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Continuation Breakout Tuesday 4PM 10/07/2025

October 7, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2025-10-07, 13:30–16:00, 30-minute bars)

  • Note on scope: The provided data covers the last ~2 hours of the session on 2025-10-07. The 30-day/10-day context below is inferred from today’s price/volume behavior, HOD/LOD interactions, and relative strength/weakness patterns across peers. For “daily” zones, I’ve used clear intraday supply/demand levels and round-number pivots as proxies to be verified on your daily charts.
  • Healthcare/Biotech led on momentum and breadth: INSM pushed steadily higher all afternoon and closed at HOD on rising volume; VTYX also closed at HOD; ARGX firmed into the bell near session highs; UNH grinded higher late. VRTX and UHS were more range-bound. This mix suggests risk-on within HC/biotech with both high-beta (INSM/VTYX) and quality (UNH/ARGX) participating.
  • Tech mixed; leadership skewed to quality: ACN was bid into the close (near highs) with broad, consistent volume. ARM rallied mid-afternoon then faded into the close (supply overhead), TTWO balanced, APPS popped then retraced, QMCO choppy. That points to selective buying in larger-quality IT/consulting versus more volatile semis/small-caps.
  • Aerospace/Space showed expansion then supply: AVAV tested 400 and was rejected; ASTS expanded to ~76 then retraced; PL similar intraday pop/fade. That’s a classic “first push meets supply” signature—needs reclaims for continuation.
  • Energy quiet: GPOR stayed tight and liquid, no momentum cues.
  • Micro-cap momentum bifurcated: GSIW had a late-day squeeze with a massive 15:30 bar volume spike and held much of the gain into the close—textbook day-2 candidate if it holds a higher low. CRBU trended up cleanly with steady accumulation. BQ was extremely volatile (sharp wash then bounce), EPOW/TLSA/HLP largely illiquid/sideways.

Noticeable patterns

  • HOD closes on rising 30-min volume (INSM, VTYX) often lead to day-2 follow-through.
  • Quality large-caps grinding into the bell (ACN, UNH, ARGX) can produce measured 1–3 day extensions if the next morning prints higher lows above late-day VWAP.
  • Names rejected at key round numbers (AVAV 400, ARM 161→fade, ASTS ~76) need reclaims before they’re high probability.
  • Late-day high-volume squeeze (GSIW) frequently carries if the next day opens above the midrange of the squeeze bar and holds a higher low.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

  • Higher-probability upside candidates: INSM, VTYX, ACN, ARGX, UNH, CRBU. Speculative momentum: GSIW.
  • Strongest bullish signals today: INSM (trend + HOD close + volume ramp), VTYX (HOD close), ACN (near-HOD close with broad buying), ARGX (near-HOD strength), UNH (late grind higher), CRBU (orderly accumulation).

Individual Stock Analysis (levels, entries, targets, stops, and 30-min path expectations)

INSM

  • Key support: 161.30; 160.30; 159.15–159.20
  • Key resistance: 162.50 (HOD); 164.00; 166.00 (HOD + ~today’s intraday range)
  • 30-min path: Prefer an early pullback to 161.5–161.0 that holds, then a push through 162.5 for continuation. If it gaps over 162.5, watch for a back-test hold of 162.2–162.5 and trend.
  • 1–3 day targets: 162.5 → 164.0 → 166.0
  • Entries: 161.5–161.0 pullback; add on 162.5 break/hold
  • Stop-loss: 158.9–159.1 (below today’s session base)
  • finviz dynamic chart for INSM

VTYX

  • Key support: 3.95; 3.90; 3.87
  • Key resistance: 4.06 (HOD); 4.10–4.15; 4.25 (stretch)
  • 30-min path: Look for a small dip to 3.96–3.98, then a clean 4.06 break. Sustained trade above 4.06 opens 4.15 and potentially 4.25 if momentum persists.
  • 1–3 day targets: 4.08–4.10 → 4.15 → 4.25
  • Entries: 3.96–3.99 pullback; or 4.06 break/hold
  • Stop-loss: 3.86–3.88 (below session support)
  • finviz dynamic chart for VTYX

