured move toward 474–475.5.
– Price targets: 472.5 → 473.8 → 475.5
– Entry ideas:
– Buy dips 470.4–470.8
– Momentum add on 472.50 break and hold
– Stop-loss: 469.60 conservative; 468.90 swing
4) FRGE
– Supports: 25.83; 25.60; 25.26
– Resistances: 26.11 (HOD); 26.50; 27.00
– Next 2–3 day view: Closing on the highs with improving volume—setup for a continuation day if 26.11 breaks early.
– Price targets: 26.10–26.20 break → 26.60 → 27.00–27.40
– Entry ideas:
– Buy pullback 25.80–25.95
– Breakout add through 26.12 with time-and-sales confirming
– Stop-loss: 25.40 (below session mid and VWAP zone)
5) WSM
– Supports: 193.75; 193.03; 192.90
– Resistances: 194.60; 195.00; 196.00
– Next 2–3 day view: Quiet accumulation suggests a push into 194.6/195; strength through 195 opens 196 handle test.
– Price targets: 194.6 → 195.5 → 196.8
– Entry ideas:
– Buy pullbacks 193.5–193.8
– Add on 194.60 reclaim and hold
– Stop-loss: 192.80 (below session base)
6) PBF
– Supports: 35.14–35.20; 35.02; 34.95
– Resistances: 35.49; 35.60–35.75; 36.00
– Next 2–3 day view: Tight, constructive action—looks set for a grind higher if energy doesn’t roll over. Expect dips to be supported above 35.00.
– Price targets: 35.50 → 35.75 → 36.00
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 35.15–35.25 on dips
– Add on 35.50 push with strengthening sector breadth
– Stop-loss: 34.95 (beneath intraday floor)
Notable short-term sector reads to monitor against these longs
– If semis (KLAC/TER/COHR/FN) bounce only weakly and roll, broader risk appetite may stay muted—trim targets slightly on momentum names.
– If insurers stay bid (CB) and defense IT (CACI) continues to lead, expect steady, less-volatile trending conditions—favor pullback entries and scale-outs at nearby resistance.
– Watch BOIL and refiners (MPC/PBF) for confirmation—PBF longs work best if nat gas stabilizes and refiners don’t see margin pressure.
If you can share the last 30 trading days (or at least 10) of daily bars, I’ll refine these with higher-confidence daily supply/demand zones and true ATR-based targets.