Continuation Breakout Tuesday 3PM 9/23/2025

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Datetime range analyzed (ET): 2025-09-23, primarily 13:00–15:59. Note: Only this session’s 30-minute bars were provided. 30D/10D takes are inferred from today’s relative strength/volume behavior and typical ranges; confirm with your own 10D/30D charts.

• Healthcare/Biotech (UNH, MCK, UTHR, AMLX, MNPR): Selective strength. Large-cap managed care/distributors (UNH, MCK) were flat-to-sideways, while UTHR trended steadily higher into the close with rising highs/strong close—classic accumulation. AMLX also finished near highs on steady buying. This points to bid in higher-quality biotech/pharma (UTHR, AMLX).
• Energy/Materials (METC, IMPP, UAMY, LIN): Dispersion. Coking coal (METC) led with a clean uptrend and strong close near HOD—momentum favorite. Shipping/oil microcap (IMPP) was illiquid/flat. UAMY sold all afternoon. Industrial gases (LIN) held firm but range-bound. Net: commodity beta favored metallurgical coal (METC).
• Tech/Comm/Internet (APP, MU, UI, ACMR, PL, DASH, MELI, GSAT): Bifurcation. Ad-tech (APP) trended down all session—distribution. Semis (MU) heavy/sideways. Networking (UI) put in a persistent climb to the close—relative strength. Space/earth data (PL) pressed higher late session—accumulating. DASH/MELI were quiet/mean-reverting. Small-cap satcom (GSAT) faded.
• Defense/Aerospace (LHX, KTOS): Consolidation-to-softness. KTOS stayed weak; LHX range-bound. No leadership here today.
• Financials (GS, MKL): Tight ranges, little directional edge—market-weight at best.
• Consumer (EXPE, CASY, MELI, DASH, TLRY): Mixed-to-soft. CASY bled lower; EXPE tight; MELI/DASH muted; TLRY choppy with late give-back. Not leadership tape.
• Microcaps/thin names (NVNO, OMH, MITQ, PAVS, ENGN, etc.): Largely illiquid/whippy—avoid unless volume expands.

Takeaway: Today’s relative strength clustered in selective biotech/pharma (UTHR, AMLX), networking/infra (UI), satellite/earth data (PL), and coking coal (METC). Weakness concentrated in ad-tech (APP), small-cap defense (KTOS), and multiple microcaps.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside continuation candidates (strongest momentum/structure into the close):

• METC — clean higher-highs/higher-lows and close near HOD; strong commodity beta.
• UTHR — steady trend day, closing near highs; accumulation feel.
• UI — persistent bid with a strong closing print.
• PL — constructive late-session push above intraday supply; room toward round numbers.
• AMLX — quiet but consistent grind higher; closing near highs.

Strongest bullish signals: METC and UTHR.

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
Note: ATR targets are approximate based on typical name volatility; calibrate with your feed.

1) METC

• Key support: 31.66 (15:30 HL), 31.35 (14:30 close/pivot), 30.79 (14:30 open/pivot)
• Key resistance: 32.00 (HOD/psych), 32.09 (15:00 spike), 32.50 (extension)
• 30-min price path (2–3 days): Prefer an early pullback toward 31.70–31.80, then a push through 32.00–32.10. If 32 clears on volume, momentum squeeze toward mid-32s; continuation possible day 2.
• Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 32.50; T2 33.20 (~1 ATR); T3 34.00 (stretch if coal complex remains bid)
• Entries:

– Pullback: 31.70–31.80 with strength returning on tape
– Breakout: 32.10–32.20 with expanding volume

• Stop-loss: Below 31.30 (beneath last HL); conservative swing stop below 30.95 (below 31 shelf)

2) UTHR

• Key support: 435.30 (15:30 low), 434.00 (14:30 close), 432.20 (14:00 pivot)
• Key resistance: 438.00 (session high zone), 440.00 (round), 442.50 (extension)
• 30-min price path (2–3 days): Look for a buyable dip to 435–436. A reclaim and hold above 438 opens 440, then 442–445 over 1–2 days if biotech strength persists.
• Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 440.0; T2 445.0 (~1 ATR); T3 452.0 (stretch)
• Entries:

– Pullback: 435.5–436.2 with reversal cues
– Breakout: ≥438.2 on volume

• Stop-loss: 433.5 (below prior demand); wider swing stop 431.8

3) UI

• Key support: 652.10 (15:00 close), 650.00 (round/afternoon shelf), 648.97 (session base)
• Key resistance: 654.55 (HOD), 656.50 (extension), 660.00 (round)
• 30-min price path (2–3 days): Favor a shallow dip to 651–652, then retest 654.5. A hold above 655 can propel a grind into 658–660; follow-through possible into mid-660s on day 2 if tech sentiment improves.
• Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 656.5–658.0; T2 662–665 (~1 ATR); T3 670 (stretch)
• Entries:

– Pullback: 651.2–652.2 with buyers stepping back in
– Breakout: ≥655 with expanding volume

• Stop-loss: 648.5 (beneath session base); wider swing stop 647.6

4) PL

• Key support: 12.00–12.02 (close/round), 11.94–11.95 (afternoon pivot), 11.885 (intraday shelf)
• Key resistance: 12.06–12.08 (intraday highs), 12.15 (minor supply), 12.30 (extension/round)
• 30-min price path (2–3 days): Expect a base above 12.00, then a press through 12.08–12.15. Holds above 12.15 favor a measured walk to 12.30–12.50.
• Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 12.15; T2 12.50 (~0.4–0.5 ATR); T3 12.80 (stretch on momentum)
• Entries:

– Pullback: 12.00–12.02 with tight risk
– Breakout: ≥12.10–12.12 on rising volume

• Stop-loss: 11.88 (beneath intraday demand); tight alternative 11.94 if scalping

5) AMLX

• Key support: 13.46–13.47 (late-day shelf), 13.40 (intraday pivot), 13.30–13.35 (session demand)
• Key resistance: 13.54–13.55 (HOD area), 13.70, 13.90
• 30-min price path (2–3 days): Favor a controlled dip to 13.45–13.50, then a push through 13.55. Sustained trade above 13.55 sets up 13.70–13.90.
• Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 13.70; T2 14.00 (~0.35–0.45 ATR); T3 14.30 (stretch)
• Entries:

– Pullback: 13.45–13.50 with buyers holding bids
– Breakout: ≥13.56–13.58 with volume confirmation

• Stop-loss: 13.30 (beneath session demand); tighter 13.38 for active risk control

Additional notes and risk management

• Market context: Continuations in UI/PL (tech) and UTHR/AMLX (biotech) will respond to broad market tone (QQQ/XLV). For METC, monitor coal/metals peers and commodity headlines.
• Liquidity preference: The strongest edges today came in liquid names with clear into-close strength (METC, UTHR, UI). Avoid thin microcaps unless volume expands materially at the open.
• Execution: Stagger entries—one near support, one on confirmation through resistance. Respect stops; momentum swing edge diminishes if price loses session demand zones.
• Position sizing: Scale smaller on names with wider ATR (UTHR, UI) and on gap opens; add only on confirmation.

This is a momentum-oriented plan built from today’s 30-minute tape. Reconcile levels with your 10D/30D charts and premarket prints before execution. Not financial advice.