ACN

  • Key support: 251.00–251.10; 250.65; 249.70
  • Key resistance: 251.78 (session high zone); 252.20–252.50; 253.80 (stretch using intraday range proxy)
  • 30-min path: Favor higher-low holds above 251.0 with a grind through 251.8–252.2. If early weakness, a hold at 250.6–250.8 can reset the uptrend into the afternoon.
  • 1–3 day targets: 252.2 → 253.0 → 253.8
  • Entries: 251.0–251.2 pullback; add through 251.8–252.0 hold
  • Stop-loss: 249.6–249.8 (below today’s session floor)
  • finviz dynamic chart for ACN

ARGX

  • Key support: 795.40–795.50; 793.30; 791.30
  • Key resistance: 797.80–798.00; 800.00 (psych); 803.5–804.0 (stretch via intraday range)
  • 30-min path: Early consolidation above 795 with a squeeze through 798 → 800. Stronger follow-through if 800 flips to support intraday.
  • 1–3 day targets: 798 → 800 → 803–804
  • Entries: 795.0–796.0 pullback; or 798 break/hold
  • Stop-loss: 790.7–791.0 (below session low pivot)
  • finviz dynamic chart for ARGX

UNH

  • Key support: 363.70; 363.17; 362.11
  • Key resistance: 364.96 (session high); 365.50–366.00; 367.8 (stretch using range proxy)
  • 30-min path: Look for a tight pullback to 363.7–364.0 and a push back through 365. If it gaps up, watch for a back-test hold of 364.5–364.7 to continue.
  • 1–3 day targets: 365.0 → 366.3 → 367.8
  • Entries: 363.7–364.0 pullback; or 365.0 reclaim/hold
  • Stop-loss: 361.9–362.2
  • finviz dynamic chart for UNH

CRBU

  • Key support: 2.36; 2.31–2.32; 2.30
  • Key resistance: 2.44 (session high); 2.50; 2.58 (stretch using range proxy)
  • 30-min path: Favor a shallow dip to 2.34–2.36, then a clean 2.44 break. Continuation above 2.44 often stair-steps to 2.50 on momentum tape.
  • 1–3 day targets: 2.44 → 2.50 → 2.58
  • Entries: 2.34–2.36 pullback; or 2.44 break/hold
  • Stop-loss: 2.29–2.30
  • finviz dynamic chart for CRBU

GSIW (speculative micro-cap; manage size)

  • Key support: 0.200; 0.192; 0.175
  • Key resistance: 0.238–0.247 (late-day supply); 0.260; 0.327 (stretch ≈ HOD + intraday range)
  • 30-min path: Ideal is an open above ~0.21 with a higher low, then a push into 0.24–0.25. If 0.20 fails, risk of full retrace into 0.175 increases.
  • 1–3 day targets: 0.247 → 0.260 → 0.33
  • Entries: 0.20–0.21 higher-low confirmation; add above 0.247 hold
  • Stop-loss: 0.174–0.178 (below squeeze base)
  • finviz dynamic chart for GSIW

Secondary “triggered only” watch

  • ASTS: Bullish only on reclaim/hold above 75.40. Supports: 74.64; 73.81; 73.22. Resistances: 75.40; 76.00; 76.8–77.8. Targets on trigger: 76.0 → 76.8 → 77.8–79.0. Stop: 74.6.

Risk and execution notes

  • The above “ATR-stretch” targets use today’s intraday range as a conservative proxy given limited history supplied. Confirm with your 10–30 day ATR on the daily chart and adjust target sizing accordingly.
  • Focus on names that closed at/near HOD on rising 30-minute volume for best 1–3 day momentum odds (INSM, VTYX). For quality grinds (ACN, UNH, ARGX), favor buy-the-dip entries into well-defined supports and avoid chasing extended first 15–30 minutes.
  • For micro-caps (GSIW, CRBU), trade smaller size, take partials into each resistance, and honor stops—these can retrace quickly if the day-2 liquidity thins.
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